Shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) plunged around 10% in after-hours trading on Tuesday after the chipmaker provided a disappointing forecast for its data center sales, particularly in the AI market. Despite exceeding quarterly revenue expectations, AMD’s outlook for 2024 failed to reassure investors, who have been anticipating the company’s larger push into AI, an area dominated by Nvidia.
AMD reported fourth-quarter data center revenue of $3.9 billion, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $4.15 billion. This segment is considered a key indicator of AMD’s AI revenue, as it includes sales of processors that compete with Nvidia’s chips. For 2024, the company reported generating over $5 billion in AI chip revenue but projected a 7% decline in data center sales for the current quarter. AMD’s CEO, Lisa Su, did not provide specific projections for AI chip sales but expressed confidence in achieving “tens of billions” in revenue over the coming years.
However, analysts, such as Kinngai Chan from Summit Insight, suggested that AMD’s AI GPU performance was not meeting market expectations. Meanwhile, Nvidia continues to lead the AI chip market with an 80% share, bolstered by its proprietary CUDA software, which remains a significant barrier for AMD to overcome. Competitors like Microsoft and Meta have also been developing their own custom AI chips, further intensifying the competitive landscape.
Despite these challenges, AMD is focusing on collaborations with its customers to create custom AI chips, aiming to close the gap with companies like Marvell and Broadcom. AMD remains optimistic about increasing sales of personal computer chips, as demand for PCs capable of handling generative AI tasks shows signs of recovery after a prolonged slump.
AMD’s forecasted first-quarter revenue of approximately $7.1 billion, slightly above analyst estimates, provided some relief, but the company’s position in the highly competitive AI chip market remains a point of concern for investors.
