Yazılar

Intel’s AI Chip Sales Fail to Meet Projections Despite Optimistic Forecasts

/in /tarafından

Intel’s (INTC.O) revenue forecast exceeded market expectations on Thursday, but the results highlighted a weak spot for the tech giant: sales of its AI-focused Gaudi chips have significantly missed targets. Initially projecting sales of over $500 million for Gaudi AI accelerator chips in 2024, Intel has now abandoned that forecast. CEO Pat Gelsinger attributed the slow sales to issues with software compatibility and the ongoing transition from Gaudi’s second to third generation.

Despite Intel’s promising overall revenue, which boosted its stock by 5% in early trading on Friday, the company’s shares are still down by over 50% for the year. Intel continues to face challenges in capitalizing on the AI market, where its main competitor, Nvidia (NVDA.O), has consistently led. After the 2022 launch of the AI tool ChatGPT, powered by Nvidia’s GPUs, Intel hoped its AI offerings could capture more market share. Gelsinger had pushed for higher projections, advocating for a $1 billion revenue goal in 2023, as Nvidia’s sales soared in comparison.

Intel faced obstacles early on in its AI strategy. In July, Gelsinger announced a “pipeline of opportunities” worth over $1 billion for Gaudi, though Reuters sources indicate Intel did not secure adequate chip supplies from contract manufacturer TSMC (2330.TW) to fulfill this target. Intel defended its high projections, stating that not all pipeline opportunities translate into revenue but emphasizing its drive for ambitious internal goals.

In 2023, Intel assured investors it had the potential to secure over $2 billion in AI-chip deals, with an expectation of generating over $500 million in AI revenue for 2024. On Thursday, however, Gelsinger confirmed that this forecast had been withdrawn, shifting focus to longer-term opportunities in AI.

Analysts expressed skepticism regarding Intel’s future in AI. Vivek Arya of Bank of America asked Intel about its AI strategy in light of potentially losing CPU market share and lacking a competitive AI product. Gelsinger replied that CPUs were increasingly significant in AI data centers and that customer interest in Gaudi remained promising, especially with the improved benchmarks of the chip’s third generation.

In the broader picture, Intel reported $13.3 billion in third-quarter revenue, surpassing analysts’ expectations, although it posted a loss of $16.6 billion due to impairment and restructuring charges. According to Michael Ashley Schulman, Chief Investment Officer of Running Point Capital, Intel’s focus on cost-cutting and growth has potential, though he noted concerns over Gelsinger’s management approach, suggesting Intel’s leadership might be overestimating its progress and market position.

 

Nvidia Surpasses Apple to Become World’s Most Valuable Company Amid AI Chip Demand Surge

/in /tarafından

Nvidia briefly overtook Apple as the world’s most valuable company on Friday, fueled by a record-setting rally in its stock, largely driven by demand for its AI-focused chips. Nvidia’s market value briefly hit $3.53 trillion, slightly outpacing Apple’s $3.52 trillion before settling near Apple’s valuation. This is the second time this year that Nvidia has reached the top spot, previously contending with Apple and Microsoft for global market cap dominance.

The Silicon Valley chip giant’s stock has surged about 18% in October alone, spurred in part by OpenAI’s recent $6.6 billion funding announcement, which renewed optimism for AI technology. Nvidia, originally known for gaming processors, is now the preferred supplier of AI chips in a market led by Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and other tech titans. This week, further gains were prompted by Western Digital’s strong quarterly performance, indicating strong demand from data centers.

Amid these successes, Apple faces lukewarm iPhone sales, with a slight dip in China as Huawei’s sales grew 42%. Apple’s Q3 revenue is projected to rise 5.5% year over year to $94.5 billion, compared to Nvidia’s anticipated 82% jump to $32.9 billion, reflecting the rapid growth in AI adoption. Nvidia’s shares, now 190% higher this year, have gained significant traction in the options market, with bullish investors banking on sustained AI demand.

Chip Stocks Decline as ASML’s Weak Outlook Sparks Concerns Over Non-AI Chip Demand

/in /tarafından

Semiconductor stocks in both the U.S. and Asia took a hit after ASML (ASML.AS), a prominent chip equipment maker, cut its annual sales forecast due to weak demand for non-AI chips. Despite strong demand for AI-related chips, such as those produced by industry giant Nvidia (NVDA.O), the broader semiconductor market is experiencing a slower recovery. This news sent ripples through the sector, dragging down major chip stocks.

Key Losses Across the Sector

Nvidia, which had recently surpassed Apple as the world’s most valuable company, saw a 4.5% drop in its stock price, wiping out approximately $158 billion from its market cap. This widened the gap with Apple, whose value sits at $3.56 trillion. Other major chip firms such as AMD (AMD.O), Intel (INTC.O), Arm, Broadcom (AVGO.O), and Micron (MU.O) fell between 3.2% and 5% by Tuesday’s close. The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index dropped nearly 5%, further weighing down the tech-heavy Nasdaq.

The sharp decline followed an apparent error by ASML, which prematurely released its quarterly results, revealing weak bookings and slower-than-expected recovery in chip demand, particularly outside the AI sector. This led to a 16% plunge in ASML’s U.S.-listed shares.

AI Demand vs. Broader Market Weakness

While the demand for AI chips continues to surge, fueled by growing interest in artificial intelligence and machine learning applications, other segments of the chip market remain tepid. Logic chip makers are delaying orders, and memory chip manufacturers are planning only limited new capacity expansions, which signals ongoing weakness in non-AI chip demand.

“ASML’s fat finger error isn’t cause for concern in itself, but the content of the release didn’t make comforting reading for investors,” noted Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Asian Chipmakers Also Hit

Asian semiconductor companies, many of which are customers of ASML, also suffered losses. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC), Samsung Electronics, and SK Hynix all saw stock declines ranging from 2.2% to 2.5%. This further underscores concerns that the non-AI chip sector is slowing down, with chip factories having stabilized after racing to build extra capacity during the pandemic.

Samsung, which had earlier warned of disappointing third-quarter profits due to struggles in capitalizing on AI chip demand, continued to face pressure. On the other hand, TSMC, which supplies Nvidia, is expected to report a 40% jump in third-quarter profit, showcasing a more optimistic outlook for companies directly tied to AI chip production.

Geopolitical Tensions and Export Controls

Adding to market concerns, Bloomberg News reported that U.S. officials are considering placing a cap on AI chip export licenses to certain countries, particularly in the Persian Gulf. The move is driven by national security concerns that advanced American chips could be indirectly acquired by China, circumventing existing trade restrictions.

Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, remarked, “With the AI revolution expected to play such a huge part in upping productivity and enabling other technological advances, it’s not surprising the U.S. wants to do what it can to maintain its dominance.”

The combination of weak non-AI chip demand and increasing geopolitical tensions highlights the delicate balance chipmakers must navigate as they grapple with shifting market dynamics.