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Alphabet Shares Drop Amid Cloud Growth Concerns and Rising AI Spending

Alphabet’s stock dropped by 8% on Wednesday, driven by investor concerns over the company’s slowing cloud growth and planned capital expenditures of $75 billion for the year. This marks a significant shift for the Google parent, highlighting fears surrounding the escalating costs of artificial intelligence (AI) development.

The company’s quarterly cloud revenue grew by 30%, slower than the 35% increase seen in the previous quarter, and missed market expectations. This decline mirrors challenges faced by its larger cloud rival, Microsoft. Analysts have indicated that these results mark a shift in Google’s business model, moving from its capital-light, high-margin search advertising business to a more capital-intensive, AI-driven approach.

The projected increase in capital expenditures (CapEx) for 2025 is 29% higher than analysts’ estimates. Alphabet has indicated that it will prioritize costly AI investments to avoid falling behind competitors, a strategy that has raised concerns among investors looking for a clearer path to AI-driven profits. Analysts such as Gil Luria from D.A. Davidson expressed worry that Alphabet might be heading down the same path as Microsoft, facing the challenges of high AI costs without immediate returns.

Alphabet’s concerns were further compounded by the rise of China’s DeepSeek, a low-cost AI model that has spurred debate about the high expenses of AI development by Big Tech companies. Despite better-than-expected ad revenue performance, the heightened CapEx and cloud struggles have overshadowed the positive results.

Analysts have responded to the concerns by cutting their price targets on Alphabet’s stock, with some expressing doubts about the company’s ability to capture a significant share of the cloud market. Alphabet’s shares remain the cheapest among the major U.S. cloud providers, with a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7, lower than Amazon’s and Microsoft’s ratios.

 

Alphabet Plans Massive Capex Increase as Cloud Revenue Growth Slows

Alphabet (GOOGL.O) announced plans to spend $75 billion on its AI infrastructure in 2025, a 29% increase over Wall Street’s expectations. This announcement led to a 9% drop in Alphabet’s stock in after-hours trading as investors expressed disappointment with the company’s missed cloud revenue target and growing concerns over its profitability.

Alphabet’s planned capex for 2025 exceeds analysts’ expectations of $58 billion and marks a dramatic increase from the $52.5 billion spent in 2024. CEO Sundar Pichai defended this surge in investment, citing the enormous potential of the AI space and promising that the cost of AI technology would continue to decrease, making it more accessible. Despite this optimism, Alphabet reported a slowdown in its cloud revenue growth, which failed to meet projections.

The company’s cloud business saw a 30% rise in revenue, reaching $11.96 billion for the fourth quarter. However, this was a deceleration from the 35% growth in the previous quarter and missed the expected $12.16 billion. Pichai emphasized that the Gemini family of AI models would drive further growth within the cloud platform, noting that developer usage of Gemini had doubled in the last six months.

Alphabet’s capital spending is primarily focused on building servers and data centers to support its AI initiatives. The company’s cloud segment has faced heightened competition, especially from rivals like Microsoft and Amazon, with the latter set to release its quarterly results soon.

Meanwhile, Alphabet’s core advertising business, which represents around 75% of total revenue, showed positive performance, with ad revenue growing 10.6% to $72.46 billion in the fourth quarter. YouTube contributed significantly to this growth, with ad revenue increasing by 13.8%.

Alphabet’s overall revenue for the quarter rose 12% to $96.47 billion, surpassing analyst expectations, while profits came in at $2.15 per share, above the forecasted $2.13 per share.

 

OpenAI Targets U.S. Higher Education with ChatGPT Rollout at California State University

OpenAI, supported by Microsoft, announced on Tuesday that it will introduce a version of its ChatGPT chatbot specifically designed for education at California State University (CSU). This rollout will reach approximately 500,000 students and faculty across the 23-campus university system, marking a significant expansion of OpenAI’s presence in the academic sector. The new version of ChatGPT aims to provide personalized tutoring and study guides for students, while faculty can use the chatbot for administrative tasks.

This move is part of OpenAI’s broader strategy to integrate ChatGPT into classrooms, despite initial concerns over its potential for academic dishonesty, such as cheating and plagiarism. The adoption of ChatGPT in higher education has been growing, with institutions like the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania, the University of Texas at Austin, and the University of Oxford already using ChatGPT Enterprise. In May last year, OpenAI introduced ChatGPT Edu, a version of the chatbot tailored for educational use.

As OpenAI advances into the education space, its main competitor, Alphabet, has also made moves, including launching a $120 million AI education fund and introducing its GenAI chatbot, Gemini, to school-issued Google accounts. Additionally, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer recently inaugurated London’s first Google-funded AI university, offering older teens access to resources and mentorship in AI and machine learning through Google’s DeepMind.