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Applied Materials Shares Drop on Weak China Demand and Tariff Uncertainty

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Applied Materials (AMAT.O) shares fell roughly 12% in Friday morning trading after the chip-equipment maker issued a disappointing revenue and profit forecast, raising investor concerns about the impact of U.S.-China trade tensions on demand. The decline follows warnings from Dutch rival ASML (ASML.AS), highlighting continued uncertainty over the effects of U.S. tariffs on the semiconductor industry.

CEO Gary Dickerson cited “wide-ranging implications for the semiconductor industry” during a post-earnings call, pointing to lower visibility and heightened uncertainty in the near term due to dynamic policy developments. China, which represented 35% of Applied Materials’ July-quarter sales, has become a key risk as U.S. export restrictions weigh on new equipment orders.

Smaller peer KLA Corp (KLAC.O), which also has a strong presence in China, expects softer demand amid ongoing Sino-U.S. trade tensions, while Deutsche Bank strategists warned that volatility in China is clouding visibility into earnings potential both geopolitically and cyclically.

Applied Materials forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $6.70 billion, plus or minus $500 million, below analysts’ consensus of $7.33 billion. Its projected profit also fell short of expectations. If losses persist, the company could shed over $18 billion from its $151.06 billion market value as of Thursday’s close.

J.P. Morgan analyst Harlan Sur suggested that the slowdown in China reflects timing of spending rather than structural weaknesses. Applied’s stock has risen 1.2% year-to-date, trailing the Nasdaq (.IXIC) up 12.3% and the S&P 500 (.SPX) up 10%.

Shares of other chip-equipment makers, including KLA Corp and Lam Research (LRCX.O), also fell following Applied’s results, down 5.5% and 4.3%, respectively. Applied reported third-quarter revenue of $7.30 billion, up 8% year-on-year and above the $7.22 billion consensus. Its stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 19, lower than ASML’s 26.04, Lam’s 23.56, and KLA’s 26.82.

Applied Materials Cuts Forecast Amid China Slowdown and Export-Restrictions

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Applied Materials (AMAT.O) forecasted fourth-quarter revenue and profit below analyst expectations on Thursday, citing weak demand in China and uneven orders from customers impacted by tariff uncertainty. Shares fell nearly 13% in after-hours trading.

The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and export restrictions on advanced semiconductor equipment have complicated forecasting, weighing on orders for chipmaking tools suppliers like Applied Materials. China accounted for 35% of Applied’s total sales in the July quarter, making it a critical market.

CFO Brice Hill said the company expects a revenue decline in the fourth quarter due to both the absorption of recently added capacity in China and non-linear demand from leading-edge customers. Tightened export controls prevent sales of the most advanced chipmaking equipment to Chinese clients. Meanwhile, Chinese chipmakers are pausing new orders for older-generation chips used in automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics.

Applied projected fourth-quarter revenue of $6.70 billion, plus or minus $500 million, below the $7.33 billion analysts had anticipated. Adjusted profit per share is expected at $2.11, compared with estimates of $2.39. The forecast assumes no approvals for pending U.S. export license applications.

The company’s third-quarter results exceeded expectations, with revenue up 8% to $7.30 billion and adjusted earnings per share at $2.48, above analyst estimates of $2.36.

Beijing E-Town Sues Applied Materials Over Alleged Trade Secret Theft

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Beijing E-Town Semiconductor Technologies, a government-backed Chinese semiconductor equipment company, has filed a lawsuit against U.S. chip equipment supplier Applied Materials, accusing it of illegally obtaining and using trade secrets related to plasma sources and wafer surface treatment. The company seeks 99.99 million yuan ($13.94 million) in damages.

According to Beijing E-Town, Applied Materials disclosed technical secrets by applying for a patent in China and claiming the patent’s application rights. Applied Materials has not responded to requests for comment.

The dispute traces back to 2016 when Beijing E-Town acquired California-based semiconductor equipment designer Mattson Technology. Applied Materials previously sued Mattson in 2022, alleging it had hired former Applied Materials employees to steal trade secrets. Mattson countered with similar accusations in 2023.

In the new lawsuit filed at the Beijing Intellectual Property Court, Beijing E-Town claims that Applied Materials employed two former Mattson employees who later became principal inventors on a patent filed in China. This patent allegedly disclosed confidential technology jointly held by Beijing E-Town and Mattson. Beijing E-Town asserts that Applied Materials’ actions violated China’s fair competition law and constituted trade secret infringement.

The Beijing court has accepted the case, but no hearing has been scheduled yet.