Citi Raises Ether Forecast, Trims Bitcoin Outlook as Investor Preferences Shift
Citigroup has revised its year-end cryptocurrency forecasts, raising its target for ether (ETH) while slightly cutting its outlook for bitcoin (BTC), citing changing investor behaviour and macroeconomic headwinds.
The Wall Street bank said that investors are increasingly gravitating toward ether’s yield-generating features, while bitcoin continues to rely primarily on price appreciation for returns.
NEW TARGETS AND PRICE OUTLOOK
Citi set a year-end target of $133,000 for bitcoin, representing a 12% upside from its current trading price of around $118,747, as of 05:30 GMT.
For ether, the bank now expects the token to reach $4,500 by year-end — a 3% gain from its current level of $4,375.
The brokerage maintains a positive long-term view, forecasting 12-month targets of $181,000 for bitcoin and $5,440 for ether.
BITCOIN: STRONG NARRATIVE, MIXED MACRO HEADWINDS
Citi slightly reduced its bitcoin forecast due to offsetting macroeconomic factors, including a stronger U.S. dollar and weaker gold prices, which tend to reduce demand for alternative stores of value.
Still, analysts said bitcoin’s “digital gold” narrative remains robust, continuing to attract institutional and retail inflows as global interest in hard assets persists.
Citi’s base case assumes year-end inflows of roughly $7.5 billion into bitcoin, while its bull case depends on rising equity markets and stronger demand from digital asset funds.
Under its bear case, however, the bank warned that a global recession could push bitcoin prices down to $83,000.
ETHER: INSTITUTIONAL INTEREST AND STAKING GAINS
Ether’s upgraded outlook comes after a sharp summer price rally, fueled by institutional buying and ETF-related inflows. Citi analysts said ether’s potential for yield generation through staking and decentralised finance (DeFi) continues to attract capital from long-term investors.
Citi expects ether to remain supported in 2025 by strong inflows from ETFs and digital asset treasuries, which have emerged as a growing segment of crypto demand.
While ether’s downside is harder to quantify, given uncertainties around network usage and value accrual, analysts said the token benefits from a broader use case compared with bitcoin.
INVESTOR FLOWS WILL DRIVE YEAR-END PERFORMANCE
Both cryptocurrencies, Citi noted, are trading above user-activity-based metrics, highlighting the speculative component of current valuations. Sustained investor demand and macro stability will be essential to keeping prices elevated into 2026.
“Ether’s yield advantage and utility-driven narrative are drawing steady inflows,” Citi wrote, “while bitcoin continues to hold its place as digital gold — but faces short-term macro friction.”



