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OpenAI’s Cash Burn Projected to Hit $115B by 2029 Amid Chip, Data Center Push

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OpenAI has revised its financial outlook sharply upward, projecting it will burn through $115 billion by 2029, according to The Information. The new figure is about $80 billion higher than its earlier estimate, reflecting the surging costs of powering ChatGPT and other AI models.

The report says OpenAI expects to lose over $8 billion in 2024 alone, roughly $1.5 billion more than forecast earlier this year. The company anticipates that annual burn will balloon to $17 billion next year, rising to $35 billion in 2027 and $45 billion in 2028.

To rein in costs, OpenAI is pursuing vertical integration—developing its own AI server chips and data center infrastructure. Its first in-house chip, being developed in partnership with Broadcom, is expected in 2025 and will be used internally. On the infrastructure side, OpenAI has struck major agreements, including:

  • A $4.5 GW data center expansion with Oracle announced in July.

  • The Stargate project, a planned $500 billion, 10 GW buildout backed by SoftBank.

  • Expanded computing capacity through Google Cloud.

The staggering burn rate underscores the immense capital intensity of generative AI, where costs for cloud computing, GPUs, and electricity are skyrocketing. At the same time, it highlights OpenAI’s strategy to reduce reliance on external providers like Nvidia and Amazon Web Services by building a proprietary AI stack—from chips to data centers.

Oracle and Google Cloud Partner to Offer Gemini AI Models via Oracle Cloud

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Oracle (ORCL.N) and Alphabet (GOOGL.O) announced on Thursday that their cloud computing divisions have reached an agreement to make Google’s Gemini artificial intelligence models available through Oracle’s cloud services and business applications. The collaboration allows developers to leverage Google’s models for generating text, video, images, and audio.

The deal extends to businesses using Oracle applications for corporate finance, human resources, and supply chain management, enabling them to integrate Google’s AI capabilities directly into these tools. While the AI models will run on Google’s servers, Oracle will integrate access through Google’s Vertex AI platform, allowing customers to use Oracle cloud credits to pay for the services. Financial terms between the companies were not disclosed.

This partnership follows a similar arrangement Oracle made with Elon Musk’s xAI in June and aligns with Oracle’s strategy to offer customers multiple AI options instead of focusing solely on its own technology. For Google, the collaboration broadens the reach of its cloud services and aims to attract corporate clients from competitors like Microsoft (MSFT.O).

OpenAI Weighs Antitrust Action Against Microsoft Amid Tensions Over AI Partnership

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Executives at OpenAI have internally discussed whether to accuse Microsoft of anticompetitive behavior, potentially seeking a federal regulatory review of their contractual relationship, according to a report from the Wall Street Journal.

Microsoft, a major backer of OpenAI since 2019 with an investment exceeding $10 billion over time, has been a core infrastructure partner via its Azure cloud services. However, tensions between the companies appear to be growing as they negotiate the terms of OpenAI’s ongoing transition into a public-benefit corporation — a step that requires Microsoft’s approval.

Disputes and Strategic Divergences:

  • Talks between the two sides have dragged on for months without a final agreement on Microsoft’s future equity stake in OpenAI.

  • According to The Information, OpenAI is pushing for Microsoft to accept a 33% stake in a restructured subsidiary in exchange for giving up rights to future profits.

  • OpenAI also seeks to revise clauses that currently give Microsoft exclusive hosting rights for its models, potentially opening the door for other cloud providers like Google Cloud, which OpenAI has already begun engaging to expand its compute capacity.

Microsoft, reportedly unwilling to concede to OpenAI’s proposed restructuring, is said to be seeking further concessions. Still, both companies issued a joint statement to Reuters expressing optimism:

“Talks are ongoing and we are optimistic we will continue to build together for years to come.”

Possible Antitrust Implications:

Should OpenAI move forward with an antitrust complaint or regulatory appeal, it could dramatically reshape one of the most influential alliances in the artificial intelligence landscape. Microsoft’s deep integration with OpenAI — spanning cloud infrastructure, product embedding (like Copilot in Office), and funding — could come under increased regulatory scrutiny, especially in the U.S. and EU, where antitrust enforcement in tech has intensified.

This development highlights OpenAI’s increasing desire to diversify partnerships and assert strategic independence, even from its most powerful corporate backer.