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Intel–Nvidia deal could strengthen Intel’s next-gen chipmaking plans

Intel’s long-struggling manufacturing arm may gain fresh momentum from a new $5 billion partnership with Nvidia, analysts say. The deal, announced Thursday, gives Nvidia a roughly 4% stake in Intel and establishes a framework for the two companies to co-develop multiple generations of joint products.

These products will link Intel’s central processors with Nvidia’s AI and graphics chips using NVLink, Nvidia’s proprietary high-speed interconnect. By being directly tied to Nvidia’s flagship chips, Intel’s CPUs could gain an advantage over rivals such as AMD, which currently lacks such integration.

Crucially, the collaboration could also bolster Intel’s 14A manufacturing process, planned for 2027 but still financially uncertain. Intel has said it needs significant customer commitments to justify the cost of building 14A. Analysts believe Nvidia’s involvement, even indirectly, could help secure the production volumes necessary to make the investment viable.

“Any relationship with Nvidia … should be seen as a possible extension of the partnership in the future,” said Jack Gold of J.Gold Associates, suggesting that deeper collaboration on Intel’s foundry services could follow. Intel will supply CPUs for the joint products and package Nvidia chips in some cases, while engineers from both firms will collaborate to translate Nvidia’s designs into physical chips made in Intel factories.

The move is strategically important because, like Nvidia, Intel often relies on Taiwan’s TSMC for advanced manufacturing. If the joint products prove successful, the deal could ensure Intel’s fabs are busy enough to deliver returns on its multibillion-dollar investments. “It gives me a higher degree of confidence that 14A continues,” said Ben Bajarin of Creative Strategies.

For Nvidia, the tie-up opens doors to Intel’s vast enterprise and government customer base, which depends on decades of software optimized for Intel’s chips. Analysts note that AMD could be the biggest loser from the partnership, as two of its fiercest competitors are now aligning their technologies.

How Nvidia’s $5B Intel stake could bolster Intel’s next-gen chipmaking

Nvidia’s (NVDA.O) $5 billion investment in Intel (INTC.O) may give the struggling chipmaker crucial momentum for its next-generation manufacturing efforts, even though Nvidia has not committed to using Intel’s factories for its own chips, analysts said.

The deal, announced Thursday, gives Nvidia a roughly 4% stake in Intel and creates a partnership to develop “multiple generations” of joint products. These products will link Intel’s central processors with Nvidia’s AI and graphics chips via NVLink, Nvidia’s high-speed proprietary interconnect.

Analysts say the collaboration could indirectly strengthen Intel’s 14A manufacturing process, set for 2027, which the company has warned may not move forward without sufficient customer demand. By tying its CPUs to Nvidia’s flagship products in ways unmatched by rivals, Intel could secure the production volumes needed to justify its costly investments.

“Any relationship with Nvidia at this point, while not explicitly talking about the foundry services, should be seen as a possible extension of the partnership in the future,” said Jack Gold, principal analyst at J.Gold Associates.

Under the agreement, Intel Foundry will supply CPUs for the joint products and package Nvidia chips for some of them. Engineers from both firms will collaborate to translate Nvidia’s designs into physical chips manufactured by Intel. This is notable given both companies often rely on Taiwan’s TSMC (2330.TW) for production.

“If these joint products prove popular, it gives me a higher degree of confidence that 14A continues, at which point Intel should have very good returns,” said Ben Bajarin, CEO of Creative Strategies.

For Nvidia, the deal offers better access to government and enterprise customers that run decades of Intel-compatible software. The main loser could be Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.O), which competes directly with both companies in CPUs and GPUs. “Having two major competitors combining their efforts is not exactly a positive outcome for AMD,” Gold noted.

Intel CEO Considers Major Shift in Foundry Strategy, Focuses on 14A Chipmaking to Compete with TSMC

Intel’s new CEO Lip-Bu Tan is contemplating a significant change to the company’s contract chip manufacturing business, potentially abandoning the costly 18A process developed under his predecessor to focus on the newer 14A technology. This move aims to better compete with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) and attract major clients like Apple and Nvidia, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

The 18A process, which Intel invested billions in, is seen as losing appeal among prospective customers. Shifting focus away from it could lead to a substantial financial write-off for Intel, possibly costing hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars. Intel confirmed it would continue producing chips using 18A for its own internal designs, including the “Panther Lake” laptop chips planned for 2025, as well as fulfilling existing contracts with Amazon and Microsoft.

Tan, who took over in March, has quickly moved to cut costs and reshape Intel’s direction amid years of falling behind in chip technology. The 18A process, which features new transistor designs and energy delivery methods, was intended to rival TSMC’s leading-edge technology but is now considered roughly comparable to TSMC’s earlier N3 node.

By emphasizing 14A, Intel hopes to offer a more competitive foundry service and win contracts from major chip designers currently reliant on TSMC’s manufacturing. The company is customizing 14A to client needs and planning a strategic discussion with its board as soon as this month, with a final decision expected in the fall.

Intel’s move reflects the high stakes involved in regaining its manufacturing edge after a difficult period culminating in an $18.8 billion net loss in 2024. Tan has also revamped Intel’s leadership and streamlined management to improve agility.

While the strategy is still forming, the potential pivot marks one of Tan’s boldest efforts to restore Intel’s chipmaking leadership and profitability.