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Alphabet Shares Drop Amid Cloud Growth Concerns and Rising AI Spending

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Alphabet’s stock dropped by 8% on Wednesday, driven by investor concerns over the company’s slowing cloud growth and planned capital expenditures of $75 billion for the year. This marks a significant shift for the Google parent, highlighting fears surrounding the escalating costs of artificial intelligence (AI) development.

The company’s quarterly cloud revenue grew by 30%, slower than the 35% increase seen in the previous quarter, and missed market expectations. This decline mirrors challenges faced by its larger cloud rival, Microsoft. Analysts have indicated that these results mark a shift in Google’s business model, moving from its capital-light, high-margin search advertising business to a more capital-intensive, AI-driven approach.

The projected increase in capital expenditures (CapEx) for 2025 is 29% higher than analysts’ estimates. Alphabet has indicated that it will prioritize costly AI investments to avoid falling behind competitors, a strategy that has raised concerns among investors looking for a clearer path to AI-driven profits. Analysts such as Gil Luria from D.A. Davidson expressed worry that Alphabet might be heading down the same path as Microsoft, facing the challenges of high AI costs without immediate returns.

Alphabet’s concerns were further compounded by the rise of China’s DeepSeek, a low-cost AI model that has spurred debate about the high expenses of AI development by Big Tech companies. Despite better-than-expected ad revenue performance, the heightened CapEx and cloud struggles have overshadowed the positive results.

Analysts have responded to the concerns by cutting their price targets on Alphabet’s stock, with some expressing doubts about the company’s ability to capture a significant share of the cloud market. Alphabet’s shares remain the cheapest among the major U.S. cloud providers, with a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.7, lower than Amazon’s and Microsoft’s ratios.

 

Microsoft and Meta Defend Heavy AI Investments Despite DeepSeek’s Low-Cost Advantage

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In response to the breakthrough low-cost AI models developed by Chinese startup DeepSeek, CEOs of Microsoft and Meta have defended their substantial investments in artificial intelligence, emphasizing that the heavy spending is essential to staying competitive in the rapidly growing field. DeepSeek’s claims of outperforming Western AI models at a fraction of the cost have sparked concerns over the U.S. tech industry’s dominance, but both executives stressed that building extensive computing infrastructures is crucial to meeting rising corporate demands.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted the strategic advantage that heavy investments in capital expenditure and infrastructure will bring over time. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella echoed this sentiment, stating that such investments are needed to address the capacity constraints that have limited the company’s ability to capitalize fully on AI opportunities. Nadella also noted that as AI becomes more efficient and accessible, demand for the technology will grow exponentially.

Microsoft has allocated $80 billion for AI in its current fiscal year, while Meta has committed up to $65 billion. This stands in stark contrast to the roughly $6 million that DeepSeek claims to have spent on developing its AI model. However, U.S. executives and analysts note that DeepSeek’s reported costs are limited to computing power, not including broader development expenses.

Despite these substantial investments, investor patience is waning. Microsoft shares dropped 6% after the company revealed that its Azure cloud business growth would fall short of third-quarter expectations. Brian Mulberry, portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management, emphasized the need for a clearer path to monetizing the investments.

Meanwhile, Meta’s stock rose more than 4% following a strong fourth-quarter performance, though its first-quarter sales forecast was underwhelming. Analysts, like Daniel Newman from Futurum Group, pointed out the disparity between capital expenditure and revenue generation in the AI sector.

Both companies have indicated efforts to moderate spending. Microsoft CFO Amy Hood stated that capital expenditures for the third and fourth quarters would remain around $22.6 billion, similar to the previous quarter, with growth rate expectations for fiscal 2026 being lower than in fiscal 2025.

 

Microsoft Shares Slide After Disappointing Cloud Forecast and AI Spending Worries

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Microsoft’s shares dropped 4.5% in after-hours trading on Wednesday after the company issued a disappointing growth forecast for its cloud computing business, particularly Azure. Despite exceeding sales expectations for the fiscal second quarter, investors expressed concerns about the company’s large spending on artificial intelligence (AI) and the potential competition from cheaper AI models emerging from China.

The cloud unit, Azure, reported 31% growth in the quarter, falling short of Wall Street’s expectations of 31.8%. Microsoft’s capital expenditures were also higher than analysts anticipated, reaching $22.6 billion, compared to the forecasted $20.95 billion.

Although Microsoft’s AI investments have led to improved performance, including a 10-fold better price-to-performance ratio, analysts are looking for clearer evidence of monetization. Despite being optimistic about AI’s future potential, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella acknowledged that the company is still in the early stages of realizing profits from these technologies.

The rise of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, has intensified concerns about increased competition in the AI market, potentially leading to a price war. Microsoft has already added DeepSeek’s AI models to its Azure offerings, highlighting the growing pressure from rivals offering cheaper AI alternatives.

However, Microsoft remains a strong player in the AI space, securing new Azure contracts, including those with OpenAI, which has helped the company achieve significant commercial bookings growth of 67%. Microsoft’s total revenue for the fiscal second quarter was $69.6 billion, reflecting a 12% increase, while earnings per share were reported at $3.23, surpassing analyst expectations of $3.11.

Despite the uncertainty surrounding AI spending and competition, Microsoft continues to be viewed as a key player in the AI sector, with its stock rising 8% over the past year, although trailing behind competitors like Alphabet and Amazon in performance.