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Elon Musk’s xAI Set to Raise $5 Billion Debt Despite Tepid Investor Interest

Elon Musk’s AI startup, xAI, is poised to close a $5 billion debt financing led by Morgan Stanley, although investor demand has been notably modest, according to sources familiar with the matter. The debt package includes a floating-rate term loan, a fixed-rate loan, and secured bonds, with allocations scheduled for Wednesday.

The floating-rate loan carries an interest rate of 700 basis points above the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, while the fixed-rate loan and secured notes offer yields near 12%, significantly higher than the current 7.6% average yield for high-yield bonds. This elevated cost reflects the risks investors associate with xAI’s unrated debt and lack of profitability to date.

Several potential investors declined to participate, citing concerns over xAI’s financial transparency and Musk’s previous financing history. Notably, Musk’s 2022 $44 billion acquisition of Twitter involved $13 billion in loans that lenders had to retain on their balance sheets for two years due to poor secondary market demand.

While the debt issuance was fully subscribed, total orders amounted to roughly 1.5 times the amount offered, below the typical 2.5 to 3 times seen in similar junk bond offerings. Unlike Musk’s Twitter debt deal—where banks guaranteed the sale and committed capital—this transaction is structured as a “best efforts” deal with no such guarantees from Morgan Stanley.

Beyond debt, xAI is also reportedly pursuing a $20 billion equity raise that could value the company above $120 billion, with some investors estimating up to $200 billion.

Elon Musk’s xAI Projects Over $13 Billion Annual Earnings by 2029, Bloomberg Reports

Artificial intelligence startup xAI, founded by Elon Musk, expects to generate more than $13 billion in annual earnings by 2029, according to data shared by its banker Morgan Stanley, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday.

Morgan Stanley is seeking investors for a $5 billion debt sale by xAI and has disclosed the AI company’s financials to potential investors willing to commit at least $50 million. The figures reveal that xAI aims to reach $1 billion in gross revenue by the end of 2025 and $14 billion by 2029.

In the first quarter of this year, xAI reported $52 million in gross revenue but faced a loss of $341 million before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). Projections show a rapid improvement, with EBITDA expected to rise to $2.7 billion by 2027 and hit $13.1 billion in 2029.

Like many AI startups, xAI is investing heavily in infrastructure, planning $18 billion in future data center investments following $2.6 billion in capital expenditures so far.

This financial unveiling coincides with a highly public spat between Elon Musk and former U.S. President Donald Trump, involving threats over government contracts. The effect of this dispute on xAI’s debt sale remains unclear.

In addition to the debt raise, xAI is reportedly targeting a valuation of $113 billion in a concurrent $300 million share sale.

Neither Morgan Stanley nor xAI has responded to Reuters requests for comment.

Beijing Supports AI Startup Manus in Bid for Global AI Dominance

Chinese AI startup Manus has made significant strides, with its China-facing AI assistant now officially registered and receiving notable state media attention, as Beijing continues to promote domestic AI companies. The startup, which recently garnered global attention for releasing what it claims is the world’s first general AI agent capable of making decisions and executing tasks autonomously, is being positioned as a key player in China’s ambition to rival global AI leaders.

Manus’ breakthrough moment came when the company went viral on social media platform X, following the introduction of its AI agent, which offers a more advanced and independent functionality compared to current AI chatbots like ChatGPT and the AI model DeepSeek. Beijing’s state-run CCTV aired a segment showcasing Manus, highlighting the AI agent’s unique capabilities, and comparing it to DeepSeek’s AI chatbot, which also gained recognition for offering competitive performance at a fraction of the cost of its U.S. counterparts.

The Chinese government has supported Manus’ development, with Beijing’s municipal government approving the registration of Manus’ earlier AI assistant, Monica, which is a necessary step for launching generative AI apps in China. This regulatory approval aligns with Beijing’s strategy of bolstering the domestic AI sector while maintaining tight control over content deemed sensitive by the authorities.

In addition to government backing, Manus secured a strategic partnership with the team behind Alibaba’s Qwen AI models, further strengthening its position in the competitive AI landscape. Manus’ AI agent is currently available through an invite-only system, with a waitlist reportedly exceeding 2 million users.