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Texas Instruments Shares Fall 6% as Weak Outlook Points to Extended Chip Market Slowdown

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Texas Instruments (TXN.O) shares dropped 6% on Wednesday after the chipmaker issued a disappointing forecast for the fourth quarter, warning of a prolonged slump in the analog semiconductor market. The bleak outlook has fueled fears that the chip industry’s long-awaited rebound could take longer than expected amid tariff uncertainty and sluggish industrial demand.

TI projected fourth-quarter revenue of $4.4 billion and earnings per share of $1.26, both falling short of analyst expectations. The company’s gross profit margin also slipped by 50 basis points from the previous quarter. Analysts say customers remain cautious about new capital spending, taking a “wait-and-see” approach as global trade and tariff rules remain unclear.

The company’s struggles highlight how geopolitical tensions and U.S. trade policies under President Donald Trump’s administration are weighing on the semiconductor industry. Though TI has reduced some of its exposure to tariffs through trade deals, the potential for new 100% semiconductor import duties has rattled confidence, even as domestic manufacturers are offered exemptions.

Brokerage firm Jefferies said it expects the rest of the Analog group to experience similar softness, while Charter Equity Research noted that weak customer demand and excess inventory could suppress margins for several more quarters.

Shares of other analog chipmakers, including On Semiconductor (ON.O), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI.O), and Analog Devices (ADI.O), also fell between 2% and 3% following the report. At least 16 brokerages cut their price targets for TI after the announcement, with the company poised to lose around $10 billion in market value if declines persist.

Despite a $60 billion investment plan to expand U.S. manufacturing, TI’s near-term outlook remains clouded by macroeconomic uncertainty and weaker industrial spending. Its stock has fallen 4% this year, trading at a 12-month forward P/E ratio of 29.05, above Analog Devices’ 26.24 — a sign investors remain cautious on its valuation amid the slowdown.

Tower Semiconductor Forecasts Q2 Revenue Above Estimates on Wireless Chip Demand

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Tower Semiconductor (TSEM), the Israel-based contract chipmaker, forecast second-quarter revenue slightly above Wall Street expectations on Wednesday, buoyed by steady demand for wireless communication and power management chips.

The company, which specializes in analog and mixed-signal semiconductors, is seeing record growth in radio frequency (RF) infrastructure technologies, driven by expanding wireless and sensing applications—even as demand in automotive and industrial sectors remains uneven.

Key Forecast and Financial Highlights:

  • Q2 Revenue Guidance: $372 million (±5%), above analyst estimates of $371.3 million (LSEG)

  • Q1 Revenue: $358.2 million, in line with forecasts

  • Q1 Adjusted EPS: 45 cents, beating estimates of 38 cents

Growth Drivers

  • Strong demand for RF infrastructure chips used in wireless communication is a standout contributor to revenue.

  • Despite choppy conditions in the automotive and EV sectors, Tower is finding support in consumer electronics and industrial applications.

The company is also expanding production capacity at its Agrate, Italy facility, a move that increases short-term costs but is expected to bolster long-term output and growth potential.

Tower reaffirmed its full-year outlook for sequential revenue growth across quarters, signaling confidence in its product pipeline and end-market stability.

Market Reaction

Despite the strong performance and upbeat forecast, Tower’s U.S.-listed shares slipped about 1% in premarket trading, possibly due to broader market sentiment or cost concerns related to facility expansion.

Tower’s continued focus on analog and RF chip technologies—especially amid global interest in connectivity and power efficiency—positions it as a resilient player in a diversifying semiconductor landscape.

Skyworks Beats Q2, Offers Upbeat Q3 Forecast; Names New CFO Amid Chip Demand Strength

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Skyworks Solutions (SWKS.O), a key Apple supplier, reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results and issued an upbeat Q3 forecast, signaling resilient demand for its analog and mixed-signal chips despite ongoing global trade tensions. The company also announced the appointment of Mark Dentinger as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective June 2, succeeding Kris Sennesael, who is stepping down to pursue another opportunity.

Shares rose 2.7% in extended trading following the announcements.

Q2 Results:

  • Revenue: $953M (vs. $951.5M expected)

  • Adjusted EPS: $1.24 (vs. $1.20 expected)

Q3 Outlook:

  • Revenue guidance: $920M–$960M (midpoint > $922M estimate)

  • Adjusted EPS guidance: $1.24 (vs. $1.06 estimate)

  • Mobile chip business: Expected to decline low single digits sequentially

  • Broad markets: On track for another quarter of sequential growth

“We remain encouraged by ongoing momentum in our broad markets,” the company said in its earnings release, citing improving year-over-year trends across industrial, automotive, and consumer segments.

Leadership Change:

  • Mark Dentinger, former CFO of Veritas, will step in as Skyworks CFO on June 2

  • Kris Sennesael, outgoing CFO, to exit on Friday

Skyworks continues to compete with chipmakers like NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), Qorvo (QRVO), and Texas Instruments (TXN) in supplying key components for wireless communications and IoT-driven applications.

Despite macroeconomic uncertainty and tech-sector volatility, the company’s stable mobile business and growth in diversified markets underscore investor confidence going into the back half of 2025.