Experts divided over whether AI boom is a bubble or sustainable revolution
The massive wave of investment in artificial intelligence has triggered debate across global markets over whether the surge mirrors the dot-com bubble or represents a sustainable technological revolution. Companies have poured hundreds of billions of dollars into AI infrastructure, fueling record valuations — but also investor caution.
A BofA Global Research survey showed that 54% of fund managers now believe AI stocks are in a bubble, compared with 38% who disagree, highlighting the growing divide between optimism and skepticism.
The Bank of England warned on October 8 that global markets could tumble if sentiment toward AI shifts, saying “the risk of a sharp market correction has increased.”
Other experts, however, see the AI boom as a long-term growth story. Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs argued that the investment surge remains macroeconomically sustainable, though he noted that “the ultimate AI winners remain less clear.”
ABB CEO Morten Wierod echoed that sentiment, saying, “I don’t think there is a bubble, but we do see constraints in construction capacity,” adding that the industry is dealing with “trillions in investment” and limited human resources.
Amazon founder Jeff Bezos said investor enthusiasm is not inherently negative: “When people get very excited … every experiment gets funded. Some will fail, but society benefits when the winners emerge.”
IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas compared the AI boom to the early 2000s tech frenzy but said it’s less likely to trigger a systemic crash because it’s not driven by debt.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman offered a more candid view: “Are investors overexcited about AI? Yes. Someone is going to lose a phenomenal amount of money — and others will make a phenomenal amount.”
Despite these warnings, UBS strategists found that 90% of investors who believe in an AI bubble remain heavily invested, suggesting confidence in the sector’s long-term potential even as valuations soar.
