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Japan Stocks Gain Amid Record Budget Proposal; Asia-Pacific Markets Mixed

Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.12% to close at 8,220.9 on Thursday, while the Topix index added 1.20%, ending at 2,766.78. The gains followed reports that the Japanese government plans to propose a record ¥107 trillion ($735 billion) budget for the fiscal year starting in April, reflecting increased allocations for social security and debt-servicing expenses, according to a draft reviewed by Reuters.

The Bank of Japan’s Governor Kazuo Ueda also expressed optimism on Wednesday, stating that Japan’s economy is likely to achieve sustainable and stable 2% inflation accompanied by wage growth by 2025. The 10-year Japanese government bond yield edged up 1.3 basis points to 1.078%, while the yen strengthened to 157.16 against the dollar, indicating market anticipation of potential interest rate hikes.

Among Japanese stocks, automakers Nissan and Honda surged 6.58% and 3.84%, respectively, as both companies initiated formal merger talks earlier this week. If successful, the merger would create the world’s third-largest carmaker by sales. Conversely, Japan Airlines slipped 0.24% after a cyberattack caused delays to domestic and international flights, although its systems have since returned to normal.

Elsewhere in the Asia-Pacific region, South Korea’s Kospi dipped 0.44% to 2,429.67, and the Kosdaq fell 0.66% to 675.64. Political tensions intensified as the opposition Democratic Party submitted a bill to impeach acting President Han Duck-soo, with voting expected on Friday. E-Mart shares gained 5.45% following reports that Alibaba Group Holding is nearing a deal to integrate its South Korean business with E-Mart’s e-commerce platform.

China’s CSI 300 posted slight gains, closing at 3,987.48, after the World Bank raised its GDP growth forecast for the country to 4.9% for 2024 and 4.5% for 2025, citing recent policy adjustments. The Chinese government also reaffirmed its commitment to stabilizing the real estate market, announcing measures to control the supply of commercial housing.

Singapore’s manufacturing output grew 8.5% year-on-year in November, driven by robust performance in the electronics sector. However, the figure fell short of Reuters’ 10% growth forecast, and on a month-on-month basis, output contracted by 0.4%, missing expectations for a 0.8% increase.

Markets in Australia, New Zealand, and Hong Kong were closed for the Boxing Day holiday, while U.S. markets were also closed overnight for Christmas. On Christmas Eve, U.S. stocks rallied, with the S&P 500 climbing 1.1% to 6,040.04, the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 0.91%, and the Nasdaq Composite advancing 1.35%, supported by Tesla’s 7.4% surge.

The rally marked the beginning of the “Santa Claus rally,” a period typically associated with gains during the final trading days of December and the first two in January.

 

Hong Kong Stocks Surge Over 5% for Sixth Consecutive Day Amid Stimulus Optimism

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index surged more than 5% on Wednesday, reaching a 22-month high as optimism regarding Beijing’s latest stimulus measures continued to drive market momentum. This marks the sixth consecutive day of gains, largely fueled by significant advancements in the property sector.

Returning from a public holiday on Tuesday, traders witnessed property developers like China Vanke, Longfor Group, and Logan Group skyrocketing by over 40%, 32%, and 31%, respectively. This rally came after major cities in mainland China implemented easing measures aimed at boosting homebuyer confidence. Additionally, Chinese tech giants including Meituan, Baidu, and JD.com saw increases of over 10%.

With mainland Chinese markets closed for the Golden Week holiday, traders reflected on a strong Monday where Chinese stocks enjoyed their best performance in 16 years, following the announcement of various stimulus initiatives from Beijing. These measures included interest rate cuts, reduced reserve requirements for banks, and increased liquidity for investors.

However, James Sullivan of JPMorgan expressed caution regarding the sustainability of this market rally, pointing out that current stimulus measures seem to focus more on supply and investment rather than directly boosting consumer demand. “The million-dollar question in China right now is, does [the stimulus] only flow into the supply side of the equation, or does it ultimately flow through into consumer demand?” he remarked.

Mixed Performance Across Asia-Pacific Markets Despite Hong Kong’s rally, the broader Asia-Pacific markets exhibited mixed results on Wednesday. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dipped 0.13% to close at 8,198.2, while South Korea’s Kospi fell 1.22% to 2,561.69. Japan’s Nikkei 225 decreased by 2.18% to end at 37,808.76, with the Topix dropping 1.44% to 2,651.96.

The recent political developments in Japan, with Shigeru Ishiba taking over as Prime Minister, may influence the Bank of Japan’s monetary policies. Although Ishiba’s leadership might provide room for further interest rate hikes, newly appointed economy minister Ryosei Akazawa emphasized the need for cautious evaluation before making any adjustments.

South Korea Economic Data and Concerns In South Korea, traders were digesting consumer inflation data that indicated a rise of 1.6% in September, which was lower than economists’ expectations of 1.9%. Additionally, factory activity in South Korea contracted at its fastest pace in 15 months in September, highlighting concerns over slowing overseas demand.

Middle East Tensions Impacting Global Markets In U.S. markets, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by more than 173 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined by 0.93% and 1.53%, respectively, driven by rising tensions in the Middle East. Iran’s missile strikes on Israel and Israel’s ground operations in Lebanon have escalated conflict in the region.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed retaliation, asserting that Iran would pay for its actions. Economist Stephen Roach warned that the ongoing conflict could lead to increased oil prices and inflation, prompting the U.S. Federal Reserve to reconsider its accommodative monetary policy amidst rising unemployment.

Investors are closely watching for the upcoming September jobs report, which will provide further insight into the U.S. labor market amid these turbulent conditions.

 

Japan’s Nikkei Leads Asia-Pacific Gains; China’s CSI 300 Extends Rally to Seventh Day

Asia-Pacific markets advanced on Thursday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 leading the region and Chinese markets continuing their upward momentum. The Nikkei 225 surged by 2.12%, while the broader Topix rose by 1.65%. The market gains in Japan were buoyed by the release of the Bank of Japan’s July meeting minutes, which provided further clarity on the central bank’s policy stance.

In China, the CSI 300 extended its winning streak to seven consecutive days, hitting its highest level in nearly two months. The rally follows Beijing’s rollout of economic stimulus measures earlier this week. The index opened 0.15% higher on Thursday, signaling continued investor optimism.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index also saw growth, advancing 0.91% to reach its highest point since May. South Korea’s Kospi jumped by 1.9%, with chipmaker SK Hynix surging more than 8% after announcing the mass production of the world’s first 12-layer HBM3E chip, designed for use in artificial intelligence memory applications. The smaller Kosdaq index gained 1.31%.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 joined the regional rally, rising 0.53% as markets remained positive.

In contrast, U.S. markets experienced a slight dip. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 both retreated from their recent record highs. The S&P 500 lost 0.19%, while the Dow fell by 0.7% after reaching a new high during early trading. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite edged up marginally by 0.04%, remaining in positive territory despite the broader decline.