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Alphabet Hits Record High Following Trump’s FTC Chair Nomination

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Alphabet (GOOGL.O), the parent company of Google, soared to a record high on Wednesday after President-elect Donald Trump nominated Andrew Ferguson as the new chair of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). Ferguson, a current FTC commissioner and known dissenter under outgoing chair Lina Khan, is expected to shift the agency’s approach to antitrust enforcement.

Lina Khan, whose tenure focused on stringent antitrust actions against Big Tech, brought significant regulatory pressure on firms like Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple. Analysts believe Ferguson’s leadership may signal the end of the antitrust case against Alphabet, sparking investor optimism. “Under Ferguson, many expect a more lenient stance toward corporate power,” remarked Jay Woods, chief global strategist at Freedom Capital Markets.

Alphabet’s shares surged 5.5% to a record $195.45, leading a broader rally in Big Tech. Tesla also reached a record high, gaining 4.6%, as investors speculated on the company benefiting from CEO Elon Musk’s close ties to Trump. Other tech heavyweights followed suit: Microsoft rose 1.2%, while Amazon.com and Meta Platforms each climbed 2%.

The rally was further fueled by expectations of an interest-rate cut later this month, following a favorable inflation report. Lower interest rates are typically advantageous for growth stocks like those in the technology sector.

Alphabet’s recent stock momentum also stems from groundbreaking advancements in AI and quantum computing. Earlier in the week, the company unveiled the second generation of its Gemini artificial-intelligence model, along with innovative applications for AI beyond chatbots. These include integration with wearable technology, such as AI-enhanced eyeglasses.

Additionally, Alphabet introduced a new-generation quantum chip that addresses a critical challenge in quantum computing. “This is Alphabet cementing its position at the forefront of transformative technology,” said Michael Ashley Schulman, CIO of Running Point Capital. Jamie Meyers, a senior analyst at Laffer Tengler Investments, highlighted how Alphabet’s quantum breakthrough demonstrates its capability in hardware development, despite being perceived as trailing in AI innovation.

While Trump’s broader approach to Big Tech remains uncertain, Ferguson’s appointment has catalyzed a wave of optimism, particularly for companies like Alphabet, which have faced intense regulatory scrutiny in recent years.

 

Big Tech’s AI Investment Surge Stirs Investor Concerns Over Profitability

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Big technology companies like Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet are ramping up investments in AI infrastructure, sparking concerns on Wall Street over the returns on these large expenditures. As they aim to meet growing demand for AI applications, Microsoft and Meta revealed on Wednesday that their capital expenses are rising due to increased spending on AI infrastructure, with Alphabet also reporting sustained high expenditures earlier in the week. Amazon is expected to follow a similar path, set to report results on Thursday.

These AI investments are eating into the companies’ high margins, making profitability a key concern among investors. On Thursday, shares in these companies fell, reflecting investor anxiety about balancing long-term AI development costs with the need for short-term financial performance. Despite surpassing revenue and profit expectations for the July-September quarter, Meta’s stock dropped by more than 3%, while Microsoft fell 6%, and Amazon saw a 3% decline as well.

Analysts highlight the high costs associated with operating AI technology and expanding capacity. Beatriz Valle of GlobalData remarked, “It’s costly to run AI technology. Getting capacity is expensive.” This fierce competition for AI infrastructure could mean delayed returns on these investments. Microsoft’s quarterly capital expenses now exceed its full-year spending from just three years ago, while Meta’s quarterly spending aligns with its entire annual budget from 2017. Microsoft announced a 5.3% rise in capital spending, totaling $20 billion, and anticipates further spending increases in the coming quarters as it pursues its AI goals.

However, Microsoft also warned of potential slowdowns in growth for its cloud service, Azure, due to limitations in data center capacity, adding pressure to investor concerns. Analyst Gil Luria at D.A. Davidson pointed out the potential for a prolonged margin impact, noting that heavy investment years like this one could reduce margins by a percentage point for up to six years.

Capacity constraints are also affecting the broader tech industry, with chipmakers like Nvidia and AMD struggling to meet surging AI chip demand. AMD recently indicated that supply will likely remain tight into next year, further limiting cloud providers’ ability to expand AI capacity. Despite these challenges, Meta and Microsoft are doubling down on AI’s long-term potential, comparing today’s AI investments to the early days of cloud technology development.

Meta’s CEO Mark Zuckerberg emphasized that while building infrastructure may not satisfy short-term investor expectations, the potential rewards justify continued investment. He stated on Wednesday’s earnings call, “We’re going to continue investing significantly in this.”