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Carlos Ghosn Warns of “Carnage” for Nissan in Honda Merger

Carlos Ghosn, the former CEO of Nissan, has raised concerns about the potential consequences of a merger between Nissan and Honda, predicting that Nissan would bear the brunt of the cost-cutting measures. In an interview with CNBC, Ghosn expressed his belief that Honda would take control in the merger, which he described as “sad” considering his long tenure at Nissan. He emphasized that there is little complementarity between the two automakers, and any synergies would likely come through cost reductions and duplication of plans and technologies, which would harm Nissan, the “minor partner.”

Ghosn, who led Nissan for 19 years and was instrumental in its growth, criticized the lack of alignment between Nissan and Honda, suggesting that the merger would lead to significant layoffs and operational cuts at Nissan. He also pointed out that Nissan’s former partnership with Renault offered more complementarities, implying that the Nissan-Honda merger was not as strategically sound.

The merger speculation gained traction earlier this month, and both companies confirmed their talks on Monday. The proposed merger would result in a $54 billion entity, with Honda assuming the dominant role due to its significantly larger market capitalization. If successful, the combined group would become the world’s third-largest automaker, surpassing Hyundai. However, both Nissan and Honda executives have stressed that the merger would create economies of scale, particularly in the electric vehicle (EV) transition, and deliver long-term profitability.

Despite these assurances, concerns remain about the merger’s viability. Nissan is undergoing a major restructuring, which includes cutting production capacity and laying off 9,000 employees, while Honda’s CEO acknowledged that some shareholders may see the deal as a form of support for Nissan’s struggles. Ghosn suggested that Nissan’s move towards the merger indicated a sense of desperation, as the company appears unable to resolve its issues independently.

Investor reactions have mirrored these concerns. Kei Okamura, a portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, noted that while the merger’s long-term vision seems promising, the integration process would be crucial to its success. He emphasized the uncertainty around the merger’s execution, particularly the challenges of integrating the companies’ assets, cultures, and people. Okamura also noted that the deal could fall through if Nissan’s restructuring efforts fail to yield results.

Both Nissan and Honda have declined further comment on Ghosn’s statements or the merger plans.

 

Nissan CEO Makoto Uchida Faces Mounting Pressure Amid Automaker’s Struggles

Nissan CEO Makoto Uchida is under intense scrutiny as the automaker grapples with declining sales, job cuts, and strategic missteps in its critical markets, including the United States and China. The company, once a leader in electric vehicles (EVs), is now struggling to recover its footing amidst industry-wide disruptions and internal management challenges.

A Crisis in Leadership

In an October meeting with hundreds of Nissan managers, Uchida delivered stark news about the company’s worsening financial position. Weak sales in North America and China were cited as primary factors, alongside the absence of gasoline-electric hybrids in the U.S. market. Nissan’s decision to go “all-in” on EVs in the U.S. left it vulnerable as demand for hybrids surged due to high EV costs and limited charging infrastructure.

Despite being aware of this demand, Nissan delayed adapting its strategy, leading to missed opportunities. The company has sold its e-Power hybrids in Japan since 2016 but will not introduce a plug-in hybrid in the U.S. until March 2026.

“We weren’t able to foresee the rapid rise in demand for hybrids,” Uchida admitted at a November earnings conference, acknowledging management misjudgments.

Restructuring and Cost-Cutting Measures

To address these challenges, Uchida has pledged to cut 9,000 jobs, reduce global production capacity by 20%, and save $2.6 billion in costs. The company has already seen 1,000 U.S. employees accept early retirement and is considering further cuts in Thailand and China, where underutilized factories may be closed.

Nissan’s joint-venture plant in Mexico, COMPAS, is a likely target for downsizing. The facility, shared with Mercedes-Benz, has been operating far below its 230,000-vehicle annual capacity, producing only about 50,000 vehicles.

The Sunderland plant in the UK, however, is expected to remain operational due to recent upgrades. Weakness in the yen has also made Japan a relatively cost-effective manufacturing base, reducing the likelihood of significant cuts there.

Market Challenges and Missed Opportunities

Nissan has struggled to maintain its position in key markets. The company’s market share in China, once a stronghold, has eroded as it failed to keep up with shifting consumer preferences for futuristic-looking hybrids. Similarly, in the U.S., its EV strategy faltered when post-pandemic consumer spending slowed, and hybrids gained popularity.

The Ariya, Nissan’s much-anticipated EV, faced production delays and missed out on a $7,500 U.S. tax credit due to being manufactured in Japan rather than North America.

Nissan’s global sales fell to 3.3 million vehicles in 2022, a 40% decline from 2017 levels. The company’s stock has also plummeted 70% in the last decade, erasing $30 billion in value.

Internal Turmoil and Activist Pressure

Since the 2018 arrest of former chairman Carlos Ghosn, Nissan has been plagued by leadership instability. Uchida is now facing scrutiny from activist investors such as Singapore-based Effissimo Capital Management and Hong Kong’s Oasis Management, who have built stakes in the company.

The CEO has also been criticized internally for his handling of the company’s recovery and strategic direction. Analysts have questioned Nissan’s decision-making for over a year, particularly regarding the lack of hybrids in the U.S. market.

Future Prospects

Nissan is making efforts to pivot. The company plans to launch 34 hybrid and EV models globally by 2030, including a plug-in hybrid for the U.S. by 2026. Additionally, it is exploring partnerships, such as a potential long-term collaboration with Honda on batteries and research.

Despite the challenges, Uchida remains resolute. “I am determined and committed to fulfill my duty as CEO,” he stated during a recent press conference. However, with declining sales, intensifying competition from Tesla and BYD, and increasing scrutiny from stakeholders, the road ahead for both Uchida and Nissan remains uncertain.