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OpenAI’s Cash Burn Projected to Hit $115B by 2029 Amid Chip, Data Center Push

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OpenAI has revised its financial outlook sharply upward, projecting it will burn through $115 billion by 2029, according to The Information. The new figure is about $80 billion higher than its earlier estimate, reflecting the surging costs of powering ChatGPT and other AI models.

The report says OpenAI expects to lose over $8 billion in 2024 alone, roughly $1.5 billion more than forecast earlier this year. The company anticipates that annual burn will balloon to $17 billion next year, rising to $35 billion in 2027 and $45 billion in 2028.

To rein in costs, OpenAI is pursuing vertical integration—developing its own AI server chips and data center infrastructure. Its first in-house chip, being developed in partnership with Broadcom, is expected in 2025 and will be used internally. On the infrastructure side, OpenAI has struck major agreements, including:

  • A $4.5 GW data center expansion with Oracle announced in July.

  • The Stargate project, a planned $500 billion, 10 GW buildout backed by SoftBank.

  • Expanded computing capacity through Google Cloud.

The staggering burn rate underscores the immense capital intensity of generative AI, where costs for cloud computing, GPUs, and electricity are skyrocketing. At the same time, it highlights OpenAI’s strategy to reduce reliance on external providers like Nvidia and Amazon Web Services by building a proprietary AI stack—from chips to data centers.

Ubisoft Shares Plunge 20% as Game Delays Increase Cash Burn

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Ubisoft shares tumbled nearly 20% on Thursday, marking the company’s biggest single-day drop in over a decade, after the French video game maker announced it would burn more cash to extend development timelines for major titles.

In an earnings statement, CEO Yves Guillemot revealed that Ubisoft is allowing “additional development time to some of our biggest productions,” which will push the release of significant content into the next two years. The move, while aimed at improving game quality, has rattled investor confidence.

Key Financial Outlook:

  • Ubisoft now expects to break even in operating profit for the fiscal year ending March 2026.

  • Net bookings for the current fiscal year (to March 2025) fell by 20.5%, due to both delayed releases and underperformance of major titles.

  • The company aims to return to positive cash flow next year, but analysts are skeptical.

Barclays analysts had projected €96 million in free cash flow this year, but said Ubisoft’s latest guidance falls “well below” expectations. “Investors will believe in the free cash flow when it is in front of them,” the bank noted.

Game Performance and Delays:

  • The much-anticipated Assassin’s Creed: Shadows has been delayed multiple times.

  • Star Wars Outlaws, another flagship title, received a lukewarm reception.

  • Morningstar analysts expressed doubt that Shadows will be enough to turn Ubisoft’s fortunes around in 2026, given the current outlook.

To manage soaring development costs, Ubisoft has launched a joint venture with China’s Tencent, targeting the production of blockbuster franchises such as Assassin’s Creed, Far Cry, and Rainbow Six.

Despite long-term hopes pinned on these franchises, the short-term outlook remains bleak. By 08:23 GMT on Thursday, Ubisoft shares were down 19.5%, putting the company on track for its sharpest decline since 2013.