Yazılar

Chip Stocks Mixed Amid DeepSeek Shock, Earnings in Focus

/in /tarafından

Semiconductor stocks experienced a mixed performance on Wednesday, with European chip stocks surging due to strong earnings, while U.S. stocks, including Nvidia, faced continued pressure as investors weighed the potential impact of China’s low-cost DeepSeek AI tool.

The Philadelphia semiconductor index struggled to find direction, down 0.4% by mid-day, and the broader S&P 500 tech index fell 1.9%, primarily due to a significant drop in Nvidia’s shares, which were down more than 6%. Nvidia had seen an 8.9% increase on Tuesday after suffering a 17% drop on Monday, marking a record one-day loss in market value. The decline came after DeepSeek, a Chinese startup, unveiled its free AI assistant, which quickly overtook OpenAI’s ChatGPT in downloads on Apple’s App Store, signaling that China may be catching up in the AI race.

Investors are still trying to assess the implications of DeepSeek’s emergence and its ability to challenge established players in the AI market. Jack Ablin, CIO at Cresset Capital, pointed out that the market is in a “middle ground,” with some investors taking DeepSeek seriously and others brushing it off as a temporary disturbance. He added that investors are struggling to determine whether the news is fundamentally negative for high-priced stocks like Nvidia, or if the AI industry will continue its upward trajectory despite the challenge.

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s ongoing policy meeting and earnings results from major tech companies are also in focus. Quarterly results from Microsoft and Meta, set to be released later Wednesday, will be scrutinized for insights into their AI investment plans.

Jefferies Chief Economist Mohit Kumar noted that while chipmakers and energy sectors may continue facing pressure, other sectors could rebound from Monday’s sell-off and gain momentum. However, the current high valuations of certain tech companies will require strong earnings results to justify their prices.

Despite the buzz around DeepSeek, some experts remain skeptical of the startup’s long-term success, especially due to the lack of information about its spending budget. Additionally, OpenAI and Microsoft are investigating whether DeepSeek improperly used data from ChatGPT in its technology.

In Europe, tech stocks saw a strong rally, boosted by ASML’s nearly 5.6% gain following its report of unexpectedly strong bookings. The European tech index finished up 2.4%, with BE Semiconductor and ASM International also seeing significant gains.

In contrast, U.S. semiconductor stocks were mixed. While Nvidia, Cirrus Logic, ARM Holdings, and Broadcom all saw losses, Coherent Corp and Advanced Micro Devices posted gains, rising by 3.6% and 2.6%, respectively. ASML’s U.S. shares also saw a strong 4.4% increase.

 

Chip Stocks Decline as ASML’s Weak Outlook Sparks Concerns Over Non-AI Chip Demand

/in /tarafından

Semiconductor stocks in both the U.S. and Asia took a hit after ASML (ASML.AS), a prominent chip equipment maker, cut its annual sales forecast due to weak demand for non-AI chips. Despite strong demand for AI-related chips, such as those produced by industry giant Nvidia (NVDA.O), the broader semiconductor market is experiencing a slower recovery. This news sent ripples through the sector, dragging down major chip stocks.

Key Losses Across the Sector

Nvidia, which had recently surpassed Apple as the world’s most valuable company, saw a 4.5% drop in its stock price, wiping out approximately $158 billion from its market cap. This widened the gap with Apple, whose value sits at $3.56 trillion. Other major chip firms such as AMD (AMD.O), Intel (INTC.O), Arm, Broadcom (AVGO.O), and Micron (MU.O) fell between 3.2% and 5% by Tuesday’s close. The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index dropped nearly 5%, further weighing down the tech-heavy Nasdaq.

The sharp decline followed an apparent error by ASML, which prematurely released its quarterly results, revealing weak bookings and slower-than-expected recovery in chip demand, particularly outside the AI sector. This led to a 16% plunge in ASML’s U.S.-listed shares.

AI Demand vs. Broader Market Weakness

While the demand for AI chips continues to surge, fueled by growing interest in artificial intelligence and machine learning applications, other segments of the chip market remain tepid. Logic chip makers are delaying orders, and memory chip manufacturers are planning only limited new capacity expansions, which signals ongoing weakness in non-AI chip demand.

“ASML’s fat finger error isn’t cause for concern in itself, but the content of the release didn’t make comforting reading for investors,” noted Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Asian Chipmakers Also Hit

Asian semiconductor companies, many of which are customers of ASML, also suffered losses. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC), Samsung Electronics, and SK Hynix all saw stock declines ranging from 2.2% to 2.5%. This further underscores concerns that the non-AI chip sector is slowing down, with chip factories having stabilized after racing to build extra capacity during the pandemic.

Samsung, which had earlier warned of disappointing third-quarter profits due to struggles in capitalizing on AI chip demand, continued to face pressure. On the other hand, TSMC, which supplies Nvidia, is expected to report a 40% jump in third-quarter profit, showcasing a more optimistic outlook for companies directly tied to AI chip production.

Geopolitical Tensions and Export Controls

Adding to market concerns, Bloomberg News reported that U.S. officials are considering placing a cap on AI chip export licenses to certain countries, particularly in the Persian Gulf. The move is driven by national security concerns that advanced American chips could be indirectly acquired by China, circumventing existing trade restrictions.

Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, remarked, “With the AI revolution expected to play such a huge part in upping productivity and enabling other technological advances, it’s not surprising the U.S. wants to do what it can to maintain its dominance.”

The combination of weak non-AI chip demand and increasing geopolitical tensions highlights the delicate balance chipmakers must navigate as they grapple with shifting market dynamics.

Jim Cramer Recommends Chip Stocks to Buy During Market Dip

/in /tarafından

Jim Cramer believes that chip stocks have experienced an excessive sell-off, and he sees an opportunity for investors to buy on the dip. He pointed out that the reasons for being bullish on this sector earlier in the year are still valid. The semiconductor exchange-traded fund SMH, for example, has fallen over 18% from its July highs but remains up more than 25% year-to-date.

Cramer attributed the recent pullback to concerns about declining enterprise spending on artificial intelligence and worries over a potential recession before the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. Nvidia’s recent quarter beat estimates but didn’t impress investors accustomed to massive outperformance, leading to fears that the AI boom may be short-lived. However, Cramer argued that Nvidia’s results reflect supply limitations rather than demand issues, maintaining that the AI boom is still “very real.”

Cramer highlighted several stocks in the chip sector worth considering:

  • AMD: Cramer praised AMD’s solid demand and performance, acknowledging its strong position in the semiconductor space.
  • Micron: Cramer sees Micron as a leader in memory chips and considers the stock undervalued based on next year’s earnings estimates. The need for memory in data centers presents a significant growth opportunity.
  • Arm: With licensing royalties providing steady revenue, Arm has seen its stock soar since its IPO. The stock got a further boost after reports indicated Apple would use Arm’s chip design for the iPhone 16.