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Alphabet Faces Investor Scrutiny Over AI Spending Amid Slowing Cloud Growth

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Alphabet is set to report earnings on Tuesday, with investors closely watching its substantial AI investments as revenue growth slows due to weaker advertising and cloud performance. The Google parent’s capital expenditure for 2024 is estimated at $50 billion, with further increases expected in 2025 to support cloud expansion and AI-driven search enhancements.

The rise of low-cost AI models, such as those from Chinese startup DeepSeek, has intensified concerns over a potential AI price war. Alphabet, like Microsoft and Meta, is defending its high AI spending, arguing it is necessary to maintain a competitive edge.

Google Cloud, a key growth driver, is anticipated to show a slowdown in the fourth quarter. The segment is expected to report a 32% revenue increase, compared to 35% in the previous quarter. This performance will be scrutinized following Microsoft’s recent results, where Azure’s core cloud services underperformed despite AI-driven gains. Analysts are keen to see whether Google experiences a similar trend.

Alphabet’s Search and Other revenue is projected to have grown 11.2% in Q4, slightly lower than the 12.2% increase in Q3. The company continues to face rising competition from Amazon and TikTok in the digital ad space. However, higher political ad spending linked to the upcoming U.S. Presidential elections may have provided a temporary boost.

Overall, Alphabet’s revenue is estimated to have grown 11.9% year-over-year to $96.6 billion, reflecting a slowdown from the previous quarter. Despite a 7% rise in its stock price this year, concerns about a potential deceleration in its cloud segment have mounted, especially after Microsoft’s disappointing cloud results.

Investors will be closely watching Alphabet’s ability to balance AI investments with profitability, as well as its strategy to maintain leadership in both the search and cloud computing markets.

 

Dassault Systèmes Forecasts Higher Sales and Earnings in 2025

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Dassault Systèmes has projected revenue growth of 6% to 8% for 2025, an improvement from 5% in the previous year, driven by stronger software sales in late 2024. The French software firm, which serves the automotive, aerospace, and industrial sectors, also expects diluted earnings per share to rise to between 1.36 and 1.39 euros, up from 1.20 euros in 2024. Additionally, its operating margin is forecasted to increase to a range of 32.6%–32.9%, compared to 31.9% last year.

The positive outlook follows improved performance in Dassault’s software division, where revenue grew 9% in Q4 to 1.60 billion euros, supported by strong demand in the aerospace and defense sectors. The company’s flagship 3DEXPERIENCE platform, which offers 3D modeling, data management, and project management tools, saw sales growth of 22% in Q4—up from 21% in the same quarter of 2023 and recovering from a 10% decline in Q3 2024.

Dassault also announced a long-term partnership with Volkswagen to optimize the automaker’s engineering and manufacturing processes, though financial details were not disclosed.

Meanwhile, revenue at Medidata, Dassault’s clinical trial data analytics unit, increased by just 1% in Q4, an area closely monitored by investors.

Analysts at Stifel described the results as solid despite macroeconomic challenges but noted that the company’s 2025 guidance remains cautious. Dassault’s shares rose up to 2.5% at market open before stabilizing.

 

Blackstone Remains Committed to Data Center Investments Despite DeepSeek Concerns

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Blackstone reaffirmed its commitment to data center investments on Thursday, dismissing concerns that the rise of DeepSeek’s low-cost AI models would weaken demand for physical infrastructure. The alternative asset manager, which holds $80 billion in leased data centers, emphasized its “prudent approach” and strong partnerships with major global companies.

Data centers remain critical for AI development, providing the infrastructure needed to store, process, and analyze massive datasets. While investors previously saw data centers as key beneficiaries of AI growth, DeepSeek’s unexpected emergence has sparked debate over whether lower-cost AI models could reduce demand for such facilities.

Blackstone’s President and Chief Operating Officer Jonathan Gray addressed these concerns in a post-earnings call, stating that while the company is monitoring DeepSeek’s impact, lower AI costs could actually drive broader adoption, ultimately increasing data center demand. “As usage goes up significantly, there’s still a vital need for data centers. We still think it’s a very important segment,” Gray said.

Analysts at Jefferies echoed this sentiment, arguing that hyperscale cloud providers are unlikely to cut capital expenditures given the intensifying competition in AI. Tech giants such as Microsoft and Meta have also defended their aggressive AI spending, insisting that substantial investment is necessary to remain competitive.

Despite Blackstone’s confidence, its shares fell nearly 4% in afternoon trading, reflecting investor caution amid the evolving AI landscape.