Alphabet is set to report earnings on Tuesday, with investors closely watching its substantial AI investments as revenue growth slows due to weaker advertising and cloud performance. The Google parent’s capital expenditure for 2024 is estimated at $50 billion, with further increases expected in 2025 to support cloud expansion and AI-driven search enhancements.
The rise of low-cost AI models, such as those from Chinese startup DeepSeek, has intensified concerns over a potential AI price war. Alphabet, like Microsoft and Meta, is defending its high AI spending, arguing it is necessary to maintain a competitive edge.
Google Cloud, a key growth driver, is anticipated to show a slowdown in the fourth quarter. The segment is expected to report a 32% revenue increase, compared to 35% in the previous quarter. This performance will be scrutinized following Microsoft’s recent results, where Azure’s core cloud services underperformed despite AI-driven gains. Analysts are keen to see whether Google experiences a similar trend.
Alphabet’s Search and Other revenue is projected to have grown 11.2% in Q4, slightly lower than the 12.2% increase in Q3. The company continues to face rising competition from Amazon and TikTok in the digital ad space. However, higher political ad spending linked to the upcoming U.S. Presidential elections may have provided a temporary boost.
Overall, Alphabet’s revenue is estimated to have grown 11.9% year-over-year to $96.6 billion, reflecting a slowdown from the previous quarter. Despite a 7% rise in its stock price this year, concerns about a potential deceleration in its cloud segment have mounted, especially after Microsoft’s disappointing cloud results.
Investors will be closely watching Alphabet’s ability to balance AI investments with profitability, as well as its strategy to maintain leadership in both the search and cloud computing markets.