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Elon Musk’s xAI Projects Over $13 Billion Annual Earnings by 2029, Bloomberg Reports

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Artificial intelligence startup xAI, founded by Elon Musk, expects to generate more than $13 billion in annual earnings by 2029, according to data shared by its banker Morgan Stanley, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday.

Morgan Stanley is seeking investors for a $5 billion debt sale by xAI and has disclosed the AI company’s financials to potential investors willing to commit at least $50 million. The figures reveal that xAI aims to reach $1 billion in gross revenue by the end of 2025 and $14 billion by 2029.

In the first quarter of this year, xAI reported $52 million in gross revenue but faced a loss of $341 million before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). Projections show a rapid improvement, with EBITDA expected to rise to $2.7 billion by 2027 and hit $13.1 billion in 2029.

Like many AI startups, xAI is investing heavily in infrastructure, planning $18 billion in future data center investments following $2.6 billion in capital expenditures so far.

This financial unveiling coincides with a highly public spat between Elon Musk and former U.S. President Donald Trump, involving threats over government contracts. The effect of this dispute on xAI’s debt sale remains unclear.

In addition to the debt raise, xAI is reportedly targeting a valuation of $113 billion in a concurrent $300 million share sale.

Neither Morgan Stanley nor xAI has responded to Reuters requests for comment.

Banks Sell $5.5 Billion of Musk’s X Debt to Investors

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Banks led by Morgan Stanley have successfully sold $5.5 billion of the $13 billion debt incurred to finance Elon Musk’s $44 billion acquisition of Twitter, now rebranded as X. This sale is part of an effort to offload a significant portion of the debt, which includes a combination of secured and unsecured loans.

The deal, which was marketed to a select group of investors, included banks such as Bank of America, Barclays, Mitsubishi UFJ, BNP Paribas, Mizuho, and Societe Generale. The debt was initially offered at a price range of 90-95 cents on the dollar, but it was ultimately priced at 97 cents, resulting in a potential profit for the banks involved. Investors in this loan will receive a yield of 11%.

This marks the second attempt by these banks to sell down the debt since Musk’s 2022 acquisition. A prior attempt in late 2022 to sell the unsecured loan failed, as the bids were significantly lower, at 60 cents to the dollar, potentially causing a large loss for the banks. This time, however, investors seem to be more confident in X’s prospects, partly due to Musk’s ties to the newly elected Trump administration and his involvement in the AI startup xAI, which may drive further interest in the platform.

Despite the improved pricing, some investors have been hesitant to buy into the debt, given X’s challenges with advertisers and uncertain revenue growth after Musk’s changes to the platform. Additionally, X still has no official credit rating, which raises concerns among potential buyers. Nevertheless, the sale signals growing investor confidence, despite the risk that the platform’s revenue might not justify the price of the debt.

 

Morgan Stanley to Increase Sale of Loans Tied to Musk’s X Amid Strong Demand

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Morgan Stanley, leading a group of banks, is set to increase the sale of loans linked to Elon Musk’s social media platform X, following stronger-than-expected demand from investors, according to Bloomberg News on Tuesday. Initially, the banks had planned to sell around $3 billion in loans, but the revised target now stands at up to $5.5 billion, reflecting investor interest that exceeded expectations.

In November, reports indicated that Musk’s rising political influence and connections to former President Donald Trump played a role in improving prospects for the platform, which helped banks manage the debt sale without incurring heavy losses. Morgan Stanley, along with other financial institutions like Bank of America and Barclays, provided Musk with loans in 2022 to support his $44 billion acquisition of X, formerly known as Twitter.

Typically, banks sell such loans to investors shortly after a deal is finalized, but the process has been more challenging in the case of X. Despite this, the latest demand suggests a more favorable outcome for the banks involved.