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SAP Misses Q3 Revenue Estimates as Cloud Growth Slows, Shares Drop

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German enterprise software giant SAP reported third-quarter revenue slightly below analyst expectations, sending its U.S.-listed shares down 3% in after-hours trading. The company posted revenue of €9.08 billion ($10.59 billion), a 7% year-on-year increase but short of the €9.17 billion forecast by analysts, according to LSEG IBES data.

SAP’s cloud business, a key growth driver, rose 22% — its slowest pace since late 2023. CFO Dominik Asam said the company “maintained forward momentum despite an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop.” SAP has been shifting from traditional software licenses to a subscription-based cloud model, seeking more stable long-term revenue streams.

Non-IFRS operating profit grew 14% to €2.57 billion, slightly above estimates, while free cash flow increased 5% to €1.27 billion. Looking ahead, SAP expects 2025 cloud revenue to reach the lower end of its forecast range (€21.6–21.9 billion), but operating profit is anticipated at the upper end (€10.3–10.6 billion). Free cash flow guidance was raised slightly to between €8 billion and €8.2 billion.

Oracle forecasts $166 billion in cloud revenue by 2030 as AI demand fuels growth

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Oracle (ORCL.N) expects its cloud infrastructure business to soar to $166 billion in annual revenue by fiscal 2030, nearly three-quarters of its total projected sales, as the company capitalizes on surging demand for artificial intelligence and cloud computing.

The forecast, unveiled by CEO Clay Magouyrk during a meeting with analysts, signals Oracle’s growing confidence that its cloud business will continue to expand well beyond its current customer base, which includes OpenAI and Meta Platforms.

CFO Dough Kehring said Oracle anticipates total revenue of $225 billion and adjusted earnings of $21 per share by 2030, outpacing Wall Street expectations of $198.4 billion in sales and $18.92 per share in profits, according to LSEG data.

The company’s cloud infrastructure bookings have ballooned, with Oracle reporting a $65 billion surge in new commitments over a single month last quarter — including a $20 billion deal with Meta. Magouyrk emphasized that the new commitments came from multiple clients, not just OpenAI.

In its most recent quarter, Oracle’s cloud revenue jumped 28% to $7.2 billion, underscoring rapid adoption of its AI and enterprise cloud services.

While the company’s gross margins are expected to fluctuate as it scales its infrastructure business, Oracle said its AI cloud margins will remain in the 30–40% range, while traditional enterprise cloud segments will maintain between 65% and 80% margins.

Oracle shares rose 3% after the forecast, though they dipped slightly in after-hours trading.

Salesforce projects over $60 billion in revenue by 2030 as AI rollout accelerates

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Salesforce has raised its long-term outlook, forecasting revenue of more than $60 billion by 2030, surpassing Wall Street’s expectations of $58.37 billion. The projection, revealed during the company’s Dreamforce event, underscores confidence in its aggressive push to integrate artificial intelligence across all cloud services.

The forecast excludes the impact of Salesforce’s pending $8 billion acquisition of Informatica, a deal aimed at strengthening the company’s AI and data management capabilities. Informatica’s software helps businesses handle complex data integration and governance — key to powering AI-driven decision-making across Salesforce’s platform.

The company’s new Agentforce AI platform, which automates tasks and enhances operational efficiency, is expected to play a major role in future growth. Salesforce said Agentforce 360 will soon be available globally across its cloud suite, offering businesses new tools to improve productivity and cut costs.

Despite economic uncertainty and cautious corporate spending, Salesforce remains optimistic. Its shares jumped nearly 4% in after-hours trading following the announcement, even as the stock is still down 29% this year.

In addition to its growth forecast, Salesforce unveiled a $7 billion share buyback program to be completed over the next six months — a signal of confidence in its long-term profitability and cash flow strength.