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SoftBank Profit More Than Doubles to $16.6 Billion on OpenAI Valuation Gains

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SoftBank Group reported a stunning surge in quarterly profits, more than doubling its net income to 2.5 trillion yen ($16.6 billion) in the July–September period, thanks largely to massive valuation gains from its stake in OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT.

The figure far exceeded analyst expectations — three LSEG analysts had forecast an average profit of just 207 billion yen — and also dwarfed the 1.18 trillion yen profit recorded during the same period last year.

SoftBank’s Vision Fund unit, which manages the company’s global technology investments, posted a 3.5 trillion yen investment gain, with 2.16 trillion yen attributed directly to its OpenAI holdings.

The result comes amid a surge in AI-related stocks and infrastructure spending, pushing SoftBank’s shares to record highs. The company has emerged as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI investment boom, fueled by global demand for computing power and data centers.

In March, SoftBank led a $40 billion funding round valuing OpenAI at $300 billion. By October, it joined a group of investors purchasing $6.6 billion worth of OpenAI shares from employees at a $500 billion valuation, marking one of the largest private valuations in tech history.

Still, some investors are wary of an emerging “AI bubble”, questioning whether such vast capital inflows can sustain their expected returns.

SoftBank is also ramping up other AI and semiconductor bets. It recently sold 32.1 million shares of Nvidia for $5.83 billion, raised more than 620 billion yen in bonds across three currencies, and secured bridge loans totaling over $15 billion to fund its OpenAI and Ampere chip ventures.

Founder and CEO Masayoshi Son, known for high-stakes investments in transformative technologies, remains confident in AI’s potential despite a mixed record that includes triumphs like Alibaba and failures such as WeWork.

SAP Misses Q3 Revenue Estimates as Cloud Growth Slows, Shares Drop

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German enterprise software giant SAP reported third-quarter revenue slightly below analyst expectations, sending its U.S.-listed shares down 3% in after-hours trading. The company posted revenue of €9.08 billion ($10.59 billion), a 7% year-on-year increase but short of the €9.17 billion forecast by analysts, according to LSEG IBES data.

SAP’s cloud business, a key growth driver, rose 22% — its slowest pace since late 2023. CFO Dominik Asam said the company “maintained forward momentum despite an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop.” SAP has been shifting from traditional software licenses to a subscription-based cloud model, seeking more stable long-term revenue streams.

Non-IFRS operating profit grew 14% to €2.57 billion, slightly above estimates, while free cash flow increased 5% to €1.27 billion. Looking ahead, SAP expects 2025 cloud revenue to reach the lower end of its forecast range (€21.6–21.9 billion), but operating profit is anticipated at the upper end (€10.3–10.6 billion). Free cash flow guidance was raised slightly to between €8 billion and €8.2 billion.

Super Micro to File Delayed Annual Report by February Deadline, Shares Rise

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Super Micro Computer (SMCI.O) announced on Tuesday that it expects to file its delayed annual and quarterly reports with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) by the February 25 deadline, leading to an 8% surge in its shares after hours. The server maker had previously missed the deadline for its 10-K report after receiving subpoenas from the U.S. Department of Justice and the SEC, following short-seller Hindenburg Research’s allegations of “accounting manipulation” in August. Super Micro confirmed that it is cooperating with the authorities’ requests for documents.

The company, based in San Jose, California, also reduced its revenue forecast for fiscal 2025 due to delays in the availability of Nvidia’s (NVDA.O) Blackwell processors, a key component for its AI server systems. While the delay in filing the report was a “distraction,” Super Micro’s financial chief, David Weigand, explained that the primary issue was the delay in technology availability. Despite the challenges, Super Micro announced the full production availability of its AI server systems powered by Nvidia’s Blackwell chips last week.

Super Micro, a beneficiary of the growing demand for advanced data center infrastructure to support generative AI, now faces increasing competition from rivals like Dell (DELL.N) and HP Enterprise (HPE.N). The company has revised its fiscal 2025 net sales forecast to a range of $23.5 billion to $25 billion, down from its previous projection of $26 billion to $30 billion. The midpoint of this forecast, $24.25 billion, falls below analysts’ expectation of $24.92 billion.

For the third quarter, Super Micro is projecting net sales of $5 billion to $6 billion, lower than analysts’ estimate of $6.09 billion. In December, the company was removed from the Nasdaq-100 Index after missing its initial deadline for filing the 10-K report, though it received an extension until February 25.