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Intel–Nvidia deal could strengthen Intel’s next-gen chipmaking plans

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Intel’s long-struggling manufacturing arm may gain fresh momentum from a new $5 billion partnership with Nvidia, analysts say. The deal, announced Thursday, gives Nvidia a roughly 4% stake in Intel and establishes a framework for the two companies to co-develop multiple generations of joint products.

These products will link Intel’s central processors with Nvidia’s AI and graphics chips using NVLink, Nvidia’s proprietary high-speed interconnect. By being directly tied to Nvidia’s flagship chips, Intel’s CPUs could gain an advantage over rivals such as AMD, which currently lacks such integration.

Crucially, the collaboration could also bolster Intel’s 14A manufacturing process, planned for 2027 but still financially uncertain. Intel has said it needs significant customer commitments to justify the cost of building 14A. Analysts believe Nvidia’s involvement, even indirectly, could help secure the production volumes necessary to make the investment viable.

“Any relationship with Nvidia … should be seen as a possible extension of the partnership in the future,” said Jack Gold of J.Gold Associates, suggesting that deeper collaboration on Intel’s foundry services could follow. Intel will supply CPUs for the joint products and package Nvidia chips in some cases, while engineers from both firms will collaborate to translate Nvidia’s designs into physical chips made in Intel factories.

The move is strategically important because, like Nvidia, Intel often relies on Taiwan’s TSMC for advanced manufacturing. If the joint products prove successful, the deal could ensure Intel’s fabs are busy enough to deliver returns on its multibillion-dollar investments. “It gives me a higher degree of confidence that 14A continues,” said Ben Bajarin of Creative Strategies.

For Nvidia, the tie-up opens doors to Intel’s vast enterprise and government customer base, which depends on decades of software optimized for Intel’s chips. Analysts note that AMD could be the biggest loser from the partnership, as two of its fiercest competitors are now aligning their technologies.

How Nvidia’s $5B Intel stake could bolster Intel’s next-gen chipmaking

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Nvidia’s (NVDA.O) $5 billion investment in Intel (INTC.O) may give the struggling chipmaker crucial momentum for its next-generation manufacturing efforts, even though Nvidia has not committed to using Intel’s factories for its own chips, analysts said.

The deal, announced Thursday, gives Nvidia a roughly 4% stake in Intel and creates a partnership to develop “multiple generations” of joint products. These products will link Intel’s central processors with Nvidia’s AI and graphics chips via NVLink, Nvidia’s high-speed proprietary interconnect.

Analysts say the collaboration could indirectly strengthen Intel’s 14A manufacturing process, set for 2027, which the company has warned may not move forward without sufficient customer demand. By tying its CPUs to Nvidia’s flagship products in ways unmatched by rivals, Intel could secure the production volumes needed to justify its costly investments.

“Any relationship with Nvidia at this point, while not explicitly talking about the foundry services, should be seen as a possible extension of the partnership in the future,” said Jack Gold, principal analyst at J.Gold Associates.

Under the agreement, Intel Foundry will supply CPUs for the joint products and package Nvidia chips for some of them. Engineers from both firms will collaborate to translate Nvidia’s designs into physical chips manufactured by Intel. This is notable given both companies often rely on Taiwan’s TSMC (2330.TW) for production.

“If these joint products prove popular, it gives me a higher degree of confidence that 14A continues, at which point Intel should have very good returns,” said Ben Bajarin, CEO of Creative Strategies.

For Nvidia, the deal offers better access to government and enterprise customers that run decades of Intel-compatible software. The main loser could be Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.O), which competes directly with both companies in CPUs and GPUs. “Having two major competitors combining their efforts is not exactly a positive outcome for AMD,” Gold noted.

Synopsys Shares Plunge 35% on China Woes, Erasing 2025 Gains

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Synopsys shares tumbled nearly 35% on Wednesday, putting the chip design software giant on track for its worst single-day drop on record and wiping out gains accumulated in 2025. The decline followed disappointing earnings and fresh concerns about its business in China, a key semiconductor market under tightening U.S. export restrictions.

The company reported Q3 revenue of $1.74 billion, missing analyst estimates, with weakness in its IP segment. CEO Sassine Ghazi blamed U.S. export curbs — which blocked sales of chip design software to China for more than a month — and setbacks at a “major foundry customer.” Although restrictions were lifted in July, analysts said Chinese customer confidence has eroded, leaving demand subdued.

Synopsys generates more than 10% of industry revenue from China, but geopolitical tensions have made that stream increasingly fragile. Shares of rival Cadence Design Systems also dropped nearly 7% in sympathy.

While Ghazi did not identify the foundry customer, analysts pointed to Intel, which has dramatically scaled back its 18A chip manufacturing technology and broader foundry ambitions. J.P. Morgan suggested Synopsys had dedicated significant IP resources to Intel’s program, only to see its potential curtailed.

The downturn comes as Synopsys completes its $35 billion acquisition of Ansys, a move aimed at diversifying its engineering software portfolio. However, the company also announced it will cut 10% of its workforce by 2026 as part of a strategic review.

With trade restrictions clouding its China outlook and reliance on slowing customers like Intel, Synopsys faces mounting pressure to stabilize its core business even as it integrates Ansys.