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Blue Owl cashes out part of SpaceX stake

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Blue Owl Capital sold roughly half of its SpaceX investment at a $1.25 trillion valuation, locking in about a 10x return, according to co-CEO Marc Lipschultz.

Blue Owl originally invested $27 million in SpaceX equity in 2021 through one of its technology finance funds after first building ties as an early lender. The firm’s remaining stake is still significant, while the partial sale secures major realized gains ahead of SpaceX’s expected IPO later this year.

SpaceX is reportedly targeting a public debut at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation, which could make it one of the largest IPOs in history. Blue Owl’s move reflects both confidence in future upside and a strategic decision to crystallize profits at already massive private-market valuations.

The sale also gives Blue Owl additional flexibility to offset potential credit-market risks, showing how private equity positions in top-tier tech firms can serve as major portfolio stabilizers.

OpenAI misses growth targets before IPO push

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OpenAI has reportedly fallen short of internal revenue and user growth goals as it prepares for a potential IPO, according to the Wall Street Journal.

The report says ChatGPT user growth slowed late last year, missing a target of 1 billion weekly active users, while revenue also underperformed projections amid stronger competition from Anthropic in coding and enterprise AI markets.

CFO Sarah Friar reportedly raised concerns internally about whether slower growth could challenge OpenAI’s ability to sustain massive future data-center and computing commitments. Subscriber churn has also reportedly increased.

CEO Sam Altman and Friar publicly rejected suggestions of internal misalignment, stating the company remains focused on securing compute capacity and expanding aggressively.

SpaceX’s $1.75 Trillion Valuation Raises Questions Ahead of IPO

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SpaceX is targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation in its anticipated IPO, a figure that would place it among the most valuable companies globally and ahead of firms like Meta Platforms and Berkshire Hathaway.

Despite the scale, investor demand appears strong. The company could raise more than $75 billion, potentially setting a record for a public offering. Interest has already spilled into secondary markets, where investors are seeking early exposure.

Valuation Drivers

The primary foundation of SpaceX’s valuation is its Starlink business, which has over 10 million users and accounts for a significant share of revenue. The company’s launch division also plays a key role, with its reusable rocket program—particularly the Falcon 9—dramatically reducing launch costs and increasing frequency.

In 2025, SpaceX generated approximately $15–16 billion in revenue and about $8 billion in EBITDA, reflecting strong growth. However, much of the valuation also depends on future projects such as the Starship program and integration with AI ventures like xAI.

Stretching Traditional Metrics

Using aggressive growth assumptions, SpaceX would trade at roughly:

  • 56× price-to-revenue
  • 109× price-to-EBITDA

These multiples significantly exceed even high-growth tech companies such as Tesla and Palantir Technologies, indicating that investors are pricing in substantial future expansion.

Risks and Uncertainty

The valuation depends heavily on continued growth in Starlink and successful execution of unproven initiatives. Delays in the Starship program or slower-than-expected adoption of satellite-based data services could pressure future performance.

Additionally, unlike publicly traded peers, SpaceX lacks transparent consensus forecasts, making valuation comparisons less precise.

Market Context

The company’s dominance in low-Earth orbit satellite deployment and launch frequency gives it a structural advantage. However, competitors such as Amazon are investing heavily in rival satellite networks.

Overall, SpaceX’s valuation reflects not only current performance but also investor confidence in founder Elon Musk and the company’s long-term role in space infrastructure, global connectivity and AI-driven services.