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Lam Research Forecasts Higher Revenue Amid Strong AI Chipmaking Demand

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Lam Research has projected second-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations, driven by surging demand for semiconductor manufacturing tools used in artificial intelligence applications. The Fremont, California-based firm said it expects revenue of around $5.20 billion, plus or minus $300 million, for the quarter ending December 28 — ahead of analysts’ forecasts of $4.81 billion, according to LSEG data.

The company’s shares rose 2.2% in after-hours trading and have already doubled this year, fueled by global investment in AI-driven chip production. Lam, a leading supplier of wafer fabrication equipment (WFE), provides critical tools used in the complex processes of chip wiring and wafer etching.

Lam faces competition from industry heavyweights such as Applied Materials, Analog Devices, and ASML, but remains well-positioned as chip designers expand capacity to meet escalating computing demands. The firm reported $5.32 billion in revenue for the previous quarter, surpassing expectations, and adjusted earnings of $1.26 per share versus $1.22 projected. The AI semiconductor boom continues to lift equipment makers across the global chip supply chain.

Applied Materials Shares Drop on Weak China Demand and Tariff Uncertainty

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Applied Materials (AMAT.O) shares fell roughly 12% in Friday morning trading after the chip-equipment maker issued a disappointing revenue and profit forecast, raising investor concerns about the impact of U.S.-China trade tensions on demand. The decline follows warnings from Dutch rival ASML (ASML.AS), highlighting continued uncertainty over the effects of U.S. tariffs on the semiconductor industry.

CEO Gary Dickerson cited “wide-ranging implications for the semiconductor industry” during a post-earnings call, pointing to lower visibility and heightened uncertainty in the near term due to dynamic policy developments. China, which represented 35% of Applied Materials’ July-quarter sales, has become a key risk as U.S. export restrictions weigh on new equipment orders.

Smaller peer KLA Corp (KLAC.O), which also has a strong presence in China, expects softer demand amid ongoing Sino-U.S. trade tensions, while Deutsche Bank strategists warned that volatility in China is clouding visibility into earnings potential both geopolitically and cyclically.

Applied Materials forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $6.70 billion, plus or minus $500 million, below analysts’ consensus of $7.33 billion. Its projected profit also fell short of expectations. If losses persist, the company could shed over $18 billion from its $151.06 billion market value as of Thursday’s close.

J.P. Morgan analyst Harlan Sur suggested that the slowdown in China reflects timing of spending rather than structural weaknesses. Applied’s stock has risen 1.2% year-to-date, trailing the Nasdaq (.IXIC) up 12.3% and the S&P 500 (.SPX) up 10%.

Shares of other chip-equipment makers, including KLA Corp and Lam Research (LRCX.O), also fell following Applied’s results, down 5.5% and 4.3%, respectively. Applied reported third-quarter revenue of $7.30 billion, up 8% year-on-year and above the $7.22 billion consensus. Its stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 19, lower than ASML’s 26.04, Lam’s 23.56, and KLA’s 26.82.

ASM to Pass Tariff Costs to Customers, Maintains Competitive Edge

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ASM International, Europe’s second-largest semiconductor equipment supplier, announced it will pass on any tariff-related cost increases to customers and the broader value chain. In a meeting with Bank of America analysts, ASM’s CEO and CFO emphasized that the company’s manufacturing flexibility ensures it won’t be at a disadvantage compared to global peers.

Key Points:

  • ASM said it would adjust pricing to offset potential cost pressures from U.S. trade tariffs, a strategy aligned with competitors like ASML, which previously stated that U.S. chipmakers would bear the bulk of such costs.

  • The Dutch company manufactures wafer fab processing equipment, vital for chipmakers like Intel and TSMC as they adopt next-gen Gate-All-Around transistor designs.

  • In other areas, ASM competes with major U.S. firms like Applied Materials and LAM Research, and is noted to be more exposed to the U.S. market than other European peers such as ASML and BE Semiconductor.

Market Outlook:

ASM also provided a bullish forecast for China, saying Chinese sales could hit the high end—or exceed—their 2025 guidance. The company previously estimated that China would represent between 20–29% of its total sales in 2025.

This positive outlook aligns with ASML’s recent commentary, which noted stronger-than-expected Chinese demand in its own Q1 report.

Despite rising geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions, ASM appears confident in navigating the shifting global semiconductor landscape, leveraging pricing power, regional flexibility, and strong demand from Asia.