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CIA Director Warns of Genuine Risk of Russia Using Tactical Nuclear Weapons Early in Ukraine Conflict

CIA Director William Burns revealed that in the fall of 2022, there was a “genuine risk” of Russia deploying tactical nuclear weapons on the battlefield in Ukraine. Speaking at the Financial Times Weekend Festival alongside the U.K.’s secret intelligence chief Richard Moore, Burns emphasized that the West should not be intimidated by Russian President Vladimir Putin’s nuclear threats, despite the heightened risk at the time. Burns noted that his agency did not believe in succumbing to such threats, describing Putin as a “bully” prone to saber-rattling. Burns also recounted his meeting with Russian intelligence chief Sergey Naryshkin in late 2022, where he stressed the severe consequences of nuclear escalation. The CIA director pointed to Ukraine’s recent offensive in Russia’s Kursk region as a morale boost for Ukrainian forces and a cause of concern for the Kremlin, exposing vulnerabilities in Putin’s regime and military. Amid this tension, Russia’s nuclear doctrine, which is defensive and focused on deterrence, may be subject to amendments following Ukraine’s advancements, according to Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov.

 

U.S. Cautions Long-Range Strikes Won’t Be Decisive in Ukraine War, Zelenskiy Pushes for Expanded Capabilities

Ukraine’s long-range strikes into Russia, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin emphasized on Friday, will not be the decisive factor in turning the tide of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, even as President Volodymyr Zelenskiy continues to urge Western nations to supply long-range missiles. Speaking at a meeting of Ukraine’s allies at Ramstein Air Base in Germany, Austin reiterated Washington’s commitment to supporting Kyiv, announcing an additional $250 million in U.S. security assistance. However, he pushed back against the idea that deep strikes within Russia using Western weapons would shift the balance of the war. Zelenskiy has long called for the lifting of restrictions that prevent Ukraine from striking targets deep inside Russia, arguing that such capabilities would pressure Moscow to seek peace. During the meeting, he received support from several Baltic nations, including Lithuania and Estonia, who echoed his call for more advanced weaponry.

Austin, however, maintained that no single capability would be decisive, explaining that Russia had already moved key aircraft beyond the range of U.S.-supplied missiles. He also pointed out that Ukraine possesses its own drone capabilities, which can reach targets within Russia. “There are many targets in Russia,” Austin said, referring to Ukraine’s use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and other tactics to strike critical points. Meanwhile, Germany pledged an additional 12 self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine, and Canada announced it would send 80,840 surplus small air-to-surface rockets and 1,300 warheads in the months ahead.

Zelenskiy’s appearance at the Ramstein meeting comes at a critical juncture in the war, as Ukrainian forces conduct a surprise offensive in Russia’s Kursk region, while Russian troops intensify their focus on capturing Pokrovsk in eastern Ukraine, a key logistics hub. Zelenskiy insists that long-range strikes on Russian territory are essential not only for liberating occupied regions but also for compelling Russia to negotiate peace. Despite Western reluctance to allow strikes deep inside Russia, Zelenskiy has consistently challenged the notion of ‘red lines’ drawn by Russia, asserting that such boundaries do not hold in the face of ongoing aggression.

The Ramstein meeting also comes at a politically sensitive time for the United States, with the upcoming presidential election potentially affecting U.S. support for Ukraine. While Vice President Kamala Harris has pledged continued support, former President Donald Trump has expressed skepticism over the aid being funneled to Ukraine and has suggested that peace talks could involve territorial concessions by Kyiv. At the meeting, Austin cited the heavy toll the war has taken on Russia’s military, estimating that over 350,000 Russian troops have been killed or wounded and detailing the destruction of 32 Russian Navy vessels. Nonetheless, Moscow continues to unleash missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities, highlighting the need for additional air defense systems, a point Zelenskiy underscored during the talks.

Putin’s Broken Promise: Conscripts Unprepared for the Front Line

Russian President Vladimir Putin once assured the nation that conscripts would not be involved in combat during his war on Ukraine. However, as Ukrainian forces advance deeper into Russian territory, it has become evident that this promise has not been kept. Families of young conscripts are increasingly alarmed, sharing their concerns on Russian social media platforms like Telegram. Reports have surfaced that poorly trained conscripts were left to defend the border region of Kursk, which was recently breached by Ukrainian forces.

A message from a mother of a conscript soldier revealed the dire situation: her son and others found themselves under attack at 3 a.m., with no professional soldiers to support them. The conscripts, unprepared and ill-equipped, were left to defend themselves against a coordinated Ukrainian incursion. This has sparked outrage among families, especially considering Putin’s repeated promises that conscripts would not be sent to the front lines. The Russian Defense Ministry has not responded to requests for comment.

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The issue of conscription is particularly sensitive in Russia. Historically, the mothers and wives of conscripts have been a powerful voice, especially during conflicts like the Soviet-Afghan War and the Chechen Wars. Today, despite a crackdown on dissent, the anger over the treatment of conscripts is palpable. One grandmother of a missing conscript described how her grandson was stationed just 500 meters from the border without any weapons, questioning how the young men could possibly defend themselves.

The use of conscripts to defend the border appears to have contributed to Ukraine’s successful incursion into Russian territory. Ukrainian military officials reported significant gains, including control of over 1,150 square kilometers of territory. This success is likely due, in part, to the inadequate preparation and equipment of the Russian conscripts.

Conscripts in Russia receive only limited training, as they are not supposed to be involved in combat operations. However, the recent events have shown that they are being placed in harm’s way, much to the dismay of their families. The situation has been further criticized by Russian opposition groups, who accuse Putin of lying about protecting Russia and using conscripts as cannon fodder.

In response to the Ukrainian advance, Russia has reportedly redirected thousands of troops from occupied territories in Ukraine to reinforce the Kursk region. This includes personnel from the Leningrad military district and Kaliningrad, indicating the severity of the situation. Despite these efforts, reports suggest that some conscripts have been captured by Ukrainian forces, further highlighting the vulnerability of these young soldiers.

The use of conscripts in Putin’s war raises serious ethical and political questions. The broken promise not to involve them in combat has not only endangered their lives but also sparked outrage among their families and the broader Russian public. As the conflict continues, the plight of these conscripts is likely to remain a contentious issue within Russia.