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Analog Devices Forecasts Strong Sales, But Auto Segment Tariff Boost Raises Sustainability Questions

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Analog Devices (ADI) on Thursday projected third-quarter revenue of $2.75 billion (± $100 million), beating Wall Street estimates of $2.62 billion, according to LSEG data. However, investor concern over tariff-driven demand in the automotive segment led to a 5% dip in shares after the announcement.

The chipmaker cited high-single-digit “pull-in” demand from automakers looking to stockpile semiconductors ahead of U.S. tariff changes, contributing to a 24% year-on-year jump in automotive sales, which reached $849.5 million for the May quarter. Yet, Analog Devices warned that auto revenue is expected to decline sequentially in the third quarter, triggering concerns about the durability of the rebound.

“While it’s difficult to delineate what was pull-in versus normal, our estimate for pull-in upside is in the high-single digit range,” said an ADI executive during the earnings call.

Broader Trends in Analog Chip Demand

The report follows a broader industry trend, with Texas Instruments last month also forecasting above-consensus revenue, signaling a revival in analog chip demand after quarters of inventory correction. Analysts believe restocking activity is now underway.

“Inventory had been really drawn down, so now we are seeing a restocking,” said Daiwa analyst Lou Miscioscia.

Despite the strong headline numbers, Stifel analyst Tore Svanberg noted investor concern around the temporary nature of auto demand driven by tariff policy rather than organic growth.

Consumer Segment Surges

ADI also reported a 30% jump in sales in its consumer segment, fueled by a rebound in personal electronics demand. According to Canalys data, global PC shipments rose 9.4% in Q1 2025 as manufacturers accelerated deliveries ahead of expected tariff hikes.

For Q3, Analog Devices forecast adjusted earnings per share of $1.92 (± $0.10), also ahead of consensus.

GlobalFoundries Forecasts Stronger Q2 Amid Stable Demand and Tariff Tailwinds

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GlobalFoundries (GFS.O) on Tuesday projected second-quarter revenue and profit slightly above Wall Street expectations, indicating stable demand despite industry-wide pressures from tariffs, smartphone weakness, and policy uncertainty.

The U.S.-based contract chipmaker expects Q2 revenue of $1.68 billion (±$25 million) and adjusted earnings of 36 cents per share (±5 cents). Analysts polled by LSEG had anticipated $1.67 billion in revenue and 35 cents per share in profit. The positive forecast comes after the company posted Q1 revenue of $1.59 billion, slightly ahead of estimates, and adjusted earnings of 34 cents, beating forecasts of 28 cents.

While smartphone demand, its largest revenue stream, remains under pressure, GlobalFoundries said its automotive chip segment showed year-over-year growth in Q1. This resilience comes amid U.S. President Donald Trump’s global tariff strategy, which has already imposed levies on foreign-made autos – the company’s third-largest market.

Interestingly, CEO Thomas Caulfield noted that U.S. tariffs on foreign-made chips could benefit domestic manufacturers like GlobalFoundries by prompting customers to shift production to U.S.-based fabs. However, broader uncertainty around the CHIPS Act, which includes $52.7 billion in U.S. subsidies for domestic chip production, continues to cloud the industry’s long-term outlook.

Meanwhile, speculation of a potential merger with Taiwanese United Microelectronics Corp (UMC) resurfaced in March, although UMC denied any ongoing talks in April.

Despite the policy fog and shaky smartphone sector, GlobalFoundries appears cautiously optimistic heading into Q2 – signaling potential resilience among U.S.-based chipmakers navigating a turbulent geopolitical landscape.