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New York Fed: AI Adoption Has Yet to Cause Significant Job Losses

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Artificial intelligence adoption is rising among businesses in the Federal Reserve’s New York district, but so far it has not significantly reduced employment, according to a blog post from the New York Fed on Thursday.

“Businesses reported a notable increase in AI use over the past year, yet very few firms reported AI-induced layoffs,” Fed economists wrote, noting that retraining is more common than job loss. “So far, the technology does not point to significant reductions in employment,” they added.

Concerns remain that AI could eventually displace higher-paid professional and managerial roles. Investors are pouring capital into AI technologies amid broader labor market softening, but the Fed noted that the true impact on employment is likely to unfold gradually over time.

Looking ahead, firms anticipate AI could eventually lead to layoffs and slower hiring as integration deepens. The survey found AI use among services firms climbed to 40% in the past year, up from 25%, with nearly half planning to adopt it within six months. In manufacturing, AI adoption rose to 26% of firms from 16% a year earlier, with about a third expecting to implement it in the near term.

UK Economy Stagnates in July, Falling Below Expectations

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The U.K. economy stagnated again in July, showing no month-on-month growth, according to flash figures released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Wednesday. This flatlining performance followed a similar outcome in June, as the nation’s GDP came in lower than the 0.2% growth forecasted by economists.

The slight growth in Britain’s dominant services sector, at 0.1%, was overshadowed by declines in other key areas. Production output dropped by 0.8%, and construction saw a fall of 0.4%. These figures mark a challenging period for the U.K., as it faces sluggish economic growth, with GDP rising by just 0.5% in the three months leading up to July, compared to 0.6% in the previous quarter ending in June.

Liz McKeown, director of economic statistics at the ONS, noted, “The economy recorded no growth for the second month running, though longer-term strength in the services sector meant there was growth over the last three months as a whole.”

This period of stagnation comes after modest but steady growth earlier in the year, following the country’s emergence from a shallow recession at the start of 2024. Despite this initial recovery, the economy’s current performance signals persistent challenges.

The July data also marks the first economic figures under the leadership of Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s new Labour government, which was elected on July 4. These numbers come at a critical time, as the Bank of England is set to meet next week to make its latest interest rate decision. Last month, the central bank cut rates for the first time in four years, a move aimed at stimulating economic activity amidst ongoing uncertainty.