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Oracle Pauses After AI-Fueled Surge Toward $1 Trillion Valuation

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Oracle shares fell 4% on Thursday, cooling off after a record-breaking 35.9% rally the previous day that had pushed the company’s market capitalization to $933 billion, edging it closer to the trillion-dollar elite. If losses hold, Oracle’s valuation will settle near $894 billion.

Ellison’s Billionaire Climb

The surge has also boosted co-founder Larry Ellison’s fortune to $371.7 billion, putting him within striking distance of Elon Musk ($441.2 billion) for the title of world’s richest person, according to Forbes.

What Fueled the Rally

Oracle’s rise has been powered by multi-billion-dollar AI cloud deals as companies race to secure massive computing power to lead in the AI arms race.

  • On Tuesday, Oracle reported its order backlog was on track to hit $500 billion.

  • The Wall Street Journal revealed OpenAI signed a $300 billion cloud deal with Oracle, one of the largest in history.

Market View

Analysts see the pullback as a breather.

  • Dennis Dick, chief strategist at Stock Trader Network: “A bit of buyer exhaustion here. I think the ‘buy the dip’ crowd is likely to re-emerge. The guidance was so incredible, hard to think that this story is over.”

Oracle’s stock has nearly doubled in 2025, making it one of the top S&P 500 performers, outpacing even the Magnificent Seven tech giants.

Valuation Check

  • Stock price: $314.45

  • Median price target: $342 (approx. +9% upside, LSEG data)

  • Forward P/E ratio: 45.3 vs. Amazon (31.3) and Microsoft (31).

Oracle’s premium valuation reflects investors’ conviction that its AI-powered cloud expansion will continue to drive outsized growth, even as short-term pullbacks test market momentum.

Nvidia hits $4 trillion market cap, cementing tech’s dominance in stock market

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Nvidia Corp’s remarkable rise to a $4 trillion market valuation highlights its pivotal role in the stock market and the broader technology sector. The AI chipmaker’s shares have surged roughly 1,350% since October 2022, with a 22% gain so far in 2025, outperforming the 6% rise of the S&P 500.

The milestone was reached during morning trading on Wednesday, about 13 months after Nvidia first hit the $3 trillion mark. This rapid appreciation has made Nvidia the largest single stock by market value in the S&P 500, where it now accounts for around 7.5% of the index—more than any other company.

Nvidia’s influence is even more pronounced in tech-heavy indexes like the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, though it has a smaller presence in price-weighted indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Microsoft ($3.7 trillion) and Apple ($3.1 trillion) trail Nvidia but are closing in on the $4 trillion threshold, underscoring the dominance of tech giants. The top seven companies in the S&P 500—also including Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Broadcom—make up about one-third of the index’s total market value.

This surge illustrates the growing dominance of the technology sector, which now represents about one-third of the S&P 500’s market value, nearing levels last seen during the dot-com bubble peak in 2000.

Other standout tech stocks in 2025 include Microsoft (+19%), Oracle (+40%), and Palantir (+88%).

Nvidia Briefly Hits Historic $3.92 Trillion Market Value Amid AI Boom

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Nvidia (NVDA.O) briefly surged to a market capitalization of $3.92 trillion on Thursday, putting it on track to become the most valuable company ever, fueled by Wall Street’s strong optimism around artificial intelligence (AI).

Key Highlights

  • Nvidia’s shares rose as much as 2.4% to $160.98, surpassing Apple’s record closing market cap of $3.915 trillion set on December 26, 2024.

  • At the time of the latest update, shares were up 1.5% at $159.60, with a market cap just under Apple’s record, at $3.89 trillion.

  • Nvidia’s AI-focused chips are in high demand for training large AI models, driving significant growth for the Santa Clara-based company.

Market Context

  • Microsoft holds the second spot in market value at $3.7 trillion, with shares rising 1.7% to $499.56.

  • Apple sits third with a market cap of $3.19 trillion after a 0.8% increase.

  • Other tech giants racing to build AI data centers and dominate AI include Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla, all fueling demand for Nvidia’s high-end processors.

Industry and Stock Insights

  • Joe Saluzzi, co-manager at Themis Trading, remarked on the incredible scale of market valuations, noting the AI-driven surge pushing companies into multi-trillion-dollar territory.

  • Nvidia’s valuation has nearly octupled in four years, from $500 billion in 2021 to almost $4 trillion.

  • The company’s value now exceeds the combined stock markets of Canada and Mexico and all publicly listed companies in the UK.

  • Nvidia trades at about 32 times analysts’ forward earnings—below its five-year average of 41—reflecting growing earnings estimates outpacing stock gains.

  • The stock has rebounded over 68% since early April lows caused by trade uncertainty.

Broader Impact

  • Nvidia’s growth underscores Wall Street’s massive bets on generative AI technologies, as its hardware forms the backbone of many AI systems.

  • Nvidia now makes up 7% of the S&P 500 index; combined with Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet, these five tech giants constitute 28% of the index.

  • Despite optimism, some experts like Kim Forrest of Bokeh Capital Partners caution that current AI models might not fully live up to the hype.

Company Background

  • Founded in 1993 by CEO Jensen Huang, Nvidia evolved from a niche graphics chipmaker to a leading AI technology company.

  • The company replaced Intel on the Dow Jones Industrial Average last November, marking a significant industry shift toward AI-focused semiconductor development.