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Germany’s Left-Wing BSW Challenges Pro-Ukraine Consensus with Growing Influence

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Germany’s recently established leftist-populist party, the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), is challenging the country’s strong support for Ukraine. As the BSW rises in three eastern states—Brandenburg, Thuringia, and Saxony—it demands that any regional coalition partners advocate for an end to military support for Ukraine. This anti-military stance risks eroding Germany’s established pro-Ukraine consensus, even as the country ranks as Kyiv’s second-largest military backer against Russia. Moreover, these developments are intensifying friction within Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s three-party federal coalition, already under strain in Berlin.

Formed in January, the BSW is Germany’s only anti-war party, apart from the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), which remains isolated as mainstream parties refuse to collaborate with it. Now a key player in the eastern states after its strong performance in recent elections, the BSW is positioning itself as an indispensable partner for coalition-building, with party leader Sahra Wagenknecht insisting that any alliances endorse her party’s anti-war policies.

This stance recently led to controversy when the Social Democratic Party (SPD) in Brandenburg, Scholz’s own party, endorsed a joint statement with the BSW, asserting that “the war will not be ended by further weapons deliveries.” The statement, which also criticized the potential deployment of U.S. long-range missiles in Germany, faced backlash in Berlin and within the SPD itself. Agnieszka Brugger, a prominent Green Party lawmaker, called the SPD’s collaboration “cynical and populist,” warning that ending support for Ukraine jeopardizes the security of Germany and its allies.

While state governments cannot directly influence foreign policy, BSW’s stance arrives amid shifting public opinion, with some polls showing cooling support for Ukraine, especially as Russia advances militarily and U.S. policy on Ukraine hinges on the November 5 election.

This shift has also emboldened the SPD’s Russophile faction, evident in the recent promotion of Matthias Miersch, who has been seen as rehabilitating Gerhard Schröder, the former SPD chancellor with ties to Russian energy firm Gazprom and a personal relationship with Vladimir Putin.

A Party in Flux

BSW’s blend of economically paternalistic policies with an anti-migration stance has resonated with voters, particularly in the eastern states, where it secured double-digit percentages in recent elections. Polls suggest it could attract 7-9% of the vote in the federal election next year. This trajectory has transformed Wagenknecht, a former Leninist and long-standing cult figure, into a regular on talk shows. However, internal challenges are surfacing as local BSW leaders, particularly in Thuringia, grapple with Wagenknecht’s strict anti-war stance.

In Thuringia, Katja Wolf, BSW’s regional leader and a popular former mayor of Eisenach, prioritized coalition-building over rigid anti-war statements in talks with SPD and conservative partners. Her focus on stability led her to agree to a vague preamble about peace rather than committing to BSW’s anti-war messaging, drawing criticism from Wagenknecht, who called for a “recognizable BSW signature” in the coalition.

Political scientist Oliver Lembcke of the University of Bochum highlights the fragility of Wagenknecht’s political ventures, noting that a similar movement, “Rise Up,” she launched in 2018, dissolved within a year. As BSW gains national traction, some analysts question whether the party can withstand internal divisions and maintain cohesion through to the next federal election.

 

Exit Polls Show Reprieve for Scholz as SPD Fends Off Far Right in Brandenburg Election

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German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) appear to have narrowly held off the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) in the Brandenburg state election, according to exit polls. Despite trailing for much of the campaign, the SPD garnered 31.8% of the vote, while the AfD followed closely with 29.2%, according to ZDF broadcaster exit polls. This success may provide temporary relief for Scholz amid ongoing discussions within the SPD about his potential candidacy for the federal election in September 2025.

However, the victory is unlikely to significantly boost Scholz’s standing as Dietmar Woidke, Brandenburg’s SPD premier, distanced himself from the Chancellor and criticized federal policies during the campaign. SPD General Secretary Kevin Kuehnert acknowledged the party’s challenges but noted that the SPD had staged a “furious comeback” in the final weeks of the election.

According to an ARD exit poll, three-quarters of SPD voters cast their ballots to prevent the AfD from gaining control, with turnout reaching 73%, up from 61% in the previous election. On a national level, the SPD is polling at just 15%, significantly behind the opposition conservatives at 32% and the AfD at around 20%.

The election also highlighted growing dissatisfaction with Scholz’s coalition government, which has faced criticism for its internal conflicts and handling of immigration. Voters in eastern Germany have been particularly critical of the government’s support for Ukraine amid Russia’s invasion.

The election follows the AfD’s recent historic win in Thuringia, where it became the first far-right party to top a state election since World War II. In Brandenburg, the AfD gained 5.7 percentage points compared to the last election in 2019, signaling continued momentum. AfD co-leader Tino Chrupalla noted strong support from young voters, echoing trends seen in far-right parties across Europe.

Meanwhile, the newly formed leftist Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht came in third with 12%, followed by the conservatives at 11.6%. This result underscores the ongoing shifts in Germany’s political landscape, making future predictions difficult. The Greens, a junior partner in Scholz’s federal coalition, fell just short of the 5% threshold needed to enter the state parliament, while the Free Democrats (FDP) failed to make a significant impact.

 

Scholz Expresses Concern Over Far-Right Gains in German Regional Elections, Mainstream Parties Urged to Unite

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German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has expressed deep concern following significant gains made by the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) in recent regional elections. The AfD, known for its nationalist, anti-immigration, and Russia-friendly stance, achieved a historic victory in Thuringia, becoming the first far-right party since World War II to win a state legislature election in Germany. Additionally, the party came in a close second behind the conservatives in Saxony, reflecting a notable shift in the political landscape.

Scholz called the results “bitter” for his ruling coalition, which suffered losses in both states. He urged mainstream political parties to unite in forming governments without collaborating with “right-wing extremists,” underscoring the threat posed by the AfD to Germany’s democracy, economy, and international reputation. Despite its electoral success, the AfD is unlikely to govern due to the continued refusal of other parties to partner with it. However, the far-right party’s increased presence in state parliaments could enable it to block key decisions, such as judicial appointments, granting it an unprecedented level of influence.

These regional election results have fueled concerns within Scholz’s coalition, which comprises his Social Democrats (SPD), the Greens, and the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP). All three governing parties lost ground in the elections, with only the SPD clearing the 5% threshold to remain in the state parliaments. The results also marked the entry of a populist left-wing party, the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), which performed better than the coalition partners, securing third place in its first state elections.

With a national election looming in Germany next year, these developments may lead to increased political infighting and put pressure on the government to adopt tougher stances on issues like immigration and support for Ukraine, topics that dominated the recent campaign. Scholz acknowledged the challenges ahead, calling on the political establishment to prevent the normalization of far-right extremism in German politics.