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Rivian and Lucid Warn of Challenges Ahead Amid Policy Shifts and Supply Chain Disruptions

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Electric vehicle makers Rivian (RIVN.O) and Lucid (LCID.O) reported disappointing quarterly earnings and issued cautious outlooks, citing impacts from changing U.S. policies, trade tensions, and supply chain issues. Rivian’s shares dropped about 4% after hours, while Lucid’s shares fell 7%.

Both companies are grappling with multiple headwinds under the Trump administration, including the removal of consumer tax credits, imposition of high tariffs on auto parts imports, and the elimination of emission fines for gas vehicle manufacturers. Additionally, China’s restrictions on exporting heavy rare earth metals—critical for EV motors—have disrupted supply chains and increased production costs in the U.S.

Rivian revealed rising costs in Q2 due to rare earth supply disruptions and raised its adjusted core loss forecast for 2024 as revenue from regulatory credit sales dwindles. The cost per vehicle rose approximately 8% year-over-year to about $118,375, largely reflecting lower production volumes rather than operational inefficiencies, CEO RJ Scaringe explained. Lower production contributed to a $14,000 increase in cost of goods sold per vehicle.

The company plans a three-week production pause in September (following a one-week pause in Q2) to integrate components and prepare for the critical launch of its smaller, more affordable R2 SUV next year.

Lucid said it largely avoided rare earth supply issues by using inventory magnets but faced tariff-related costs that pressured profit margins. The luxury EV maker also lowered its annual production forecast.

The expiration of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit at September’s end removes a key demand driver. Analysts expect a sales surge in Q3 as buyers rush to benefit from the incentive before it ends, followed by a possible softening in Q4. Lucid’s interim CEO Marc Winterhoff noted the company is planning countermeasures to mitigate the expected demand slowdown.

The Trump administration’s removal of fuel economy penalties has severely reduced demand for regulatory credits, a significant revenue source for Rivian and Lucid. Rivian said it now expects about half of its initially forecasted $300 million in credit revenue this year and does not anticipate any revenue from credit sales in H2 2024.

Rivian raised its adjusted core loss forecast to between $2 billion and $2.25 billion for 2024, up from prior guidance of $1.7 billion to $1.9 billion, but expects to roughly break even on gross profit. The company also anticipates record deliveries in Q3 across consumer and commercial segments, including its electric delivery vans for Amazon, its largest shareholder.

M&S Faces $400 Million Hit from Cyberattack, Online Disruption to Last Into July

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Marks & Spencer (M&S) confirmed on Wednesday that the cyberattack disclosed in April will cost the British retailer approximately £300 million ($403 million) in lost operating profit, with disruption to its online operations expected to continue into July.

The attack, described by the company as “highly sophisticated and targeted“, forced M&S to shut down its automated stock systems, temporarily reverting to manual, pen-and-paper processes to manage billions of pounds worth of fresh food, clothing, and home goods. The fallout led to empty food shelves, delayed deliveries, and significant customer dissatisfaction.

Financial and Operational Impact

The cyberattack has been a major blow to M&S during a crucial period in its ongoing turnaround strategy. It has already:

  • Wiped more than £1 billion off M&S’s market value,

  • Halted online clothing, home and beauty sales, which have been “heavily impacted”,

  • Caused reduced food availability, higher waste, and increased logistics costs.

Despite this, in-store sales have remained “resilient,” and food sales recovered over the past week.

CEO Stuart Machin said the company expects 85% of online clothing and home items to be back on the site in the coming weeks. However, the full system restart will continue into July.

M&S reported £984.5 million in operating profit for the year ended March 29. It expects to mitigate some of the projected £300 million loss through insurance claims, cost-saving measures, and operational recovery.

Source and Method of Breach

Machin reiterated that the breach did not result from a failure in M&S’s own cybersecurity infrastructure. Instead, hackers gained access via “social engineering” at a third-party contractor. The attackers used deceptive methods to trick employees, breaching external access points rather than M&S’s internal systems.

“We didn’t leave the door open. This wasn’t anything to do with underinvestment,” said Machin.

The National Crime Agency has linked the incident to a group of young, English-speaking hackers, part of a wider pattern of cyberattacks affecting UK institutions including the British Library, London Underground, and blood testing services.

Market Reaction and Outlook

Despite the disruption, M&S shares rose 2% on Wednesday, reflecting investor confidence in the company’s recovery efforts. The stock is still down 9% since the attack.

Archie Norman, M&S chairman, acknowledged the setback but remained optimistic about the company’s broader transformation:

“Just as you think you’re onto a good streak, events have a way of putting you on your backside.”

Analysts said M&S’s strong underlying performance — with adjusted pretax profit up 22.2% and sales rising 6.1% to £13.9 billion — suggests its turnaround remains intact. The clothing and food divisions both gained market share, reinforcing the company’s momentum before the attack.

Nevertheless, competitors like Next, John Lewis, Tesco, and Sainsbury’s may benefit from M&S’s temporary online absence.

Cybersecurity Response

M&S stated that it will use the crisis to accelerate improvements in its technology infrastructure, emphasizing the importance of resilience in the face of rising global cyber threats.

The retailer also disclosed a £248.5 million non-cash impairment charge, linked to longer-term digital and operational investments affected by the incident.

Canadian Freight Railroads Shutdown Threatens North American Economy Amid Labor Dispute

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Canada’s two major freight railroads, Canadian National (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City Southern (CPKC), have locked out nearly 9,000 Teamsters union workers, halting operations and sparking concerns of severe economic disruption across Canada and the United States. This unprecedented shutdown could have widespread effects on various industries, including agriculture, autos, home building, and energy, especially considering that nearly one-third of the freight handled by these railroads crosses the U.S.-Canadian border.

The timing of the lockout, right before the fall peak shipping season, adds further urgency to the situation. Essential goods, from Canadian grain and U.S. fertilizer to Christmas gifts arriving at ports, may face delays. Economists warn that a multi-day shutdown could inflict economic damage running into the billions of dollars. The lockout underscores the interconnected nature of the U.S. and Canadian economies, where a stoppage of rail services could lead to temporary shutdowns in manufacturing plants and shortages in critical supplies.

The railroads justify the lockout as a preventive measure against a potential strike during the peak shipping season, citing the importance of protecting supply chains. Meanwhile, the Teamsters argue that the railroads’ demands compromise worker safety and disrupt family lives, with the union pushing for a contract that prioritizes safety and reasonable working conditions.

Efforts by Canada’s Labor Minister Steve MacKinnon to mediate the situation have so far failed to yield a resolution. The railroads have called for the government to refer the dispute to binding arbitration, while the union opposes such a measure. The lack of an agreement threatens to deepen economic woes, with both the U.S. and Canadian Chambers of Commerce urging immediate action to avert further damage to integrated supply chains.

The railroads have already taken steps to prevent hazardous materials from being stranded on halted trains, further contributing to supply chain disruptions. Experts warn that even a short-lived shutdown could take weeks to fully unwind, with shipments ending up far from their intended destinations and businesses already experiencing delays. The situation remains tense as pressure mounts on Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s administration to step in and broker a solution to avoid further economic fallout.