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Applied Materials Cuts Forecast Amid China Slowdown and Export-Restrictions

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Applied Materials (AMAT.O) forecasted fourth-quarter revenue and profit below analyst expectations on Thursday, citing weak demand in China and uneven orders from customers impacted by tariff uncertainty. Shares fell nearly 13% in after-hours trading.

The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and export restrictions on advanced semiconductor equipment have complicated forecasting, weighing on orders for chipmaking tools suppliers like Applied Materials. China accounted for 35% of Applied’s total sales in the July quarter, making it a critical market.

CFO Brice Hill said the company expects a revenue decline in the fourth quarter due to both the absorption of recently added capacity in China and non-linear demand from leading-edge customers. Tightened export controls prevent sales of the most advanced chipmaking equipment to Chinese clients. Meanwhile, Chinese chipmakers are pausing new orders for older-generation chips used in automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics.

Applied projected fourth-quarter revenue of $6.70 billion, plus or minus $500 million, below the $7.33 billion analysts had anticipated. Adjusted profit per share is expected at $2.11, compared with estimates of $2.39. The forecast assumes no approvals for pending U.S. export license applications.

The company’s third-quarter results exceeded expectations, with revenue up 8% to $7.30 billion and adjusted earnings per share at $2.48, above analyst estimates of $2.36.

China’s CXMT Corp Begins IPO Preparation Amid Push to Expand DRAM Chip Business

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CXMT Corporation, the parent company of Chinese DRAM chipmaker ChangXin Memory Technologies, has started the initial preparations for an initial public offering (IPO), according to a document released by China’s securities regulator.

Summary:

  • IPO Preparation:
    CXMT has entered the “counselling process” for an IPO, having hired state-owned investment banks China International Capital Corporation and CSC Financial to assist. However, details on the timing or location of the IPO remain undisclosed.

  • Company Profile:
    CXMT is a major player in China’s drive to develop a domestic dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chip industry, a sector historically dominated by firms from the U.S., Japan, and South Korea. Founded in 2016 with state backing, CXMT oversees subsidiaries including ChangXin Memory Technologies.

  • Production Facilities:
    The company operates two semiconductor foundries in China—one in Hefei, Anhui Province, and a newer facility in Beijing, with production ramping up since September 2023. Monthly production capacity is estimated at around 200,000 12-inch wafers.

  • Regulatory Challenges:
    CXMT narrowly avoided being added to the U.S. Entity List in May but remains subject to U.S. export restrictions from October 2022, which limit China’s ability to manufacture advanced DRAM chips.

  • No Further Details:
    The document did not specify which assets will be part of the IPO or whether the CXMT subsidiary itself will be listed. The company did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Trump Announces Upcoming Talks with China on TikTok Deal

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U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Friday that talks with China regarding a possible TikTok deal will begin early next week, with discussions likely on Monday or Tuesday.

Summary:

  • Trump said the U.S. “pretty much” has a deal for the sale of TikTok’s U.S. operations.

  • The talks could involve Chinese President Xi Jinping or his representatives.

  • Last month, Trump extended the deadline for ByteDance, TikTok’s China-based parent company, to divest its U.S. assets to September 17.

  • Earlier plans to spin off TikTok’s U.S. operations into a majority U.S.-owned company stalled after China indicated it might not approve the deal amid escalating U.S.-China tariff tensions.

  • Trump expressed cautious optimism about the deal being approved by China, citing a positive personal relationship with President Xi.

  • He emphasized that the deal would be beneficial for both countries.