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Global M&A Reaches $2.6 Trillion in 2025, Driven by AI and Growth Ambitions

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Global mergers and acquisitions (M&A) have hit $2.6 trillion in the first seven months of 2025 — the highest level since the pandemic-era peak of 2021 — as companies prioritize growth and capitalize on opportunities in artificial intelligence (AI). Despite a 16% drop in the number of transactions compared to last year, total deal value rose 28%, fueled by large-scale U.S. transactions exceeding $10 billion.

Key deals include Union Pacific Corp’s proposed $85 billion takeover of Norfolk Southern and OpenAI’s $40 billion funding round led by SoftBank. These transactions mark a shift from early-year hesitation caused by U.S. tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty, as renewed boardroom confidence and a clearer regulatory environment spur activity.

Industry experts say the M&A landscape is now heavily growth-oriented, with AI adoption and regulatory changes prompting companies to move quickly to avoid falling behind. Compared to August 2021’s $3.57 trillion, current activity is still down 27%, but bankers expect more large deals in the second half of 2025 as executives adapt to market volatility and post-election policy direction.

Healthcare dominated post-pandemic dealmaking, but over the past two years, technology and electronics have taken the lead. AI-driven needs, such as data center infrastructure and cybersecurity, are major drivers — highlighted by Samsung’s $1.7 billion purchase of FlaktGroup and Palo Alto Networks’ $25 billion acquisition of CyberArk. Private equity has also re-entered the market, with major bids like Sycamore Partners’ $10 billion move to take Walgreens Boots Alliance private and competing offers from KKR and Advent for UK firm Spectris.

The U.S. remains the world’s largest M&A market, representing more than half of global deals, while Asia Pacific’s activity doubled from last year, surpassing the pace of EMEA growth.

Morgan Stanley Markets $5 Billion Debt Package for Elon Musk’s xAI Amid Political Tensions

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Morgan Stanley is marketing a $5 billion debt package, including bonds and two loans, for Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence company xAI, according to sources familiar with the matter. The move comes during escalating tensions between Musk and U.S. President Joe Biden, adding complexity to the fundraising efforts.

Last week, Morgan Stanley began discussing a floating-rate term loan B, priced at 97 cents on the dollar, with an interest rate set at 700 basis points above the SOFR benchmark. A second financing option offers a fixed rate of 12%, though both structures are subject to investor demand and may change as discussions progress. Preliminary financial details were shared with investors during a recent meeting.

Unlike prior Musk-related transactions, Morgan Stanley is approaching this deal on a “best efforts” basis, meaning it will not guarantee the full issue volume or commit its own capital. This cautious stance reflects a more conservative lending approach amid uncertain macroeconomic conditions. The bank’s restraint follows its experience with Musk’s $44 billion acquisition of Twitter (now X) in 2022, when seven banks led by Morgan Stanley were left holding $13 billion in debt for over two years after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates.

Banks typically offload such loans to investors soon after deals close, but the X debt remained on their books until early 2024. Improved financial performance at X, bolstered by increased platform traffic and Musk’s proximity to former U.S. President Donald Trump, finally allowed banks to sell the debt. Investor interest was also fueled by growing enthusiasm for artificial intelligence investments and the potential political influence tied to Musk’s ventures.

In parallel with the debt sale, xAI has been in discussions to raise around $20 billion in equity funding. Depending on negotiations, the company’s valuation could range from over $120 billion to as much as $200 billion, according to various sources. An earlier plan to merge xAI with social media platform X was ultimately abandoned.

However, recent political developments have complicated Musk’s fundraising prospects. A public rift between Musk and Trump has emerged, potentially jeopardizing federal contracts or grants to Musk’s private companies. This political uncertainty could dampen investor appetite for xAI’s debt or lead to demands for higher risk premiums.

Morgan Stanley and xAI declined to comment on the ongoing negotiations.

Disney Earnings Soar on Streaming Surge and Theme Park Resilience

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Walt Disney Co. (DIS.N) delivered a blockbuster earnings report for the first quarter of 2025, beating analyst expectations on the strength of its Disney+ streaming platform and U.S. theme park revenues, as consumers continue to spend despite global economic uncertainty and tariff-related headwinds.

Shares jumped nearly 10% in early trading after Disney posted adjusted EPS of $1.45, well ahead of the $1.20 consensus (LSEG), and revenue of $23.6 billion, surpassing expectations of $23.14 billion. Operating income hit $4.4 billion, up significantly year-over-year.

“Despite questions around macroeconomic uncertainty or the impact of competition, I’m encouraged by the strength and resilience of our business,” CEO Bob Iger told investors.

Streaming Fuels Momentum

  • Disney+ added 1.4 million subscribers this quarter

  • Hulu added 1.1 million subscribers

  • Streaming operating income jumped to $336 million, up from $47 million a year ago

  • Disney reiterated its goal of turning streaming into a “true growth business”, adding live ESPN sports, better personalization, and more international content

Parks and Experiences: A Steady Growth Engine

  • Operating income for Experiences rose 9% to $2.5 billion

  • Bookings up for Q3 and Q4 in U.S. parks

  • New cruise ship, Disney Treasure, received “sky high” ratings, and a Singapore-based vessel is in the pipeline

  • Abu Dhabi theme park announced, signaling global expansion

CFO Hugh Johnston affirmed that U.S. park attendance remains strong, though Shanghai Disney Resort and Hong Kong Disneyland saw drops, attributed to China’s economic slowdown.

Financial Outlook:

  • FY 2025 EPS guidance: $5.75 (a 16% increase YoY)

  • Experiences division: 6–8% operating income growth expected

  • Entertainment division: Double-digit income growth forecast

Additional Highlights:

  • Upcoming film slate includes Pixar’s “Elio,” “Zootopia 2,” and “Avatar: Fire and Ash”

  • Marvel’s “Thunderbolts”* noted as a recent box office success

  • Ad sales remain strong, especially in restaurant and healthcare sectors

Despite the strong quarter, Disney shares are still down 17% YTD, underperforming the S&P 500’s 4.7% drop. However, the company’s robust subscriber growth, cruise expansion, and upcoming content slate suggest growing investor optimism for a sustained turnaround.