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Trump Extends Deadline for US TikTok Sale to September

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U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday extended the deadline to September 17 for ByteDance, the China-based parent company of TikTok, to divest the app’s U.S. assets. This extension comes despite a law requiring the sale or shutdown of TikTok in the U.S. without significant progress.

Trump signed an executive order delaying the original deadline, which was set for Thursday, by 90 days—a move he had previously indicated.

The Republican president had already granted two extensions earlier, postponing enforcement of a law that mandated TikTok’s sale or shutdown by January, unless significant progress was made toward divestment.

Trump has expressed a desire to keep TikTok operational in the U.S., noting the app helped him gain young voters in the 2024 presidential election. He also voiced optimism that Chinese President Xi Jinping would approve a deal preserving TikTok’s presence in the U.S., although it is unclear how much the issue has been discussed amid ongoing tariff disputes between the two countries.

TikTok released a statement expressing gratitude for Trump’s support in keeping the app available. The company said it is continuing discussions with U.S. Vice President JD Vance’s office.

White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt told reporters that the extension provides “more time to make a good deal.” She added that legal experts at the White House and Department of Justice support the extension’s legality.

On Tuesday, Trump had indicated he would likely extend the deadline and expressed hope for China’s approval of the sale. “I think President Xi will ultimately approve it,” he said.

The 2024 law required TikTok to cease operations in the U.S. by January 19 unless ByteDance had divested U.S. assets or made substantial progress toward a sale. Trump, who began his second term on January 20, chose not to enforce the law and previously extended the deadline twice: once to early April and again last month to June 19.

Earlier this year, Trump offered to reduce tariffs on China to facilitate a deal for TikTok’s U.S. operations, which currently serve 170 million Americans. A planned deal would spin off TikTok’s U.S. business into a new company majority-owned by U.S. investors but was paused after China indicated it would not approve it amid tariff tensions.

Some Democratic lawmakers argue that Trump lacks legal authority to extend the deadline and question whether the proposed deal would comply with legal requirements.

Investors Brace for China-Taiwan Conflict Risks, But See No Safe Hedge

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Foreign investors are increasingly forced to factor in the once-unthinkable: the possibility of China invading Taiwan, a scenario made more plausible amid rising U.S.-China tensions under President Donald Trump and a new wave of global trade nationalism. Yet, despite heightened geopolitical anxiety, investors see little to no viable strategy for hedging against a full-scale conflict over the democratically governed island.

“You can’t settle any trades, the currency might disappear altogether… you either carry on like it’s business as usual, or stay away,” said Mukesh Dave, CIO of Aravali Asset Management.

War or Status Quo: A Binary Outlook

Investors now view the China-Taiwan standoff as a binary risk:

  • War, which would likely obliterate Taiwan’s status as a stable investment market.

  • Peace, maintaining the status quo under continued diplomatic ambiguity.

Rising Odds and Market Reaction

  • The Polymarket platform now pegs the odds of an invasion at 12%, up from near zero earlier in the year.

  • Taiwan stock outflows totalled nearly $11 billion in 2024, fueled in part by U.S. tariffs.

  • Taiwan’s benchmark index (.TWII) is down 6% year-to-date.

Even Goldman Sachs’ Cross-Strait Risk Index, which tracks media references to tensions, has been steadily climbing since Trump’s election win in late 2024.

“If aggression occurs, the investment decision becomes binary: stay exposed and absorb extreme volatility, or exit swiftly to preserve capital,” said Steve Lawrence, CIO of Balfour Capital Group.

TSMC at the Heart of the Dilemma

The central pillar of Taiwan’s market remains Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC):

  • Valued as the crown jewel of the global chip industry

  • Supplies giants like Apple and Nvidia

  • Has been both a market driver and a geopolitical flashpoint, especially as Trump’s tariff policies increasingly target advanced tech

“TSMC is so big that the expectation is the U.S. will defend Taiwan — and defend it strongly,” said Dave.

However, Trump’s inconsistent tariff maneuvers, including temporary delays for negotiation leverage, have spooked investors and underscored Taiwan’s exposure to external political will.

Diverging Views on Risk

While global investors appear increasingly concerned about cross-strait instability, some local voices remain sceptical:

“We shouldn’t interpret this from a geopolitical risk perspective. The key issue is the tariffs,” said Li Fang-kuo, chairman of Uni-President’s securities advisory unit in Taiwan.

Others, like Rich Nuzum, global strategist at Mercer, recommend broad diversification and crisis stress-testing as the only realistic tools for institutional clients.

“There is no hedge for war,” Dave noted plainly. “But there is stress-testing for fear.”

With Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te pledging peace and Beijing accusing him of separatism, tensions remain unresolved. Investors face a stark choice: stay exposed to Taiwan’s tech-driven growth, or exit amid escalating uncertainty.

US-China Relations Committee Head Urges Cooperation in AI

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Stephen Orlins, the president of the National Committee on United States-China Relations (NCUSCR), emphasized the need for cooperation between China and the United States in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). Speaking at the annual China Development Forum in Beijing, Orlins suggested that both countries should avoid duplicating efforts in AI research and development.

AI has become a critical point of tension between the two nations, with the U.S. imposing multiple rounds of sanctions on China’s AI and chip sectors to hinder its technological advancements. Washington has justified these measures by citing national security concerns, particularly the risk of China using AI for military-related purposes.

The NCUSCR is a non-profit advisory organization that fosters dialogue and understanding between the U.S. and China on various issues, including technology.