Yazılar

AI Hyperscalers Seen Driving Surge in U.S. Corporate Bond Supply in 2026

U.S. corporate bond issuance is set to rise sharply in 2026, with artificial intelligence hyperscalers expected to be a major driver as they ramp up spending on data centres and computing power, analysts say.

According to a report from Barclays, total U.S. corporate bond issuance could reach $2.46 trillion in 2026, up nearly 12% from $2.2 trillion in 2025. Net issuance is forecast at $945 billion, a 30% increase from last year, with AI-related capital expenditure seen as the biggest upside risk.

Barclays said the rise in supply would be driven less by financial firms and more by non-financial companies, particularly large AI-focused technology groups that may need to fund “jumbo” bond deals to support rapid expansion.

The five major AI hyperscalers — Amazon, Google, Meta Platforms, Microsoft and Oracle — issued about $121 billion in U.S. corporate bonds last year, far above their 2020–2024 average of $28 billion, according to BofA Securities.

BofA expects hyperscaler borrowing to accelerate further, estimating the group could raise around $140 billion a year over the next three years, potentially exceeding $300 billion annually. That would put them on par with the largest U.S. banks as bond issuers and make them some of the biggest names in the investment-grade market.

Hyperscalers already dominated issuance in 2025. According to MUFG, four of the five largest U.S. high-grade bond deals last year came from AI-driven tech firms, including Oracle’s $18 billion sale and Meta’s $30 billion deal — the largest ever non-M&A investment-grade bond offering.

The surge in supply has begun to widen credit spreads, pushing investors to hedge AI-related risks through credit default swaps. MUFG data shows the cost of insuring hyperscaler debt has risen since mid-2025, with Oracle’s five-year CDS more than tripling since its September bond sale.