Samsung Reports Disappointing Q3 Profit Guidance Amid AI Chip Challenges

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Samsung Electronics, the world’s largest memory chip producer, reported lower-than-expected third-quarter profits on Tuesday, despite a year-on-year surge. The South Korean tech giant estimated operating profits of around 9.10 trillion won (approximately $6.7 billion) for the quarter ending in September. While this figure represents a massive 274% increase from the same period last year, it fell short of the 11.456 trillion won ($7.7 billion) forecast by analysts polled by LSEG.

Samsung’s projected revenue for the quarter stood at 81.96 trillion won ($61 billion), also missing expectations. The disappointing guidance comes amid the company’s struggles to manage its memory chip business and delays in shipments of its advanced high-bandwidth memory (HBM3E) chips.

In an unusual move, Jun Young-hyun, Samsung’s Vice Chairman and new head of the Device Solutions Division, issued a public apology following the release, acknowledging the company’s challenges. The performance of Samsung’s memory business has been negatively affected by “one-time costs and negative effects,” including inventory adjustments by mobile customers and increased competition from Chinese memory producers.

The company also noted that delays in shipments of its cutting-edge HBM3E chips to major clients added to its difficulties. These high-performance chips are critical for artificial intelligence applications, a growing sector where Samsung is trying to gain ground.

Despite being the dominant player in memory chips used in devices such as laptops, servers, and PCs, Samsung has seen weakened demand for legacy chips in these sectors. This trend, coupled with a less aggressive market share strategy, has hurt the company. “Samsung is not taking that market share as aggressively as we have seen in the past,” remarked Daniel Yoo, head of global asset allocation at Yuanta Securities Korea.

Macquarie Equity Research analysts warned that the fall in demand for conventional DRAM (dynamic random access memory) chips could have a more significant impact on Samsung than on its smaller rivals. DRAM chips are essential for PCs and workstations, and Samsung has traditionally relied on their steady demand.

In response to the market challenges, Samsung has reportedly instructed its subsidiaries to reduce staff by up to 30% in certain divisions, according to sources cited by Reuters. The company’s shares, which are down 22% year-to-date, fell by another 0.98% after the release of the third-quarter profit guidance. Samsung is expected to release more detailed financial results later this month.

 

China’s State Planner Announces Economic Boost but Holds Back on Major Stimulus

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During a highly anticipated press conference on Tuesday, Zheng Shanjie, chairman of China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), outlined a series of measures aimed at strengthening the country’s economy. Despite these efforts, there were no announcements of major new stimulus initiatives, dampening investor enthusiasm and causing the rally in Chinese markets to lose momentum.

One key announcement was the acceleration of special purpose bond issuance to local governments, intended to support regional economic growth. Zheng emphasized that the 1 trillion yuan in ultra-long special sovereign bonds had been fully allocated to local projects. He also pledged to continue issuing ultra-long special treasury bonds next year. In addition, the central government will release a 100 billion yuan investment plan for 2024 by the end of this month.

The press briefing came as mainland China’s markets reopened after the weeklong Golden Week holiday. While markets initially surged on the news, the lack of significant new stimulus caused gains to slow. The CSI 300 blue-chip index pared its rise to 5% after an early jump of over 10%, while the Shanghai Composite and SZSE Component indices also trimmed gains to 5% and 8%, respectively.

Limited Stimulus Falls Short of Investor Expectations

Although Zheng expressed confidence that China would meet its annual growth target, his comments on the property market and domestic spending lacked detailed financial commitments, leaving some investors disappointed. Yue Su, an economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit, noted that the absence of specific figures might not be a negative indicator, as China’s pro-growth policy stance remains unchanged. Su maintained her forecast of 4.7% growth for China in 2023, with a slight uptick to 4.8% in 2025.

Shaun Rein, managing director at China Market Research Group, commented that many Western investors might take a cautious approach following the announcement. He added that without concrete fiscal stimulus, the recent rally in Chinese markets could be short-lived.

Economic Struggles Persist

China has been grappling with a sluggish economy following a disappointing recovery from COVID-19 lockdowns. Growth in the world’s second-largest economy has been hindered by weak domestic demand and a prolonged downturn in the property sector.

In the first half of 2023, China’s economy grew by 5%, meeting government targets. However, in the second quarter, growth slowed to 4.7%, marking the slowest pace since the first quarter of 2023. Inflation data has also been lackluster, with consumer prices rising by just 0.6% year-on-year in August, missing expectations. Factory activity contracted for the fifth consecutive month in September, with the official Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) recording 49.8, signaling continued contraction in the manufacturing sector.

Zheng acknowledged that China still faces significant challenges in achieving its growth objectives. Earlier in the year, he had emphasized the importance of coordinated macroeconomic policies, including fiscal, monetary, employment, and industrial measures, as the country continues to adjust its economic strategies.

While Beijing has introduced several stimulus measures aimed at halting falling property prices and bolstering economic performance, these actions have yet to fully reverse the slowdown. Investors remain cautious, awaiting further fiscal support from the government to reinvigorate the economy.

 

U.S. Judge Orders Google to Open Up Play Store to Rival App Platforms

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A U.S. judge has ordered Google to revamp its app store policies to promote competition, following a ruling in favor of Epic Games, the maker of “Fortnite.” The ruling, issued by U.S. District Judge James Donato in San Francisco, mandates that Google make changes to its Play Store to allow more flexibility for Android users in downloading apps and using alternative payment methods. This injunction is a result of Epic Games’ lawsuit, which accused Google of monopolizing app distribution on Android devices and restricting how users pay for in-app purchases.

For the next three years, Google will not be allowed to prohibit the use of competing in-app payment systems and must enable Android users to download apps from third-party stores. Additionally, Google will no longer be able to pay device manufacturers to preinstall its Play Store or share its Play Store revenue with other app distributors, a practice that has been criticized as limiting competition.

Google expressed its intention to appeal the ruling, arguing that the changes could lead to negative consequences for consumers, developers, and device manufacturers. The company plans to ask the courts to pause the enforcement of Donato’s order while the appeal is under review. Epic Games CEO Tim Sweeney celebrated the decision, stating that it paves the way for a more competitive Android ecosystem, with rival app stores set to enter the market by 2025.

As part of the ruling, Judge Donato has directed Epic and Google to establish a three-person technical committee to oversee the implementation of the injunction. This ruling is set to take effect on November 1, giving Google time to adjust its practices to meet the new requirements.

The lawsuit, which began in 2020, led to a jury verdict in 2023 that found Google had unlawfully stifled competition in how apps are distributed and how payments are processed on Android devices. Google has contested these claims and warned that the proposed reforms could compromise user privacy and security. Despite these arguments, Judge Donato dismissed most of Google’s concerns, emphasizing that changes were necessary to address the company’s monopolistic practices.

This ruling is part of a larger antitrust crackdown on Google. In a separate case, U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta ruled in August that Google had illegally monopolized the web search market, and the company is currently facing another trial over its dominance in the advertising technology sector.