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STMicroelectronics CEO Expects Stable Start to 2026 as Inventory Pressures Ease

STMicroelectronics Chief Executive Jean-Marc Chery said on Wednesday he expects the chipmaker’s first-quarter 2026 revenue to remain at typical seasonal levels, signaling a steady recovery following a weaker-than-expected rebound this year.

Speaking at a Morgan Stanley conference, Chery forecast that first-quarter revenue would decline 10% to 11% from the upcoming fourth quarter, which the company projects at $3.28 billion. However, that still represents around 20% year-on-year growth, highlighting progress in clearing customer inventory.

“This is positive news confirming that we are almost free of material inventory correction,” Chery said, suggesting that the company’s prolonged inventory adjustment cycle is largely behind it.

Analysts surveyed by LSEG expect first-quarter revenue to reach $2.98 billion, in line with Chery’s guidance and roughly 10% lower than the previous quarter.

STMicroelectronics, one of Europe’s largest semiconductor manufacturers, has faced a slow recovery in demand from the automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics markets after an extended downturn marked by excess stockpiling across its customer base.

Shares of the company rose 1.4% at 1113 GMT following Chery’s comments, as investors welcomed signs of a normalization in supply and demand dynamics heading into 2026.

Samsung Profit Plunges 56% Amid AI Chip Woes, U.S. Export Curbs to China

Samsung Electronics reported a steep 56% year-on-year drop in Q2 operating profit, projecting earnings of 4.6 trillion won ($3.36 billion)—significantly below analyst expectations of 6.2 trillion won, according to LSEG SmartEstimate. This marks Samsung’s weakest quarterly performance in six quarters, as its semiconductor division continues to struggle with shifting global dynamics in the AI chip market.

The South Korean tech giant blamed its sharp decline on U.S. restrictions on AI chip exports to China, which have disrupted its sales pipeline. However, analysts pointed to delays in delivering high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips to Nvidia as a major factor in its underperformance. Unlike rivals SK Hynix and Micron, which have seen strong AI-driven chip demand, Samsung has been slower to supply its latest HBM3E 12-layer chips, with customer evaluations still ongoing and no specific update on Nvidia shipments.

“Everything ultimately comes back to HBM,” said Ryu Young-ho, an analyst at NH Investment & Securities, noting that Samsung’s competitive edge hinges on reclaiming leadership in the HBM segment.

Revenue for the quarter is expected to come in nearly flat at 74 trillion won, down just 0.1% from a year ago. But the semiconductor division likely took the hardest hit, with analysts estimating its operating profit may have dropped over 90% to just 500 billion won, partly due to inventory value adjustments and unsold HBM stockpiles.

Adding to the challenges, potential U.S. tariffs and mounting competition in China—where Samsung still has a heavy market presence—are expected to weigh on both its chip and smartphone margins in the near term.

Samsung’s foundry business also saw falling earnings, attributed to low utilisation rates and inventory write-downs, stemming from the same U.S. AI chip export restrictions. However, the company expects foundry performance to gradually improve in the second half of 2025 as utilisation recovers with demand.

Despite the weak outlook, Samsung announced a 3.9 trillion won ($2.85 billion) share buyback, part of a broader 10 trillion won repurchase plan unveiled in late 2024. Investors remained cautious, with Samsung shares slipping 0.2%, while Korea’s benchmark KOSPI index rose 1.2% during morning trading.

Looking ahead, Samsung hopes to recover with upcoming phone launches and by expanding HBM sales beyond Nvidia to other customers. A full breakdown of business unit performance is expected on July 31, when the company releases its detailed Q2 earnings report.