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Palantir Shares Tumble Over 13% Despite Revenue Beat and Upgraded Forecast

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Palantir Technologies (PLTR.O) saw its stock plunge more than 13% on Tuesday, as investors reacted negatively to quarterly results and a raised full-year forecast that fell short of Wall Street’s elevated expectations. This comes after the stock had soared 63% year-to-date, following a quadruple gain in 2023, driven by optimism around its AI capabilities and government contracts.

The Denver-based data analytics firm reported first-quarter revenue of $883.9 million, a 39% year-over-year increase, and above analyst expectations of $862.8 million, according to LSEG. U.S. government revenue surged 45%, highlighting continued momentum in federal and defense sectors.

Despite the beat, analysts say the market had already priced in strong performance, leaving little room for upside. “We believe we have reached a point where respectable earnings beats and raised guidance aren’t enough to materially move the stock to the upside,” said Morningstar analyst Mark Giarelli.

Palantir now forecasts 2024 revenue between $3.89 billion and $3.90 billion, up from the prior estimate of $3.74 billion to $3.76 billion. The company also noted a record number of $1 million+ deals, with strong customer growth in U.S. commercial sectors such as healthcare, energy, and automotive.

However, valuation concerns are mounting. Palantir’s 12-month forward P/E ratio stands at 202.07, significantly higher than that of industry peers like Snowflake (131), Datadog (54.81), and Salesforce (23.48). If the stock decline holds, the company is poised to shed over $40 billion from its $292 billion market cap.

Despite the sell-off, at least nine brokerages raised their price targets for Palantir post-earnings, pushing the median target to $96.46 — a sign of continued long-term confidence in the firm’s AI-driven growth.

Lyft Shares Drop as Price Cuts Persist Amid Ongoing Competition with Uber

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Lyft (LYFT.O) shares fell 9% on Wednesday after the company announced that pricing trends from late 2024 are likely to continue in 2025, driven by its efforts to stay competitive with rival Uber. Lyft has been cutting fares and offering more discounts to attract riders and drivers.

During its fourth-quarter report on Tuesday, Lyft revealed that fares fell late last year and have remained low in early 2025. In contrast, Uber stated last week that it expects slight price increases for its UberX service this year as it passes rising insurance costs on to consumers.

Lyft has been using coupons and fare reductions to retain market share. However, Bernstein analysts highlighted that U.S. rideshare companies are reallocating incentives, reducing driver incentives to fund customer promotions—a strategy that could work if properly balanced.

Lyft emphasized that it has flexibility in adjusting incentives to ensure marketplace balance, with a strong driver base currently on its platform. However, analysts at Needham cautioned that extended price cuts could test the industry’s price elasticity and overall demand.

Following Lyft’s fourth-quarter results, at least 13 brokerages lowered their price targets for the company, with a median target of $18, according to LSEG data. The company also projected gross bookings below Wall Street estimates, mirroring Uber’s recent guidance.

Lyft’s forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio stands at 13.4, compared to Uber’s 29.4. While Lyft’s shares fell 13.9% in 2024, they have risen 11.6% so far this year. However, if the current share decline holds, Lyft’s market capitalization is expected to drop by over $500 million to around $5.4 billion. Uber’s shares were also down about 3% on Wednesday.

Pinterest Shares Surge on Strong AI Ad Forecasts

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Pinterest’s stock soared by 20% on Friday after the company raised its first-quarter revenue forecast, indicating that its AI-driven advertisement tools will boost ad spending on the platform. The surge was driven by Pinterest’s prediction of revenue exceeding expectations, with a focus on its direct response ads, which encourage actions like app downloads or website visits.

CEO Bill Ready highlighted the success of Pinterest’s AI tools, particularly the Performance+ suite, which automates ad targeting and reduces the inputs required for campaign creation. This has been especially helpful for smaller advertisers. “Advertisers using these tools now need 50% fewer inputs to create a campaign,” Ready explained.

Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik noted that automating the ad creation process makes Pinterest an appealing choice for advertisers, particularly smaller ones, due to the ease it offers. Shmulik also expressed confidence that Pinterest’s progress is sustainable.

In the fourth quarter, Pinterest reported record revenue, driven by strong ad spending from the retail, technology, and financial services sectors. However, advertising spend from food and beverage companies remained weak. Following the positive earnings report, at least 27 brokerages raised their price target for Pinterest.

The company’s first-quarter revenue projection of $837 million to $852 million exceeds analysts’ consensus estimate of $832.8 million. Additionally, its adjusted core earnings forecast of $155 million to $170 million also surpassed expectations.

Pinterest’s stock value could increase by over $4 billion if the gains hold, with the company’s market valuation currently sitting at $22.70 billion. Despite volatility in stock price following earnings reports, Pinterest’s outlook remains positive, with its first-quarter projections further fueling investor optimism.