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UN Refugee Agency: 25% of Lebanon Under Israeli Evacuation Orders Amid Conflict

The United Nations refugee agency (UNHCR) has reported that over a quarter of Lebanon is now affected by Israeli evacuation orders as the conflict between Israel and the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah intensifies. This development comes amid Israel’s ongoing military campaign against Hezbollah, which has included ground incursions into southern Lebanon and airstrikes targeting key Hezbollah infrastructure. The U.N. expressed concerns about the growing humanitarian crisis as civilians continue to flee with minimal belongings.

According to Rema Jamous Imseis, the UNHCR’s Middle East Director, the latest evacuation orders have forced residents of 20 more villages in southern Lebanon to flee. This adds to the 1.2 million displaced people since the escalation of Israeli operations last year. Israeli military actions have resulted in the deaths of over 2,309 people, most of whom have been killed since Israel expanded its campaign in late September. The Lebanese government has not distinguished between civilian and combatant casualties in its reporting. Meanwhile, Israel reports that 50 Israelis, both soldiers and civilians, have been killed during this period, with Hezbollah rocket attacks forcing tens of thousands of northern Israeli residents to evacuate their homes.

In a tragic escalation, an Israeli airstrike on a house in northern Lebanon’s Christian-majority town of Aitou killed 22 people, including 12 women and two children, many of whom were displaced civilians seeking shelter from the bombardment. The U.N. Human Rights Office raised concerns regarding International Humanitarian Law (IHL), calling for an investigation into the attack.

In response to this increasing humanitarian toll, U.N. peacekeepers stationed in southern Lebanon have also come under fire during clashes between Israeli forces and Hezbollah. The U.N. Security Council has expressed concern over the safety of peacekeepers following several strikes on their bases.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to continue military operations “without mercy” across Lebanon, including Beirut, following a Hezbollah drone attack that killed four Israeli soldiers. The conflict, which resumed a year ago in conjunction with the Gaza war, has fueled broader regional tensions. As the conflict escalates, Qatar’s emir has accused Israel of exploiting international inaction to expand its aggression to Lebanon and the West Bank.

The broader Middle East remains on high alert for potential Israeli retaliation against Iran, following Iranian missile strikes on October 1, as regional powers and international mediators continue to work toward a resolution of the crisis.

Quds Force Commander Missing After Beirut Strikes, Fate Unknown

Iran’s Quds Force commander, Esmail Qaani, has been missing since a series of Israeli airstrikes in Beirut, according to Iranian officials. Qaani, who traveled to Lebanon following the death of Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah in a previous Israeli strike, has not been heard from since Israeli forces targeted the Dahiyeh district late last week.

According to Reuters, two senior Iranian security officials confirmed that Qaani was in Beirut’s southern suburbs, known as Dahiyeh, during the attack but was not in a meeting with Hashem Safieddine, a senior Hezbollah official and potential successor to Nasrallah. Safieddine’s fate remains unclear, and Hezbollah has indicated that it will only make an announcement once their search efforts conclude.

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), who named Qaani as the commander of the Quds Force after the 2020 assassination of Qassem Soleimani by a U.S. drone strike, have been unable to establish contact with him since the latest strikes. The Quds Force is responsible for managing Iran’s military and intelligence operations across the Middle East, including its coordination with Hezbollah.

Escalating Conflict and Missing Leaders

Israel has intensified its military operations in Dahiyeh, targeting Hezbollah and its leadership. While Israel has not confirmed Qaani’s presence in Beirut during the attacks, Israeli military spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Nadav Shoshani acknowledged that the strikes targeted Hezbollah’s intelligence headquarters. The Israeli military is still assessing the results and has not ruled out that key figures, including Qaani, may have been killed.

Shoshani stated, “When we have more specific results from that strike, we will share it. There’s a lot of questions about who was there and who was not.”

Qaani’s mission in Beirut followed the September 27 airstrike that killed Nasrallah and Brigadier General Abbas Nilforoushan, another high-ranking member of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. The strikes have fueled tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, with Israel continuing its operations against Iranian-backed forces in Lebanon.

Strategic Importance of the Quds Force

As the head of the Quds Force, Qaani oversees Iran’s support for militias and proxy forces throughout the region, including Hezbollah. His disappearance, alongside the loss of prominent figures like Nasrallah and Nilforoushan, would mark a significant blow to Iran’s influence and military capabilities in Lebanon.

Safieddine, who was seen as the likely successor to Nasrallah, was reportedly the target of the latest Israeli attack. His potential death would further complicate Hezbollah’s leadership structure, as the group faces internal uncertainty while under relentless pressure from Israel.

Ongoing Search Efforts

Hezbollah continues its search for Safieddine amid reports that Israel has hindered these efforts by maintaining a heavy military presence in the area. Despite the devastation caused by recent airstrikes, Hezbollah has not released any updates on Safieddine’s condition. His survival or demise could significantly impact the organization’s future direction and Iran’s continued influence in the region.

As Iran and Hezbollah navigate the aftermath of these attacks, the disappearance of Qaani and the leadership vacuum left by Nasrallah’s death have raised concerns about the future of Iran’s proxy operations in Lebanon.

 

Israel Strikes Central Beirut, Killing Six Amid Escalating Conflict with Hezbollah

Early on Thursday, Israeli airstrikes targeted central Beirut, killing at least six people, as tensions between Israel and Hezbollah reached new heights. The strike hit a building in the Bachoura district, close to Lebanon’s parliament, marking the closest Israeli attack to central Beirut in the ongoing conflict. Lebanese health officials confirmed the casualties, and additional reports suggested multiple injuries from the attack.

Israel’s military said the airstrike was a precise operation against Hezbollah-related targets, following the loss of eight Israeli soldiers in ground combat in southern Lebanon. In response, Hezbollah has engaged Israeli forces near the border, destroying three Israeli tanks. This marked the first major ground confrontation since Israeli troops entered Lebanon earlier in the week.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) continued issuing evacuation orders for Lebanese villages near the border, as Israeli air raids on Hezbollah strongholds in Beirut’s southern suburb of Dahiyeh also resumed. Three missiles targeted the area where Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah was killed last week.

The conflict is drawing increasing international concern. U.S. President Joe Biden urged Israel to respond proportionally, despite Iran’s massive missile strike on Israel earlier this week, which Israel said involved over 180 missiles. G7 leaders and China have called for diplomacy, urging the United Nations Security Council to intervene to de-escalate the situation. Meanwhile, Western nations are preparing contingency evacuation plans for citizens in Lebanon as the violence intensifies.

The death toll from almost a year of cross-border clashes has surpassed 1,900, with over 9,000 wounded, according to Lebanese officials. The conflict has displaced around 1.2 million people within Lebanon.