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Duolingo Raises 2025 Revenue Forecast as AI Features Boost User Growth

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Duolingo (DUOL.O) raised its annual revenue forecast and surpassed second-quarter revenue estimates on Wednesday, driven by increased adoption of its AI-enhanced subscription services. The language-learning app’s shares climbed about 20% in after-hours trading.

Operating on a freemium model, Duolingo offers free basic lessons with premium tiers that provide advanced features through monthly or annual subscriptions. The company now expects 2025 revenue between $1.01 billion and $1.02 billion, surpassing analysts’ consensus of $996.6 million. Previously, the forecast ranged from $987 million to $996 million.

For the April-June quarter, revenue reached $252.3 million, beating analysts’ estimates of $240.7 million.

Duolingo’s two subscription tiers, Super and Max, include AI-powered tools like video-call conversation practice with chatbots, personalized error analysis, and improved feedback. Since launching its AI video-call feature on Android in January, the company has expanded it to more languages to enhance natural conversation practice and drive subscription growth.

The company’s gross margin exceeded expectations this quarter due to lower-than-anticipated AI costs and stronger ad performance, which, while a smaller part of the business, contributed positively to margins, CFO Matt Skaruppa said.

Duolingo uses generative AI to craft and personalize lessons across more than 100 languages. CEO Luis von Ahn noted that after 12 years to develop its first 100 courses, AI tools helped launch 148 new courses in about one year.

Looking ahead, Duolingo expects third-quarter revenue between $257 million and $261 million, exceeding analyst forecasts of $253 million, and projects adjusted core profit for 2025 in the range of $288.1 million to $295.5 million.

Shopify Raises Revenue Outlook on Strong Consumer Demand, Shares Jump 20%

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Shopify (SHOP.TO) forecasted upbeat quarterly revenue on Wednesday, citing resilient consumer demand and strong seller performance despite tariff pressures. The Canadian e-commerce platform’s shares surged 20% following the announcement.

Shopify’s merchant base showed steady growth through early August, building on a 31% revenue jump in the April-June quarter. The company’s results helped ease investor concerns over uncertainty caused by shifting U.S. trade policies under President Donald Trump.

“We haven’t seen any drops in U.S. demand, whether inbound, outbound or local. In fact, the U.S. accelerated in the second-quarter,” CFO Jeff Hoffmeister said on the post-earnings call, noting strong growth across all merchant segments. High-volume sellers with more than $50 million in annual gross merchandise volume (GMV), as well as smaller sellers under $2 million, performed particularly well.

Shopify also reported that many merchants have been raising prices, although specific details were not disclosed. This contrasts with e-commerce giant Amazon’s recent statement that it has yet to see a notable rise in prices despite strong retail results.

Analyst Charlie Miner of Third Bridge commented, “The tariff situation is still playing out… but there is clarity on how consumers will react, and Shopify appears largely unaffected so far.”

Looking ahead, Shopify expects third-quarter revenue growth in the mid- to high-twenties percentage range, above analysts’ consensus estimate of 21.54%, based on data from LSEG.

The company’s investments in artificial intelligence-powered tools to help merchants automate tasks such as website building, image generation, and sales data analysis are contributing to its momentum.

Paycom Raises 2025 Revenue and Profit Forecasts on AI-Driven Demand

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Payroll software provider Paycom Software (PAYC.N) boosted its fiscal 2025 revenue and profit guidance on Wednesday, attributing the upward revision to increased demand driven by new AI capabilities in its platform. The company’s shares rose 7% in after-hours trading following the announcement.

Paycom now projects annual revenue between $2.05 billion and $2.06 billion, up from its previous forecast of $2.02 billion to $2.04 billion, surpassing the $2.03 billion consensus estimate. The company’s CEO, Chad Richison, highlighted the “smart AI” suite integrated into Paycom’s software, which automates workforce tasks such as drafting job descriptions and identifying employees at risk of leaving, helping employers streamline management processes.

Profit expectations for 2025 were also raised, with core profit forecasted between $872 million and $882 million, compared to prior guidance of $843 million to $858 million. In the second quarter ended June 30, Paycom reported revenue of $483.6 million and adjusted core profit of $198.3 million, both beating analyst estimates.

Despite these gains, the company’s optimism comes amid weakening U.S. labor market conditions, with July’s employment growth falling short of expectations and prior months’ payroll figures revised downward by 258,000 jobs.