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Chip stocks surge after TSMC boosts outlook on soaring AI demand

Global semiconductor stocks rose on Thursday after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) issued a strong revenue forecast and reported record quarterly profits, underscoring surging demand for chips that power artificial intelligence systems.

TSMC — the world’s largest contract chipmaker and a key supplier to Nvidia and Apple — raised its full-year revenue guidance to mid-30% growth, up from around 30%, citing stronger-than-expected AI spending and data center expansion. Analysts say this marks a shift from a cyclical boom to a structural uptrend driven by AI infrastructure demand.

“This isn’t just a transient spike. TSMC’s blowout quarter tells a clear story — this is structural,” said Kate Leaman, chief market analyst at AvaTrade.

The upbeat forecast sent semiconductor stocks higher worldwide. Micron Technology gained about 4%, Broadcom climbed 2.4%, Marvell Technology added 1.3%, and Nvidia rose 1.2%. In Asia, Samsung Electronics advanced 2.8%.

The rally came amid a week of massive AI-related deals, including BlackRock’s $40 billion acquisition of data-center operator Aligned and a partnership between OpenAI and Broadcom to build 10 gigawatts of custom chips — enough to power more than eight million U.S. homes.

The developments reinforce Wall Street’s conviction that AI hardware remains the core driver of tech investment, nearly three years after ChatGPT’s debut. On Wednesday, Salesforce also projected revenue above $60 billion by 2030, driven by rapid AI integration across its cloud services.

AMD Launches $6 Billion Buyback Amid AI Sector Jitters, Shares Jump

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) announced a $6 billion stock buyback plan on Wednesday, signaling confidence in its long-term strategy despite recent underperformance in the AI chip race. The announcement triggered a 6.4% rise in AMD shares, though the stock remains down over 6% year-to-date.

The new buyback adds to AMD’s existing authorization, bringing the total repurchase capacity to $10 billion. The move follows similar shareholder-pleasing strategies by major semiconductor rivals amid signs that the AI-driven chip boom may be plateauing.

Our expanded share repurchase program reflects the Board’s confidence in AMD’s strategic direction, growth prospects, and ability to consistently generate strong free cash flow,” said CEO Lisa Su.

📉 Context: Market Pressure and AI Uncertainty

  • AMD shares are down 6% in 2025, compared to a <1% drop for the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.

  • In contrast, rivals have surged:

    • Nvidia shares: ↑170% in 2024

    • Broadcom shares: Doubled in value

    • Qualcomm announced a $15B buyback in November

    • Broadcom initiated its own $10B repurchase in April

🤖 AI Competition Heats Up

Despite being seen as Nvidia’s top rival in AI computing, AMD faces mounting pressure:

  • Custom processors from hyperscalers threaten AMD’s general-purpose AI chips.

  • Concerns are emerging over AMD’s ability to keep pace with Nvidia’s entrenched ecosystem and rapid innovation cycles.

  • The $10 billion AI collaboration with Humain, announced just a day prior, indicates AMD’s intent to catch up through strategic alliances.

💰 Financial Snapshot

  • Free cash flow in Q1 2025: $727 million, down 33% YoY.

  • Cash & equivalents (as of March 29): $6.05 billion

  • Current liabilities: $7.70 billion

While the cash cushion and buyback authorization underscore AMD’s longer-term confidence, its short-term financial metrics highlight margin pressures and investment demands as it expands into custom AI and datacenter segments.

🧭 Strategic Implications

AMD’s buyback aims to:

  • Support share price amid volatility

  • Reinforce investor confidence in AMD’s AI ambitions

  • Signal resilience in an increasingly cutthroat chip sector

As investor sentiment wavers on AI-related tech, AMD’s aggressive buyback and global partnerships could be pivotal in defending market share and reaffirming its place in the AI arms race.