Yazılar

Bitcoin Breaks $100,000 Barrier Again Amid U.S.-UK Trade Deal Optimism

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Bitcoin surged past the $100,000 mark on Thursday, regaining ground for the first time since February and reflecting renewed investor confidence following a breakthrough trade deal between the United States and the United Kingdom.

By midday, Bitcoin was trading at $101,329.97, up 4.7% on the day, buoyed by improved global risk sentiment. The crypto asset has now entered positive territory for 2025, although it still trails its January all-time high of over $109,000.

The rally follows the announcement of a U.S.-UK trade agreement between President Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer. The deal maintains a 10% U.S. tariff on UK imports but includes Britain lowering its tariffs to 1.8% and expanding access to U.S. goods — signaling a potential thaw in the protectionist climate that has defined global trade since Trump’s return to office.

Market Impact and Commentary:

  • Antoni Trenchev, co-founder of Nexo, described the resurgence as a “formidable feat” and emphasized that long-term holders drove the rebound, overpowering short-term profit-taking.

  • “Buying peak fear — just last month Bitcoin was languishing around $74,000 — has proven exceptionally lucrative,” Trenchev added.

  • Joel Kruger of LMAX Group pointed to rising institutional interest, geopolitical stability, and Chinese monetary stimulus as key tailwinds behind the rally.

Other Cryptos Lag Behind:
Ethereum’s native token Ether climbed 14% to $2,050.46, reaching a one-month high, but it remains nearly 50% below its 2024 peak. Other altcoins have yet to mirror Bitcoin’s bullish momentum.

Bitcoin’s trajectory was weighed down earlier this year by uncertainty around the pace of pro-crypto reform under Trump’s new administration. April’s widespread tariff announcements spurred a flight to safety, leading to a temporary slump in risk assets, including crypto.

Now, with geopolitical risk easing and renewed appetite from long-term investors and institutional funds — particularly through Bitcoin ETFs — market sentiment appears to have decisively shifted back in favor of crypto’s largest token.

With the $100,000 psychological level reclaimed, traders are eyeing $109,000 and beyond as the next major milestone.

Nintendo Forecasts 15 Million Switch 2 Sales, Sees 13% Profit Rise Despite Tariff Risks

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Nintendo expects to sell 15 million units of its upcoming Switch 2 console in the fiscal year ending March, projecting a 13% increase in operating profit to 320 billion yen ($2.22 billion) amid ongoing global trade tensions.

Key Highlights:

  • Switch 2 Launch: The successor to the original Switch, which sold over 150 million units since 2017, will debut on June 5. It will feature improved graphics and a larger screen.

  • Tariff Concerns: Nintendo paused U.S. pre-orders temporarily due to uncertainty over President Trump’s tariffs, but resumed after deciding to keep the U.S. retail price at $449.99.

  • Profit Outlook: Although Nintendo expects a profit hit in the tens of billions of yen from tariffs, it anticipates a solid rebound from last year’s 46.6% drop in operating profit to 282.5 billion yen.

  • Software Expectations: Nintendo forecasts 45 million Switch 2 software sales, alongside 4.5 million units of the original Switch and 105 million software units for that aging system.

  • Launch Titles: Switch 2 will debut with anticipated games including “Mario Kart World”, expected to boost early adoption.

Market Context:

  • Analysts like Serkan Toto of Kantan Games believe Nintendo’s forecast is conservative, with potential demand pushing sales closer to 20 million units.

  • The Switch 2 arrives as competitors Sony and Microsoft increase their console prices, potentially making Nintendo’s launch more appealing.

Despite ongoing trade war risks and pricing sensitivities, early signs suggest robust demand for Nintendo’s new hardware, which will be crucial for maintaining momentum in a business still heavily reliant on console sales.

Super Micro Shares Fall After Forecasting Q4 Revenue Below Estimates Amid Tariff, Spending Concerns

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Super Micro Computer (SMCI.O), a leading AI server manufacturer, projected fourth-quarter revenue below Wall Street expectations, causing its shares to drop 5.4% in after-hours trading on Tuesday. The company cited economic uncertainty, tariffs, and delayed customer spending as near-term headwinds.

The San Jose-based firm forecast Q4 revenue between $5.6 billion and $6.4 billion, falling short of analysts’ average estimate of $6.82 billion, according to LSEG data. The company has benefited from surging demand for AI data center infrastructure, leveraging chips from Nvidia, AMD, and others, but has also faced accounting issues in recent months that sparked delisting concerns on the Nasdaq.

Despite some clients delaying purchases, Super Micro expects those deferred deals to materialize in the June–September quarter. However, investor sentiment remains cautious, particularly in light of growing concerns about AI investment slowdowns and tariff-related impacts.

Kim Caughey Forrest of Bokeh Capital Partners suggested the lowered guidance might be self-inflicted, rather than purely market-driven, while D.A. Davidson’s Gil Luria noted the possibility that Super Micro may be losing market share to competitors like Dell, rather than signaling a broader downturn in AI infrastructure demand.

For fiscal year 2025, Super Micro revised its revenue forecast downward to $21.8 billion to $22.6 billion, from a previously expected $23.5 billion to $25.0 billion.

The company had released preliminary results last week, but the lower guidance and uncertain macroeconomic environment continue to weigh on investor confidence.