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AI Boom Sparks Global Shortage and Price Surge in Conventional Memory Chips

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The worldwide race to produce advanced AI chips is causing a supply crunch for more traditional memory chips used in smartphones, computers, and servers — triggering panic buying and steep price increases across the semiconductor industry. Executives and analysts say the AI frenzy has unexpectedly set off a “super cycle” in the memory market, giving long-awaited relief to manufacturers such as Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology.

As chipmakers shift production capacity toward high-bandwidth memory (HBM) — essential for powering Nvidia’s AI processors — the supply of conventional DRAM and DDR5 server memory has tightened sharply. According to Fusion Worldwide president Tobey Gonnerman, demand has surged “in a fast and furious way,” leading to double and triple ordering reminiscent of past shortages.

The shortage coincides with a replacement cycle for data centers and personal computers, alongside stronger-than-expected smartphone sales. As a result, spot prices of DRAM nearly tripled in September compared to last year, while average inventories have dropped to just eight weeks, down from 31 weeks in early 2023.

Analysts predict that non-HBM chips could soon surpass HBM in profitability if current trends continue. In the latest quarter, Samsung earned an estimated 40% margin on commodity DRAMs, compared with 60% on HBMs. Rising prices have already pushed companies like Raspberry Pi to raise consumer prices, citing memory costs that have more than doubled over the past year.

Still, experts warn against overhyping a permanent boom. TechInsights vice chair Dan Hutcheson said the current cycle may last only a year or two, with a potential industry downturn forecast for 2027. While Samsung stands to benefit most from its non-HBM dominance, investors remain cautious about its ability to close the gap with rivals SK Hynix and TSMC in next-generation AI chip technologies.

Chip stocks surge after TSMC boosts outlook on soaring AI demand

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Global semiconductor stocks rose on Thursday after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) issued a strong revenue forecast and reported record quarterly profits, underscoring surging demand for chips that power artificial intelligence systems.

TSMC — the world’s largest contract chipmaker and a key supplier to Nvidia and Apple — raised its full-year revenue guidance to mid-30% growth, up from around 30%, citing stronger-than-expected AI spending and data center expansion. Analysts say this marks a shift from a cyclical boom to a structural uptrend driven by AI infrastructure demand.

“This isn’t just a transient spike. TSMC’s blowout quarter tells a clear story — this is structural,” said Kate Leaman, chief market analyst at AvaTrade.

The upbeat forecast sent semiconductor stocks higher worldwide. Micron Technology gained about 4%, Broadcom climbed 2.4%, Marvell Technology added 1.3%, and Nvidia rose 1.2%. In Asia, Samsung Electronics advanced 2.8%.

The rally came amid a week of massive AI-related deals, including BlackRock’s $40 billion acquisition of data-center operator Aligned and a partnership between OpenAI and Broadcom to build 10 gigawatts of custom chips — enough to power more than eight million U.S. homes.

The developments reinforce Wall Street’s conviction that AI hardware remains the core driver of tech investment, nearly three years after ChatGPT’s debut. On Wednesday, Salesforce also projected revenue above $60 billion by 2030, driven by rapid AI integration across its cloud services.

TSMC lifts revenue forecast on surging AI chip demand after record profit

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), the world’s largest chipmaker, raised its full-year revenue forecast after reporting a record quarterly profit, citing booming demand for artificial intelligence chips. The results reinforced investor confidence in the AI megatrend, which continues to drive growth across the semiconductor industry despite fears of overheating.

TSMC said it now expects 2025 revenue to grow in the mid-30% range in U.S. dollar terms, up from its previous forecast of around 30%. The company maintained its capital expenditure outlook at up to $42 billion for 2025. “AI demand continues to be stronger than we expected three months ago,” CEO C.C. Wei told analysts, adding that customer requests for expanded capacity remain high.

The company’s robust performance comes amid a flurry of billion-dollar partnerships between AI developers and chipmakers, including OpenAI’s collaborations with Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom to build massive data center capacity. TSMC manufactures chips for all three, as well as for Apple.

In the July–September quarter, TSMC’s net profit surged 39.1% year-on-year to T$452.3 billion ($14.76 billion), easily beating market expectations of T$417.7 billion. Wei said the company remains confident that demand for leading-edge semiconductors is “real” and will continue through 2026, despite geopolitical uncertainties and potential U.S. tariffs on chip imports.

TSMC shares have risen 38% this year, far outpacing Taiwan’s broader market, as the company cements its dominance in the global AI supply chain.