Yazılar

Nvidia Briefly Hits Historic $3.92 Trillion Market Value Amid AI Boom

Nvidia (NVDA.O) briefly surged to a market capitalization of $3.92 trillion on Thursday, putting it on track to become the most valuable company ever, fueled by Wall Street’s strong optimism around artificial intelligence (AI).

Key Highlights

  • Nvidia’s shares rose as much as 2.4% to $160.98, surpassing Apple’s record closing market cap of $3.915 trillion set on December 26, 2024.

  • At the time of the latest update, shares were up 1.5% at $159.60, with a market cap just under Apple’s record, at $3.89 trillion.

  • Nvidia’s AI-focused chips are in high demand for training large AI models, driving significant growth for the Santa Clara-based company.

Market Context

  • Microsoft holds the second spot in market value at $3.7 trillion, with shares rising 1.7% to $499.56.

  • Apple sits third with a market cap of $3.19 trillion after a 0.8% increase.

  • Other tech giants racing to build AI data centers and dominate AI include Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla, all fueling demand for Nvidia’s high-end processors.

Industry and Stock Insights

  • Joe Saluzzi, co-manager at Themis Trading, remarked on the incredible scale of market valuations, noting the AI-driven surge pushing companies into multi-trillion-dollar territory.

  • Nvidia’s valuation has nearly octupled in four years, from $500 billion in 2021 to almost $4 trillion.

  • The company’s value now exceeds the combined stock markets of Canada and Mexico and all publicly listed companies in the UK.

  • Nvidia trades at about 32 times analysts’ forward earnings—below its five-year average of 41—reflecting growing earnings estimates outpacing stock gains.

  • The stock has rebounded over 68% since early April lows caused by trade uncertainty.

Broader Impact

  • Nvidia’s growth underscores Wall Street’s massive bets on generative AI technologies, as its hardware forms the backbone of many AI systems.

  • Nvidia now makes up 7% of the S&P 500 index; combined with Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet, these five tech giants constitute 28% of the index.

  • Despite optimism, some experts like Kim Forrest of Bokeh Capital Partners caution that current AI models might not fully live up to the hype.

Company Background

  • Founded in 1993 by CEO Jensen Huang, Nvidia evolved from a niche graphics chipmaker to a leading AI technology company.

  • The company replaced Intel on the Dow Jones Industrial Average last November, marking a significant industry shift toward AI-focused semiconductor development.

Nvidia to Exclude China from Financial Forecasts Amid U.S. Export Restrictions

Nvidia will stop factoring in revenue and profit from the Chinese market in its financial forecasts, CEO Jensen Huang told CNN on Thursday, citing ongoing U.S. trade restrictions on chip sales to the region. The decision comes as the U.S. maintains stringent export controls that limit Nvidia’s ability to sell its advanced chips to Chinese customers.

When asked if the ongoing trade discussions between the U.S. and China could lead to a lifting of export controls, Huang said he was not counting on any changes:

“If it happens, then it will be a great bonus. I’ve told all of our investors and shareholders that, going forward, our forecasts will not include the China market.”

Huang reiterated his criticism of U.S. chip export curbs, arguing that they are not achieving their intended policy objectives. “The goals of the export controls are not being achieved,” he said. “The goals have to be well-articulated and tested over time.”

According to D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria, Nvidia may face downside risks for 2026 if it remains unable to resume sales to China. Nvidia’s China business remains significant: in the first quarter, China accounted for 12.5% of the company’s total revenue, generating $4.6 billion largely from customers stockpiling the H20 chip before the restrictions took full effect.

The company estimates the export curbs cost it $2.5 billion in lost sales in Q1, with an $8 billion revenue hit projected for Q2. Nvidia is still exploring limited options for the Chinese market but acknowledged:

“Until we settle on a new product design and receive approval from the U.S. government, we are effectively foreclosed from China’s $50 billion data center market.”

Michael Ashley Schulman, CIO at Running Point Capital, said Nvidia’s move to exclude China from its forecasts simplifies its financial outlook:

“By zero-basing China, Nvidia removes a volatile variable that neither Wall Street nor the Commerce Department can reliably handicap.”

Nvidia to Build Germany’s First Industrial AI Cloud, Boosting Europe’s AI Infrastructure

Nvidia announced plans to develop its first artificial intelligence cloud platform for industrial applications in Germany, CEO Jensen Huang said Wednesday at the VivaTech conference in Paris. The AI cloud will combine artificial intelligence with robotics to support automotive giants like BMW and Mercedes-Benz in tasks ranging from product design simulation to logistics management.

Huang also detailed a broader Europe-focused strategy including expanding Nvidia technology centers across seven countries, launching a compute marketplace for European companies, and advancing AI models in multiple languages. The company is supporting drug discovery efforts with partners like Novo Nordisk.

“In just two years, we will increase the amount of AI computing capacity in Europe by a factor of 10,” Huang declared during his nearly two-hour presentation.

Europe is embracing the concept of “AI factories,” large-scale infrastructures dedicated to AI model development, training, and deployment. Huang announced plans for 20 such AI factories across the continent.

Huang is scheduled to visit Berlin Friday and is expected to meet with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, signaling political support for the initiative.

Though specifics about the plant’s location, cost, and construction timeline were not disclosed, the move could be a win for Germany’s ruling coalition following recent setbacks with Intel and Wolfspeed suspending factory plans.

While Europe trails the U.S. and China in AI development, the European Commission revealed a $20 billion investment plan to build four AI factories earlier this year.

Additionally, Nvidia is partnering with European AI startup Mistral to power AI computing using 18,000 latest Nvidia chips for European enterprises.

“Sovereign AI is an imperative—no company, industry or nation can outsource its intelligence,” Huang said.

He emphasized the importance of AI adoption to avoid falling behind globally and expressed optimism about quantum computing’s near-term impact, noting it could solve complex problems beyond even advanced AI systems.

This announcement reinforces Nvidia’s role as a global AI infrastructure leader and marks a significant step in strengthening Europe’s AI ecosystem.