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Infineon Stock Surges 11% on Strong Guidance and Auto Sector Demand

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Infineon shares soared 11% after the German semiconductor company raised its full-year revenue outlook and posted quarterly results that exceeded expectations. The positive guidance sets Infineon apart from other chipmakers in the automotive and industrial sectors, many of which have fallen short of forecasts.

At 08:15 GMT, Infineon stock was leading the German blue-chip index (.GDAXI) and was on pace for its best performance since May. Analysts welcomed the news, with Juergen Wagner from Stifel noting that Infineon’s outlook contrasts with the more disappointing results seen across the sector.

Charter Equity Research analyst Jack Egan highlighted that the company’s forecast for flat-to-slightly higher automotive revenue in fiscal year 2025 alleviates concerns about weakening demand in the sector. Additionally, Infineon’s Power & Sensor segment is expected to show significant growth, likely driven by demand for its artificial intelligence (AI) server products.

CEO Jochen Hanebeck acknowledged that demand recovery would be gradual, following an expected reduction in inventory. However, the company remains optimistic about its performance over the fiscal year, which runs through September.

For the second quarter, Infineon projected revenue of €3.6 billion ($3.7 billion), surpassing the company-provided analyst consensus of €3.42 billion.

 

Intel Stock Rises on Revenue Beat as CEO Search Takes Center Stage

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Intel shares climbed 1.7% in premarket trading on Friday following better-than-expected quarterly revenue, despite the company’s ongoing struggles in the AI-driven chip market. Investors remain focused on Intel’s search for a new CEO after the abrupt departure of Pat Gelsinger, whose four-year turnaround plan was cut short amid persistent challenges.

While Intel’s revenue exceeded modest expectations, its forecast for the current quarter fell below estimates. Analysts at Bernstein noted that investors have become “numb” to Intel’s struggles, suggesting that leadership changes are now the primary concern rather than financial performance.

The company has appointed CFO David Zinsner and senior executive Michelle Johnston Holthaus as interim co-CEOs while the board seeks a long-term replacement. Meanwhile, Intel continues to lose market share to competitors like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), particularly in the AI sector, where it missed key investment opportunities, including OpenAI.

With AI chip demand soaring, companies are prioritizing specialized processors over traditional server chips, further limiting Intel’s growth. Analysts at Jefferies remain skeptical about Intel’s ability to turn things around, citing its struggling foundry business and lack of major customers.

Despite these challenges, Intel’s stock has fallen 60% over the past year, while AI chip leader Nvidia has surged 171%. As the CEO search progresses, investors will be looking for a strategic vision that can help Intel regain its competitive edge.

ASML to Halt Reporting of Key Metric, Citing Volatility

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ASML, the world’s leading chip equipment manufacturer, has announced it will stop publishing new order bookings, a key metric closely watched by investors. The company argues that the figure is too inconsistent and causes excessive volatility in its stock price.

Instead, ASML believes its own forecasts—based on discussions with chipmakers about their capacity expansion plans—offer a more reliable indicator of future performance. The company’s circuit-printing machinery plays a critical role in chip manufacturing, but orders can take six to 18 months to fulfill, making quarterly booking figures difficult to interpret.

“The swing factor is significant,” said Chief Financial Officer Roger Dassen, explaining the move.

The decision, announced on Wednesday, came as ASML’s stock jumped 7% following better-than-expected fourth-quarter bookings of €7.1 billion ($7.4 billion), a sharp increase from the €2.6 billion recorded in Q3. The fluctuation was likely driven by timing of orders from TSMC, which recently unveiled a $38 billion capital expenditure plan for 2025.

While analysts acknowledge the downside of losing insight into short-term order trends, they largely understand ASML’s reasoning.

“There is downside for investors, as we lose visibility on average bookings and backlog confidence,” said Sara Russo of Bernstein. However, she agreed that a single quarter’s bookings are not the best measure of long-term business health.

Michael Roeg of Degroof Petercam added that capital expenditure announcements from major clients such as TSMC, Intel, and Samsung already provide sufficient indicators of future demand.

Despite market fluctuations, Dassen emphasized that ASML’s full-year sales and margins remained aligned with its January 2024 forecasts.

“If you put all those quarters together, you see it wasn’t too shabby, was it?” he remarked.