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U.S. Weighs Sweeping Curbs on Software Exports to China Amid Rare Earth Dispute

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The Trump administration is considering a sweeping new set of export restrictions targeting China’s access to U.S. software, in retaliation for Beijing’s tightening of rare earth shipments. The plan, discussed by senior officials and confirmed by multiple sources, could block exports of products ranging from laptops to jet engines that rely on U.S.-made or U.S.-designed software.

The proposal, which mirrors export controls once imposed on Russia, is part of a broader strategy to pressure China ahead of President Trump’s meeting with President Xi Jinping in South Korea later this month. While the plan remains under discussion and may not be implemented, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said “everything is on the table,” including coordinated measures with G7 allies.

Analysts warned the move could have far-reaching global implications, disrupting supply chains and triggering economic retaliation from Beijing. Emily Kilcrease, a former U.S. trade official, said software restrictions would be “extraordinarily difficult to implement” and could backfire on American industry.

The Chinese embassy condemned Washington’s potential actions as “unilateral and coercive,” vowing to protect China’s interests if the U.S. proceeds. U.S. markets reacted nervously to the report, with the S&P 500 closing down 0.5% and the Nasdaq falling about 1%.

Texas Instruments Shares Fall 6% as Weak Outlook Points to Extended Chip Market Slowdown

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Texas Instruments (TXN.O) shares dropped 6% on Wednesday after the chipmaker issued a disappointing forecast for the fourth quarter, warning of a prolonged slump in the analog semiconductor market. The bleak outlook has fueled fears that the chip industry’s long-awaited rebound could take longer than expected amid tariff uncertainty and sluggish industrial demand.

TI projected fourth-quarter revenue of $4.4 billion and earnings per share of $1.26, both falling short of analyst expectations. The company’s gross profit margin also slipped by 50 basis points from the previous quarter. Analysts say customers remain cautious about new capital spending, taking a “wait-and-see” approach as global trade and tariff rules remain unclear.

The company’s struggles highlight how geopolitical tensions and U.S. trade policies under President Donald Trump’s administration are weighing on the semiconductor industry. Though TI has reduced some of its exposure to tariffs through trade deals, the potential for new 100% semiconductor import duties has rattled confidence, even as domestic manufacturers are offered exemptions.

Brokerage firm Jefferies said it expects the rest of the Analog group to experience similar softness, while Charter Equity Research noted that weak customer demand and excess inventory could suppress margins for several more quarters.

Shares of other analog chipmakers, including On Semiconductor (ON.O), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI.O), and Analog Devices (ADI.O), also fell between 2% and 3% following the report. At least 16 brokerages cut their price targets for TI after the announcement, with the company poised to lose around $10 billion in market value if declines persist.

Despite a $60 billion investment plan to expand U.S. manufacturing, TI’s near-term outlook remains clouded by macroeconomic uncertainty and weaker industrial spending. Its stock has fallen 4% this year, trading at a 12-month forward P/E ratio of 29.05, above Analog Devices’ 26.24 — a sign investors remain cautious on its valuation amid the slowdown.

AI-driven data centre boom boosts ABB’s U.S. sales and orders

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Swiss engineering giant ABB reported a strong third quarter as surging investment in data centres across the United States drives demand for its industrial robots, electrification products, and power solutions.

The company said new U.S. orders rose 27% in the third quarter, powered largely by the expansion of data centres needed to process artificial intelligence workloads. “It’s the normal standard business where there is strong demand,” said CEO Morten Wierod, noting the rise was not linked to U.S. import tariffs.

ABB generates about 7% of its revenue from data centres, up from 6% a year ago, and provides uninterruptible power supplies and electrification systems that keep critical servers online. Wierod said the AI boom is also driving broader electrification, forcing utilities and industrial sectors to increase investments.

Earlier this week, ABB announced a partnership with Nvidia to develop advanced infrastructure for next-generation data centres.

The company posted a 12% rise in operating EBITA to $1.74 billion, topping forecasts, while revenue grew 11% to $9.08 billion. Orders also climbed 12%. ABB’s shares initially rose 2.5% after the results before easing later in the session.

Chief Financial Officer Timo Ihamuotila, who will step down next year, said U.S. tariffs have had only a limited impact, costing “tens of millions” of dollars in profit, which the company has offset with price adjustments and efficiency gains. ABB currently manufactures about 75–80% of its U.S. products domestically, with plans to raise that to 90% through new factory investments.