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Applied Materials Cuts Forecast Amid China Slowdown and Export-Restrictions

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Applied Materials (AMAT.O) forecasted fourth-quarter revenue and profit below analyst expectations on Thursday, citing weak demand in China and uneven orders from customers impacted by tariff uncertainty. Shares fell nearly 13% in after-hours trading.

The ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions and export restrictions on advanced semiconductor equipment have complicated forecasting, weighing on orders for chipmaking tools suppliers like Applied Materials. China accounted for 35% of Applied’s total sales in the July quarter, making it a critical market.

CFO Brice Hill said the company expects a revenue decline in the fourth quarter due to both the absorption of recently added capacity in China and non-linear demand from leading-edge customers. Tightened export controls prevent sales of the most advanced chipmaking equipment to Chinese clients. Meanwhile, Chinese chipmakers are pausing new orders for older-generation chips used in automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics.

Applied projected fourth-quarter revenue of $6.70 billion, plus or minus $500 million, below the $7.33 billion analysts had anticipated. Adjusted profit per share is expected at $2.11, compared with estimates of $2.39. The forecast assumes no approvals for pending U.S. export license applications.

The company’s third-quarter results exceeded expectations, with revenue up 8% to $7.30 billion and adjusted earnings per share at $2.48, above analyst estimates of $2.36.

Shein’s UK Sales Surge to $2.8 Billion in 2024

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Shein’s British business generated £2.05 billion ($2.77 billion) in sales in 2024, marking a 32.3% increase from 2023, according to a recent filing. The UK represents Shein’s third-largest market after the United States and Germany as the fast-fashion e-commerce giant prepares for an initial public offering in Hong Kong.

Shein Distribution UK Ltd reported a pretax profit of £38.25 million in 2024, up 56.6% from £24.4 million the previous year. The filing highlighted milestones including a pop-up shop in Liverpool, a Christmas bus tour across 12 UK cities, and the opening of two new offices in Kings Cross and Manchester.

The retailer is known for low prices, constant promotions, and rewards programs that encourage repeat purchases. Shein has captured market share from competitors such as ASOS (ASOS.L) and H&M (HMb.ST), especially as rising inflation has pushed consumers toward bargain hunting. Its UK site offers items ranging from £7.99 ($10.84) dresses and £15 ($20.36) jeans to toys, craft supplies, and storage products.

Shein has benefited from customs duty exemptions on low-value e-commerce shipments, allowing goods to be shipped directly from Chinese factories largely tariff-free. However, these exemptions are being phased out, raising costs and prices, particularly in the U.S. The Trump administration eliminated the “de minimis” exemption for parcels under $800, and the EU plans to remove its duty waiver for parcels under €150. The UK is also reviewing its policy on low-value imports amid complaints that it favors online retailers like Shein and Temu.

Lenovo Views U.S.-China Tariff Pause as Positive Amid AI Growth

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Chinese PC maker Lenovo (0992.HK) said Thursday that the recent tariff pause between the U.S. and China is a positive development and highlighted strong growth in China’s AI infrastructure despite ongoing tech tensions.

“The truce is a positive situation,” Lenovo CEO Yang Yuanqing told Reuters following the release of the company’s fiscal first-quarter results. “We feel better than the previous quarter — it brings more certainty rather than uncertainty.”

The U.S. and China have extended a tariff pause for another 90 days until November, avoiding triple-digit duties on each other’s goods and providing temporary relief to businesses.

Lenovo reported total revenue of $18.8 billion for the three months ending June 30, up 22% year-on-year and surpassing analysts’ forecast of $17.4 billion, according to LSEG data. Yang attributed the growth to strong AI demand across the company’s three main business segments, each of which achieved double-digit growth.

Despite a 30% U.S. levy on Chinese exports, including PCs, Lenovo’s CEO noted that the U.S. represents less than 20% of the company’s total revenue, and tariffs have so far had minimal impact thanks to Lenovo’s global manufacturing network. Net profit attributable to shareholders more than doubled year-on-year to $505 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $307.7 million.

AI PCs represented over 30% of Lenovo’s PC shipments in the first quarter, while the AI server business surged 150% amid strong domestic demand. “We see a strong pipeline in AI servers,” Yang said.

China has recently advised major internet firms to be cautious when purchasing Nvidia H20 chips and to consider domestic alternatives, following the U.S. approval to resume H20 chip sales to China. Yang highlighted Lenovo’s investment in diversifying its supply chain and developing local component products to meet varied customer needs.

Lenovo shares dropped more than 3% in early trading Thursday, underperforming the Hang Seng Index, which rose 0.4%. However, the stock has gained 15% over the past three months, outpacing the benchmark.