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SK Hynix Reports Early Orders Ahead of Potential US Tariffs

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South Korean memory chipmaker SK Hynix announced on Thursday that some customers have accelerated their orders in anticipation of potential US tariffs on semiconductors. Speaking at the company’s annual shareholder meeting, Lee Sang-rak, Head of Global Sales and Marketing, attributed recent favorable market conditions to this “pull-in” effect and reduced customer inventory levels. However, he cautioned that it remains uncertain whether this trend will continue.

In January, SK Hynix projected a 10%-20% drop in DRAM and NAND flash memory shipments for Q1 2024. However, demand from the AI sector has contributed to price increases by competitors such as Micron, SanDisk, and China’s YMTC. Reports suggest that fears of impending US semiconductor tariffs, potentially reaching 25%, have led to increased inventory transfers to the US.

Despite concerns about AI hardware spending, SK Hynix remains optimistic about explosive growth in high bandwidth memory (HBM) chip demand, especially as a key supplier to Nvidia. CEO Kwak Noh-Jung confirmed that HBM sales for 2025 have already been fully booked, with negotiations for 2026 volume expected to conclude in the first half of this year.

China to Lead in Chipmaking Investment in 2025, SEMI Reports

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China is set to continue its dominance in global chipmaking investments in 2025, despite a notable year-over-year decline, according to a report from industry group SEMI. The country is expected to outpace all other regions in spending on new computer chipmaking equipment, followed by Taiwan and Korea.

Global Investment Growth

SEMI’s forecast for global fabrication plant investments shows a 2% increase in 2025, reaching $110 billion. This marks the sixth consecutive year of growth, driven largely by the demand for tools needed to produce chips for artificial intelligence (AI). SEMI predicts that the AI boom will have an even stronger impact on the industry in 2026, with an expected investment growth of 18%.

China’s Strategic Push and Decline in Investment

China has been the largest consumer of chips for years, and its chipmaking sector saw a massive push starting in mid-2023. With government support, China has accelerated efforts to reduce its dependence on imported chips, particularly in response to U.S. restrictions. Despite this surge, SEMI forecasts that China’s chipmaking spending will drop by 24% in 2025, falling to $38 billion from $50 billion in 2024. However, this still keeps China ahead of other major chip-producing countries like Korea, where SK Hynix and Samsung are expanding memory chip production, with investments projected at $21.5 billion.

Spending in Other Key Regions

Taiwan, home to TSMC, a major foundry for AI chips, is projected to spend $21 billion on chipmaking equipment in 2025. In comparison, spending in Korea will be significant, but not as high as China’s, with $21.5 billion expected. The Americas and Japan are each expected to invest $14 billion, while Europe’s investment is projected at $9 billion.

Key Players in the Equipment Market

The top players in the chip equipment market include ASML, Applied Materials, KLA, LAM Research, and Tokyo Electron. ASML, the largest chip equipment manufacturer, anticipates sales of €32-38 billion in 2025, maintaining a dominant market share in the lithography sector. Chinese equipment makers, such as Naura, AMEC, and SiCarrier (affiliated with Huawei), are also gaining traction in the market.

SBI Denies Report on Negotiations with SK Hynix and UMC for Japan Chip Plant

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SBI Holdings (8473.T) has refuted a report from the Nikkan Kogyo newspaper that suggested the company was in talks with South Korea’s SK Hynix (000660.KS) and Taiwan’s UMC (2303.TW) to collaborate on a chip manufacturing plant in Japan’s Miyagi prefecture. A spokesperson for the financial firm clarified on Friday that the report was inaccurate.

According to the Nikkan Kogyo report, which did not specify sources, SBI was purportedly negotiating partnerships with SK Hynix for back-end DRAM processes and UMC for chips intended for the automotive sector. However, SBI has firmly denied these claims, stating that no such discussions are taking place.

Earlier, in September, SBI announced it was dissolving its joint venture with Taiwan’s Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp (6770.TW). The companies had previously been working toward securing government subsidies to build a foundry in northern Japan. Following the dissolution of this partnership, SBI indicated that it would explore potential collaborations with other firms in the semiconductor industry.