Analysts Predict Call of Duty: Black Ops 6 on Game Pass Could Draw 4 Million New Subscribers

Call of Duty: Black Ops 6 Launches on Game Pass, A First for the Franchise

The latest installment in the iconic Call of Duty series, Black Ops 6, was released on October 25 across multiple platforms, including PC, PlayStation 4, PlayStation 5, Xbox One, and Xbox Series S/X. This launch marked a historic milestone for the franchise, as it became the first Call of Duty title to debut on Xbox Game Pass on the day of release. Microsoft’s decision to make Black Ops 6 available on Game Pass aligns with the company’s goal to attract more subscribers to its service, and initial industry analyses suggest that this could be a highly effective strategy.

Industry Analysts Forecast Significant Subscriber Growth

Several industry analysts weighed in on the potential impact of Black Ops 6 joining Game Pass at launch. A recent report from GamesIndustry.biz gathered perspectives from market experts, many of whom believe that the inclusion of such a high-profile game on Game Pass will drive millions of new users to the platform. Black Ops 6 is part of a renowned series with a massive global fanbase, and analysts anticipate that this strategic move could boost subscription numbers significantly, especially among fans eager to access the game without purchasing it outright.

Michael Pachter Predicts Millions of New Subscribers

Michael Pachter, a chief analyst at Wedbush Securities, has provided one of the most optimistic projections, estimating that Black Ops 6 could attract between three to four million new Game Pass subscribers. This figure is based on the game’s massive popularity and the appeal of Game Pass’s all-inclusive model. However, Pachter noted that this boost in subscriptions might come at a cost. He estimated that up to six million potential game sales could be lost as a result of its availability on Game Pass, assuming that around 25 percent of Game Pass subscribers might have otherwise bought the game.

Balancing Subscriber Growth with Game Sales Impact

While Black Ops 6 is expected to be a major draw for Game Pass, analysts highlight the trade-offs involved in this approach. Microsoft is prioritizing long-term subscription growth over individual game sales, betting that the addition of major titles like Black Ops 6 will build a more robust subscriber base and create a steady revenue stream. As gaming shifts increasingly towards subscription models, Microsoft’s willingness to include blockbuster releases on Game Pass from day one demonstrates its commitment to reshaping how players access games. Whether this strategy will ultimately pay off depends on how many new subscribers stick with the service in the months following the initial release.