Microsoft Shares Slide After Disappointing Cloud Forecast and AI Spending Worries

Microsoft’s shares dropped 4.5% in after-hours trading on Wednesday after the company issued a disappointing growth forecast for its cloud computing business, particularly Azure. Despite exceeding sales expectations for the fiscal second quarter, investors expressed concerns about the company’s large spending on artificial intelligence (AI) and the potential competition from cheaper AI models emerging from China.

The cloud unit, Azure, reported 31% growth in the quarter, falling short of Wall Street’s expectations of 31.8%. Microsoft’s capital expenditures were also higher than analysts anticipated, reaching $22.6 billion, compared to the forecasted $20.95 billion.

Although Microsoft’s AI investments have led to improved performance, including a 10-fold better price-to-performance ratio, analysts are looking for clearer evidence of monetization. Despite being optimistic about AI’s future potential, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella acknowledged that the company is still in the early stages of realizing profits from these technologies.

The rise of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, has intensified concerns about increased competition in the AI market, potentially leading to a price war. Microsoft has already added DeepSeek’s AI models to its Azure offerings, highlighting the growing pressure from rivals offering cheaper AI alternatives.

However, Microsoft remains a strong player in the AI space, securing new Azure contracts, including those with OpenAI, which has helped the company achieve significant commercial bookings growth of 67%. Microsoft’s total revenue for the fiscal second quarter was $69.6 billion, reflecting a 12% increase, while earnings per share were reported at $3.23, surpassing analyst expectations of $3.11.

Despite the uncertainty surrounding AI spending and competition, Microsoft continues to be viewed as a key player in the AI sector, with its stock rising 8% over the past year, although trailing behind competitors like Alphabet and Amazon in performance.