Treasury Yields Drop as Investors Evaluate Economic Outlook Post Fed Rate Cut

On Friday, U.S. Treasury yields fell as investors assessed the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut and its implications for the economic outlook. The yield on the 10-year Treasury dropped approximately three basis points to 4.3131%, while the 2-year Treasury yield fell over three basis points, settling at 4.1849% as of 3:43 a.m. ET. Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, respond in basis points—each representing 0.01%.

The drop in yields followed Thursday’s announcement by the Federal Reserve of a 25-basis-point rate cut, bringing the target range to 4.50%-4.75%. The move, while anticipated, marked a continuation of the Fed’s gradual rate-reduction approach, which began with a 50-basis-point cut in September.

Investors closely examined Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments in the post-meeting press conference for hints on future policy direction. Powell reiterated the Fed’s commitment to a flexible approach, stating decisions would be made on a “meeting by meeting” basis, with no predetermined path for monetary policy. Despite recent economic pressures, Powell expressed confidence, noting he was “feeling good” about the current economic landscape.

Looking ahead, market participants are focusing on the December 17-18 Fed meeting, where the CME Group’s FedWatch tool indicates a 75% probability of another rate cut. Friday’s investor attention also turns to upcoming consumer sentiment data, which could provide further insight into economic conditions. The October inflation report, set for release next week, is also expected to be a critical indicator for future Fed actions.